Miami Heat vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction, 2/13/2025 Preview and Pick

Game: Miami Heat vs Dallas Mavericks

Date: Thursday, February 13, 2025

Location: American Airlines Center in Dallas, TX

TV: KFAA

The Miami Heat (25-26) are on their way to American Airlines Center on Thursday where they will compete against the Dallas Mavericks (28-26).

The Heat stepped onto the hardwood against the Celtics and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 103-85 in their last contest. Miami walked away from the game having earned a 33.7% FG percentage (31 of 92) and buried 11 of their 45 shots from distance. From the free throw line, the Heat converted 12 of 13 attempts for a percentage of 92.3%. Concerning pulling down rebounds, they compiled a total of 51 with 12 of them being on the offensive end. They also dished out 21 assists for this game while forcing the opposition into 8 turnovers and earning 2 steals. When talking about defense, Miami let their opponent shoot 45.9% from the floor on 39 of 85 shooting. Boston earned 24 dimes and had 4 steals for the contest. In addition, Boston pulled down 52 rebounds (3 offensive, 49 defensive) and got 2 blocked shots. Boston shot 100.0% at the free throw line by converting 8 of 8 attempts. They converted 17 of their 53 tries from 3-point range. When talking about personal fouls, the Heat walked away with 10 and the Celtics accounted for 11 personal fouls.

Bam Adebayo is one guy who came through in the matchup. He totaled 22 points on 6 out of 17 shooting. He played for 34 minutes and also snagged 12 rebounds. Adebayo walked away from this one shooting 35.3% from the field and recorded 4 assists.

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Miami heads into this one with a mark of 25-26 this year. They are turning it over 13.6 times per game and as a group they commit 15.8 personal fouls per game. As a unit, Miami is grabbing 44.1 boards per contest and has racked up 1,343 dimes so far this year, which ranks 19th in basketball in terms of passing the ball. The Heat are hitting 36.2% on shots from distance (721 of 1,989) and 79.3% from the charity stripe. They average 110.0 points per game (24th in the league) while going 45.3% from the floor.

When they are on the defensive end, the Heat have forced 13.6 turnovers per game and they draw 17.5 personal fouls. They are currently ranked 13th in basketball in giving up assists with 1,374 surrendered this season. The Heat are giving up and opponent field goal percentage of 46.0% (2,105 of 4,572) and they surrender 45.9 rebounds per contest as a basketball team. They concede 35.7% on 3-point attempts and they are 8th in the league in PPG from their opponents (110.5).

For their last game, the Mavericks took a loss by a final score of 129-128 when they played the Kings. The Mavericks corralled 28 defensive boards and 5 offensive rebounds totaling 33 for this game. They turned the ball over 13 times, while earning 11 steals in the matchup. The Kings committed 22 fouls in this contest which got the Mavericks to the free throw line for a total of 24 attempts. They were able to knock down 15 of those for a rate of 62.5%. In reference to 3-point shots, Dallas converted 15 of their 37 tries (40.5%). In all, the Mavericks finished 49 for 95 from the floor which gave them a percentage of 51.6%. The Mavericks allowed the Kings to convert 53 out of their 96 attempts from the floor which gave them a rate of 55.2% for this game. They finished 34.6% from 3-point land by connecting on 9 of 26 and walked away from this one shooting 14 out of 19 from the free throw line (73.7%). When discussing attacking the glass, Dallas allowed Sacramento to collect 50 in total (13 on the offensive side).

Kyrie Irving ended up being a major contributor for the Mavericks in this contest. Irving totaled 30 points in his 44 minutes on the court and had 7 assists in the matchup. He buried 11 of 25 in the game for a field goal percentage of 44.0%, and totaled 9 rebounds.

Dallas has a win-loss record of 28-26 so far this season. When it comes to offense, the Mavericks are hitting on 47.9% from the floor, which ranks 8th in the league. Dallas has 6,251 points for the season (115.8 per game) and they snag 44.4 boards per game. They are assisting teammates 25.3 times per game (20th in the league) and they turn it over 14.2 times per contest. The Mavericks are responsible for committing 18.7 fouls per game and they shoot 77.2% from the free throw line.

The Dallas defense gives up 36.5% on shots from 3-point land (711 of 1,948) and their opponents are connecting on 77.3% of their free throw shots. They concede 26.7 dimes and 44.4 rebounds per game, which ranks them 20th and 17th in the NBA. The Mavericks on defense are ranked 18th in basketball in PPG given up with 113.6. They are able to force 13.5 TO's every game and have let teams shoot 45.9% from the floor (9th in the league).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Dallas

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