Indiana Pacers vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction, 4/25/2025 Preview and Pick

Game: Indiana Pacers vs Milwaukee Bucks

Date: Friday, April 25, 2025

Location: Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee, WI

TV: NBA TV

Odds/Point Spread: Indiana (+6.0)

The Indiana Pacers (50-32) are on their way to Fiserv Forum on Friday where they will take on the Milwaukee Bucks (48-34) in Game 3 of the Eastern Conference First Round while being up 2 - 0 in the series. Indiana opens this matchup as 6-point underdogs from Vegas oddsmakers. The betting total comes in at 231.

in Game 2 of the series, the Pacers played the Bucks and went home with a win by a final score of 123-115. Indiana ended the contest with a 48.9% field goal percentage (44 of 90) and converted 16 of their 36 3-point attempts. From the free throw line, the Pacers knocked down 19 of their 19 attempts for a rate of 100.0%. Concerning getting rebounds, they collected a total of 38 with 7 of them being on the offensive end. They also dished out 30 assists for this game as well as forcing 16 turnovers and getting 8 steals. When discussing defense, Indiana allowed the other team to go 50.6% from the floor on 44 of 87 shooting. Milwaukee recorded 26 dimes and had 3 steals in the game. In addition, Milwaukee snagged 43 rebounds (12 offensive, 31 defensive) and earned 3 blocked shots. Milwaukee shot 68.4% at the free throw line by knocking down 13 of their 19 shots. They made 14 of 35 attempts from 3-point range. In relation to personal fouls, the Pacers walked away with 19 and the Bucks recorded 19 personal fouls.

Pascal Siakam is one player who was a factor in this matchup. He accumulated 24 points on 8 out of 16 shooting. He played for 34 mins played and snagged 11 rebounds. Siakam went 50.0% from the floor and recorded 3 assists.

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Indiana will enter this contest with a win-loss record of 50-32 on the season. They lose possession via turnover 13.2 times per contest and as a group they are committing 18.7 fouls per game. As a unit, Indiana is collecting 41.8 boards per game and is sitting with 2,398 assists for the year, which is 3rd in basketball in terms of passing. The Pacers are shooting 36.8% on shots from 3-point land (1,081 of 2,934) and 78.9% from the charity stripe. They are averaging 117.4 points per contest (7th in basketball) while hitting 48.8% from the floor.

On the defensive end, the Pacers are forcing their opponents into 15.0 turnovers per game and they draw 18.8 personal fouls. They are giving up 35.5% from 3-point land while they are 17th in basketball in PPG allowed (115.1). The Pacers defense is allowing a field goal percentage of 47.4% (3,493 of 7,372) and they relinquish 45.0 boards per game as a group. They rank 12th in basketball in giving up assists to the opposition with 2,131 relinquished on the season.

In Game 2, the Bucks corralled 31 defensive rebounds and 12 offensive rebounds for a total of 43 for this contest. They turned the ball over 16 times, while earning 3 steals in the matchup. The Pacers were called for 19 fouls for the game which got the Bucks to the free throw line for a total of 19 tries. They were able to knock down 13 of those for a percentage of 68.4%. Pertaining to 3-point attempts, Milwaukee made 14 of their 35 attempts (40.0%). When this game wrapped up, the Bucks walked away from this one shooting 44 out of 87 from the floor which gave them a rate of 50.6%. The Bucks allowed the Pacers to knock down 44 out of 90 attempts from the floor which gave them a percentage of 48.9% in this contest. They finished 44.4% from 3-point land by connecting on 16 of 36 and walked away from this one shooting 19 of 19 at the free throw line (100.0%). With respect to rebounding, Milwaukee permitted Indiana to pull down 38 in total (7 on the offensive glass).

Giannis Antetokounmpo was important for the Bucks in this game. He buried 14 of 20 in this contest giving him a rate of 70.0%, and totaled 18 rebounds. Antetokounmpo had 34 points in his 40 mins on the hardwood and tallied 7 dimes in this game.

Milwaukee has a win-loss mark of 48-34 on the campaign. The Bucks are responsible for committing 17.9 fouls every game and they shoot 75.0% from the free throw line. They are dishing out assists 25.5 times per game (21st in the league) and they are giving up possession 13.4 times per game. Milwaukee has totaled 9,472 points on the season (115.5 per contest) and they snag 43.4 rebounds per contest. When it comes to offensive execution, the Bucks are connecting on 48.6% from the field, which is 4th in the NBA.

The Bucks on the defensive end are ranked 13th in the NBA in points per game surrendered with 113.0. They are forcing 12.9 TO's every game and have allowed teams to shoot 45.7% from the field (5th in the league). The Milwaukee defense surrenders 35.3% on 3-point shots (1,140 of 3,232) and their opponents are making 78.3% of their shots from the free throw line. They relinquish 26.4 assists and 45.3 boards per contest, which is 14th and 24th in basketball.

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Milwaukee (-6.0)

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