Indiana Pacers vs Miami Heat Prediction, 2/28/2025 Preview and Pick

Game: Indiana Pacers vs Miami Heat

Date: Friday, February 28, 2025

Location: Kaseya Center in Miami, FL

TV: FanDuel Sports Network

Kaseya Center is where the Miami Heat (27-30) will play the Indiana Pacers (33-24) on Friday.

The Pacers faced the Raptors and went home with a win by a final score of 111-91 in their last contest. Indiana walked away from the game with a 53.1% FG percentage (43 out of 81) and converted 15 of their 37 shots from beyond the perimeter. From the free throw line, the Pacers converted 10 of 16 attempts for a rate of 62.5%. In terms of hauling in boards, they earned 41 with 4 of them being offensive. They also doled out 28 assists in this matchup in addition to forcing the other team into 21 turnovers and earning 10 steals. With regard to the defense, Indiana allowed their opponent to shoot 42.5% from the field on 37 out of 87 shooting. Toronto doled out 23 assists and had 8 steals for the game. Additionally, Toronto collected 40 rebounds (11 offensive, 29 defensive) and added 7 blocked shots. Toronto shot 68.8% from the charity stripe by making 11 of their 16 attempts. They also buried 6 out of their 27 shots from beyond the arc. When talking about fouls, the Pacers ended up finishing with 18 while the Raptors accounted for 15 fouls.

Tyrese Haliburton is a guy who played a role for the game. Haliburton walked away from this one shooting 80.0% from the floor and distributed 11 assists. He was on the hardwood for 33 minutes and totaled 3 rebounds. He scored 33 points on 12 out of 15 shooting.

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Indiana enters this contest with a win-loss mark of 33-24 for the season. They turn the ball over 13.5 times per game and as a basketball team are committing 19.1 personal fouls every game. As a team, Indiana is collecting 41.4 rebounds per game and has earned 1,647 dimes on the campaign, which ranks 8th in basketball in terms of passing the rock. The Pacers are shooting 36.7% on 3-point shots (725 of 1,974) and 78.6% from the charity stripe. They are averaging 116.4 points per game (10th in the league) while going 49.0% from the field.

On the defensive end of the court, the Pacers are forcing their opponents into 15.0 turnovers on a nightly basis and they draw 18.6 fouls. They are conceding 35.6% on 3-pointers and they are 20th in basketball in points per game allowed (115.2). The Pacers are allowing a shooting percentage of 47.4% (2,409 of 5,087) and they surrender 44.6 boards per game as a squad. They are 13th in basketball in allowing assists with 1,517 surrendered so far this season.

The last time they took the court, the Heat walked away with a victory by a final of 131-109 against the Hawks. With respect to team rebounding, Miami permitted Atlanta to snag 33 in total (9 on the offensive glass). They shot 37.5% from 3-point land by going 12 out of 32 and walked away from this one shooting 15 of 19 from the charity stripe (78.9%). The Heat allowed the Hawks to bury 41 out of their 81 tries from the field which gave them a percentage of 50.6% in the matchup. When all was said and done, the Heat finished 45 for 76 from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 59.2%. When talking about shots from distance, Miami converted 23 of 42 tries (54.8%). They were able to make 18 of those for a rate of 81.8%. The Hawks had 15 personal fouls for this game which got the Heat to the free throw line for 22 shots. They also turned it over 17 times, while recording 10 steals in this matchup. The Heat collected 27 defensive rebounds and 8 offensive boards for a total of 35 for this game.

Tyler Herro ended up having an impact for the Heat in this contest. Herro recorded 24 points in his 34 minutes of playing time and added 10 dimes for the contest. He converted 7 out of 16 for the matchup giving him a field goal percentage of 43.8%, and had 2 rebounds.

Miami has a win-loss record of 27-30 so far this year. The Heat are responsible for committing 15.8 fouls per contest while shooting 79.3% from the free throw line. They are dishing out assists 26.1 times per game (16th in the NBA) and they turn it over 13.8 times per contest. Miami has tallied 6,272 pts for the year (110.0 per game) and they average 43.9 rebounds per game. When it comes to executing on offense, the Heat are connecting on 45.5% from the floor, which has them ranked 21st in the NBA.

The Miami defense allows 35.7% on shots from 3-point land (780 of 2,186) and opponents are converting on 78.5% of their free throw attempts. They concede 26.9 dimes and 45.5 boards per game, which ranks them 21st and 23rd in the league. The Heat on defense are ranked 7th in basketball in PPG given up with 110.6. They are forcing their opponents into 13.7 TO's per game and have allowed teams to shoot 46.3% from the floor (12th in basketball).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Indiana

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