Houston Rockets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction, 3/3/2025 Preview and Pick

Game: Houston Rockets vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Date: Monday, March 3, 2025

Location: Paycom Center in Oklahoma City, OK

TV: FanDuel Sports Network

The Oklahoma City Thunder (47-11) are welcoming the Houston Rockets (37-22) at Paycom Center on Monday.

The Rockets played the Spurs and earned the victory with a final of 118-106 in their last game. Houston ended the contest with a 47.1% field goal percentage (48 out of 102) and buried 11 out of their 38 shots from distance. From the free throw line, the Rockets knocked down 11 of their 14 shots for a percentage of 78.6%. Regarding grabbing boards, they collected 60 with 20 of them being offensive. They also recorded 22 dimes in this matchup while forcing 8 turnovers and getting 4 steals. When it comes to defending, Houston allowed their opponent to shoot 42.0% from the field on 42 out of 100 shooting. San Antonio totaled 28 assists and had 10 steals for the game. In addition, San Antonio snagged 41 rebounds (12 offensive, 29 defensive) and had 5 blocked shots. San Antonio finished the contest at 71.4% from the free throw line by knocking down 15 of 21 tries. They knocked down 7 out of their 39 attempts from 3-point land. With respect to fouls, the Rockets ended up with 14 and the Spurs had 14 fouls.

Amen Thompson is one player who had an impact for the contest. Thompson ended up going 80.0% from the field and also earned 5 assists. He played 30 mins and grabbed 9 boards. He ended up finishing with 25 points on 12 of 15 shooting.

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Houston enters this one with a record of 37-22 this season. They turn the ball over 13.9 times per contest and as a group they are committing 19.6 fouls per contest. As a team, Houston is pulling in 48.2 boards per game and has earned 1,337 dimes for the year, which is 29th in the NBA in terms of passing the rock. The Rockets are connecting on 34.2% on three-point attempts (716 of 2,095) and 74.8% from the free throw line. They have an average of 112.8 points per outing (17th in the NBA) on 44.7% from the field.

When they are on the defensive end, the Rockets are forcing 14.6 turnovers per contest and they draw 19.8 personal fouls. They are currently ranked 1st in the league in giving up assists to the opposition with 1,348 surrendered for the season. The Rockets defense is giving up a FG percentage of 45.3% (2,358 of 5,204) and they concede 42.9 rebounds per contest as a unit. They are giving up 34.9% on 3-pointers and they are 5th in the league in PPG allowed (108.8).

The last time they took the court, the Thunder walked away with a victory by a final of 129-121 when they faced the Nets. The Thunder pulled down 34 defensive boards and 11 offensive rebounds totaling 45 for the game. They also coughed it up 12 times, while getting 10 steals in the game. The Nets earned 25 personal fouls for this contest which got the Thunder to the free throw line for 29 shots. They were able to make 24 of the free throw tries for a percentage of 82.8%. In terms of shooting from beyond the arc, Oklahoma City converted 9 of 30 attempts (30.0%). When this game wrapped up, the Thunder finished 48 out of 90 from the field which gave them a percentage of 53.3%. The Thunder allowed the Nets to convert 38 of 93 tries from the field which had them shooting 40.9% for the game. They finished 37.7% from distance by shooting 23 of 61 and finished the contest at 22 out of 25 at the charity stripe (88.0%). In reference to rebounding, Oklahoma City permitted Brooklyn to pull down 46 in total (18 offensive).

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander was important for the Thunder in this matchup. He knocked down 7 out of 11 for the matchup giving him a rate of 63.6%, and had 6 rebounds. Gilgeous-Alexander racked up 27 points in his 34 minutes on the court and had 5 dimes in this matchup.

Oklahoma City has a record of 47-11 on the season. As an offensive team, the Thunder are shooting 47.6% from the floor, which ranks them 9th in the league. Oklahoma City has totaled 6,880 points for the season (118.6 per contest) and they collect 44.7 boards per contest. Their rate of dishing out assists is at 26.5 times per contest (14th in the NBA) and they are giving up possession 11.9 times per contest. The Thunder commit 20.6 fouls per contest and they go 82.2% from the free throw line.

The Oklahoma City defense gives up 33.2% on shots from beyond the arc (745 of 2,241) and opponents are making 76.8% of their free throw shots. They have given up 24.4 dimes and 45.6 rebounds per game, which has them ranked 4th and 25th in the league. The Thunder are ranked 2nd in the league in PPG given up with 106.0. They have forced 17.9 turnovers on a nightly basis and have let teams shoot 43.1% from the field (1st in basketball).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Houston

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