Indiana Pacers vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction, 4/27/2025 Preview and Pick

Game: Indiana Pacers vs Milwaukee Bucks

Date: Sunday, April 27, 2025

Location: Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee, WI

TV: TNT

Odds/Point Spread: Indiana (+4.0)

The Indiana Pacers (50-32) are traveling to Fiserv Forum on Sunday where they will try to defeat the Milwaukee Bucks (48-34) in Game 4 of the Eastern Conference First Round. The Pacers lead the series 2-1. Indiana is 4-point underdogs. The total is 226.

The Pacers played the Bucks and walked away with a loss by a score of 117-101 in Game 3. Indiana walked away from the contest having earned a 43.3% field goal percentage (39 of 90) and buried 13 of their 41 shots from beyond the arc. From the free throw line, the Pacers buried 10 of their 13 tries for a rate of 76.9%. Concerning rebounding, they collected a total of 40 with 7 of them being offensive. They also distributed 32 assists for the contest in addition to forcing the opposition into 13 turnovers and having 8 steals. When it comes to defending, Indiana allowed their opponent to shoot 47.2% from the field on 42 of 89 shooting. Milwaukee doled out 28 assists and had 8 steals in the game. In addition, Milwaukee grabbed 48 boards (10 offensive, 38 defensive) and earned 4 blocked shots. Milwaukee ended up going 81.8% from the charity stripe by making 18 of 22 attempts. They knocked down 15 of their 41 tries from long range. Regarding personal fouls, the Pacers ended up with 20 and the Bucks racked up 18 personal fouls.

Pascal Siakam is a guy who was a major contributor in the game. Siakam finished the game at 63.2% from the field and earned 2 dimes. He saw the court for 31 minutes and also totaled 5 boards. He accumulated 28 points on 12 of 19 shooting.

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Indiana enters this contest with a win-loss record of 50-32 so far this season. They are turning it over 13.2 times per contest and as a basketball team they are committing 18.7 fouls on a nightly basis. As a team, Indiana is pulling down 41.8 rebounds per game and is sitting with 2,398 assists so far this year, which ranks 3rd in the NBA in terms of passing the rock. The Pacers are hitting 36.8% on shots from downtown (1,081 of 2,934) and 78.9% from the charity stripe. They have an average of 117.4 points per contest (7th in the league) while going 48.8% from the field.

When they are on defense, the Pacers are forcing their opponents into 15.0 turnovers per game while drawing 18.8 personal fouls. They are currently ranked 12th in the league in giving up assists with 2,131 surrendered for the year. The Pacers defensively are giving up a field goal percentage of 47.4% (3,493 of 7,372) and they relinquish 45.0 rebounds per game as a unit. They give up 35.5% on shots from beyond the arc and they are ranked 17th in basketball in opponents points per game (115.1).

In Game 3, Regarding how they rebounded, Milwaukee allowed Indiana to grab 40 in all (7 offensive). They finished 31.7% from 3-point land by hitting 13 of 41 and walked away from this one shooting 10 out of 13 from the charity stripe (76.9%). The Bucks allowed the Pacers to bury 39 out of their 90 attempts from the field which left them with a shooting percentage of 43.3% in the matchup. Overall, the Bucks finished shooting 42 out of 89 from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 47.2%. Regarding 3-pointers, Milwaukee made 15 out of their 41 tries (36.6%). They were able to convert 18 of the free throw attempts for a percentage of 81.8%. The Pacers were called for 20 personal fouls for the matchup which took the Bucks to the free throw line for a total of 22 shots. They coughed up the ball 13 times, while recording 8 steals for this contest. the Bucks collected 38 defensive boards and 10 offensive rebounds totaling 48 in the matchup.

Giannis Antetokounmpo was important for the Bucks in the matchup. He made 14 of 19 in the game for a field goal percentage of 73.7%, and accounted for 12 rebounds. Antetokounmpo had 37 points in his 32 mins on the hardwood and had 6 dimes for the contest.

Milwaukee has a record of 48-34 on the year. As an offense, the Bucks are hitting on 48.6% from the field, which is 4th in the league. Milwaukee has accounted for 9,472 pts for the season (115.5 per contest) and they collect 43.4 boards per game. Their rate of assisting teammates is at 25.5 times per contest (21st in the NBA) and they turn it over 13.4 times per contest. The Bucks commit 17.9 fouls per contest and they connect on 75.0% from the charity stripe.

The Milwaukee defense concedes 35.3% on 3-point attempts (1,140 of 3,232) and their opponents are knocking down 78.3% of their free throw attempts. They give up 26.4 dimes and 45.3 rebounds per contest, which ranks them 14th and 24th in basketball. The Bucks defensively are ranked 13th in basketball in PPG given up with 113.0. They are forcing 12.9 turnovers on a nightly basis and have allowed teams to shoot 45.7% from the floor (5th in the league).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Milwaukee (-4.0)

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