Memphis Grizzlies vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction, 4/22/2025 Preview and Pick

Game: Memphis Grizzlies vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Date: Tuesday, April 22, 2025

Location: Paycom Center in Oklahoma City, OK

TV: TNT

Odds/Point Spread: Memphis (+15.0)

The Memphis Grizzlies (48-34) are traveling to Paycom Center on Tuesday where they will try to defeat the Oklahoma City Thunder (68-14) in Game 2 of the Western Conference First Round. They're down 0-1 to the Thunder as we sit. Oklahoma City opens this matchup as 15-point favorites from Vegas oddsmakers. The over/under comes in at 230.

The Grizzlies faced the Thunder and ended up losing by a score of 131-80 in game one of the Western Conference playoffs. Memphis wrapped up the contest having earned a 34.4% FG percentage (32 of 93) and buried 6 of 34 3-pointers. At the charity stripe, the Grizzlies made 10 of 12 tries for a percentage of 83.3%. In relation to grabbing rebounds, they earned 43 with 13 of them being of the offensive sort. They also recorded 18 assists for the matchup as well as forcing 16 turnovers and having 7 steals. Concerning defense, Memphis let their opponent shoot 50.5% from the floor on 50 of 99 shooting. Oklahoma City earned 36 dimes and had 12 steals for the matchup. In addition, Oklahoma City pulled down 54 boards (12 offensive, 42 defensive) and earned 4 blocked shots. Oklahoma City finished the game at 93.3% at the free throw line by knocking down 14 of their 15 tries. They also made 17 out of their 48 shots from long range. In relation to fouls, the Grizzlies ended up with 15 while the Thunder had 16 fouls.

Marvin Bagley III is a guy who was a major factor for this contest. Bagley finished the game at 100.0% from the field but had no dimes when the game ended. He was on the hardwood for 16 minutes and totaled 5 rebounds. He notched 17 points on 8 of 8 shooting.

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Memphis will play this contest with a mark of 48-34 so far this season. They are averaging 121.7 points per contest (2nd in the league) while hitting 47.9% from the field. The Grizzlies are hitting 36.7% on shots from beyond the arc (1,141 of 3,107) and 78.6% from the free throw line. As a team, Memphis is pulling in 47.3 rebounds per game and has tallied 2,330 dimes so far this season, which has them ranked 8th in the league in terms of passing the rock. They lose possession by turning the ball over 15.7 times per game and as a team they are committing 20.9 personal fouls on a nightly basis.

On the defensive end of the court, the Grizzlies have forced 15.1 turnovers on a nightly basis and they draw 20.2 personal fouls. They are 18th in basketball in allowing assists to the opposition with 2,217 conceded for the campaign. The Grizzlies are giving up a shooting percentage of 45.6% (3,435 of 7,529) and they relinquish 43.5 rebounds per game as a basketball team. They give up 36.0% on three-point shots and they are ranked 24th in the league in points per game from their opponents (116.9).

In regard to cleaning up the glass in Game 1, Oklahoma City permitted Memphis to snag 43 in all (13 offensive). They went 17.6% from downtown by connecting on 6 of 34 and walked away from this one shooting 10 out of 12 at the free throw line (83.3%). The Thunder permitted the Grizzlies to make 32 out of 93 attempts from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 34.4% in the game. When all was said and done, the Thunder shot 50 for 99 from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 50.5%. In the matter of shots from distance, Oklahoma City knocked down 17 out of their 48 attempts (35.4%). They were able to make 14 of them for a percentage of 93.3%. The Grizzlies were called for 15 personal fouls in this game which got the Thunder to the charity stripe for a total of 15 shots. They also gave up possession of the ball 16 times, while earning 12 steals for the contest. The Thunder corralled 42 defensive boards and 12 offensive rebounds for a total of 54 for the matchup.

Aaron Wiggins pitched in for the Thunder for the matchup. Wiggins tallied 21 points in his 26 minutes of playing time and had 2 dimes in this game. He buried 8 of 15 for the matchup giving him a field goal percentage of 53.3%, and had 4 rebounds.

Oklahoma City has a mark of 68-14 on the season. On the offensive side of the ball, the Thunder are hitting on 48.2% from the floor, which ranks 7th in the NBA. Oklahoma City has totaled 9,881 pts so far this season (120.5 per contest) and they pull in 44.8 boards per contest. They are dishing out assists 26.9 times per game (12th in basketball) and they turn the ball over 11.7 times per game. The Thunder commit 19.9 personal fouls every game and they go 81.9% from the charity stripe.

The Thunder defensively are ranked 3rd in basketball in points per game surrendered with 107.6. They have forced 17.0 turnovers per game and have allowed teams to shoot 43.6% from the floor (1st in the NBA). The Oklahoma City defense allows 34.2% from downtown (1,104 of 3,225) and their opponents are knocking down 77.4% of their free throw shots. They give up 24.6 assists and 44.9 rebounds every game, which ranks them 4th and 20th in the league.

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Oklahoma City (-15.0)

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