Houston Rockets vs Miami Heat Prediction, 3/21/2025 Preview and Pick

Game: Houston Rockets vs Miami Heat

Date: Friday, March 21, 2025

Location: Kaseya Center in Miami, FL

TV: FanDuel Sports Network

Kaseya Center is the location where the Miami Heat (29-40) will go up against the Houston Rockets (45-25) on Friday.

The Rockets stepped onto the hardwood against the Magic and took home the win by a score of 116-108 in their last game. In reference to personal fouls, the Rockets ended up with 18 and the Magic accumulated 20 personal fouls. They made 9 of their 35 tries from distance. Orlando ended up shooting 85.0% from the free throw line by burying 17 of 20 attempts. Moreover, Orlando grabbed 41 boards (14 offensive, 27 defensive) and added 5 rejections. Orlando doled out 23 assists and had 7 steals in the game. When discussing defense, Houston allowed their opponent to shoot 44.6% from the floor on 41 out of 92 shooting. They also recorded 18 assists for the matchup as well as forcing the other team into 12 turnovers and earning 10 steals. In terms of grabbing boards, they earned a total of 46 with 12 of them being on the offensive end. When they shot from the free throw line, the Rockets buried 29 of their 32 shots for a rate of 90.6%. Houston ended the game with a 46.9% FG percentage (38 out of 81) and made 11 of their 35 shots from beyond the perimeter.

Jalen Green is one player who played a role in this matchup. He racked up 26 points on 8 out of 18 shooting. He saw the court for 37 minutes and totaled 7 rebounds. Green finished the game at 44.4% from the floor and also earned 2 assists.

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Houston heads into this one with a mark of 45-25 so far this season. They turn the ball over 14.0 times per contest and as a team are committing 19.4 personal fouls every game. As a unit, Houston is pulling in 48.7 rebounds per game and has earned 1,611 assists so far this year, which has them ranked 28th in the league in terms of passing the rock. The Rockets are connecting on 34.7% on three-point attempts (870 of 2,508) and 74.3% from the charity stripe. They average 113.7 points per outing (16th in basketball) while hitting 45.1% from the floor.

Defensively, the Rockets are able to force 14.4 turnovers per contest and they draw 19.6 personal fouls. They rank 1st in the league in allowing assists to their opponents with 1,599 relinquished so far this season. The Rockets defensively are giving up an opponent shooting percentage of 45.4% (2,811 of 6,189) and they concede 42.4 boards per game as a basketball team. They surrender 35.2% on shots from downtown while they are 5th in the NBA in points per game allowed (109.1).

For their last game, the Heat walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 116-113 against the Pistons. When talking about team rebounding, Miami permitted Detroit to pull down 47 overall (13 offensive). They went 39.1% from behind the 3-point line by shooting 9 out of 23 and ended up going 15 of 18 from the free throw line (83.3%). The Heat allowed the Pistons to make 46 out of 91 attempts from the floor which had them at 50.5% for the matchup. At the conclusion of this game, the Heat went 44 out of 90 from the floor which gave them a rate of 48.9%. With respect to shots from beyond the perimeter, Miami knocked down 10 of 32 attempts (31.3%). They were able to bury 15 of those for a percentage of 83.3%. The Pistons earned 20 fouls in this matchup which took the Heat to the free throw line for a total of 18 attempts. They also coughed up the ball 13 times, while earning 7 steals for the matchup. The Heat were able to pull down 26 defensive rebounds and 11 offensive boards for a total of 37 for the matchup.

Bam Adebayo ended up having an impact for the Heat for this game. He made 12 of 24 in the game for a rate of 50.0%, and had 9 rebounds. Adebayo totaled 30 points in his 37 minutes of playing time and totaled 8 assists for this contest.

Miami has a win-loss mark of 29-40 for the season. The Heat are committing 15.7 fouls every game and they shoot 79.1% from the charity stripe. Their rate of earning assists is at 26.2 times per game (16th in the NBA) and they cough up possession 13.8 times per game. Miami has scored 7,531 points for the season (109.1 per contest) and they pull down 43.2 boards per game. On the offensive side of the ball, the Heat are hitting on 45.8% from the floor, which has them ranked 21st in basketball.

The Miami defense gives up 35.9% on shots from distance (948 of 2,640) and their opponents are converting on 78.7% of their shots from the charity stripe. They give up 26.8 dimes and 45.1 rebounds on a nightly basis, which is 17th and 21st in the NBA. The Heat on the defensive end are ranked 8th in the NBA in PPG given up with 110.8. They are forcing their opponents into 13.5 TO's every game and have let teams shoot 46.6% from the field (14th in the league).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Miami

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