Houston Rockets vs Indiana Pacers Prediction, 3/4/2025 Preview and Pick
Game: Houston Rockets vs Indiana Pacers
Date: Tuesday, March 4, 2025
Location: Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, IN
TV: FanDuel Sports Network
The Houston Rockets (37-23) are hitting the road to Gainbridge Fieldhouse on Tuesday where they will take on the Indiana Pacers (34-25).

The Rockets stepped onto the hardwood against the Kings and took a loss by a final of 113-103 in their last contest. In relation to personal fouls, the Rockets finished with 16 while the Kings totaled 17 personal fouls. They also made 9 of their 28 attempts from downtown. Sacramento ended up shooting 76.2% at the charity stripe by knocking down 16 of their 21 shots. Furthermore, Sacramento pulled down 46 boards (13 offensive, 33 defensive) and had 2 rejections. Sacramento earned 21 assists and had 13 steals in this game. In terms of defending, Houston allowed 50.6% from the field on 44 out of 87 shooting. They also distributed 18 dimes for the game in addition to forcing the other team into 14 turnovers and earning 7 steals. When discussing pulling down boards, they collected a total of 43 with 13 of them being offensive. From the free throw line, the Rockets buried 16 of their 23 tries for a percentage of 69.6%. Houston ended the game having earned a 43.0% field goal percentage (37 out of 86) and made 13 out of their 35 shots from beyond the perimeter.
Alperen Sengun is a guy who was a major factor for this game. Sengun finished the game shooting 62.5% from the floor and also totaled 5 assists. He played 37 minutes played and snagged 10 rebounds. He ended up with 30 points on 10 of 16 shooting.
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Houston will play this game with a mark of 37-23 for the campaign. They currently have an average of 112.6 points per contest (18th in the NBA) while going 44.6% from the floor. The Rockets are shooting 34.2% on shots from downtown (729 of 2,130) and 74.7% from the free throw line. As a team, Houston is grabbing 48.1 rebounds per game and is sitting with 1,355 dimes this season, which has them ranked 29th in the NBA in terms of passing the ball. They turn it over 14.0 times per contest and as a basketball team they are committing 19.6 fouls per contest.
When they are on defense, the Rockets are forcing 14.6 turnovers per game while drawing 19.8 fouls. They are ranked 1st in the league in giving up assists to their opponents with 1,369 surrendered so far this year. The Rockets are allowing and opponent field goal percentage of 45.4% (2,402 of 5,291) and they concede 42.9 boards per game as a squad. They relinquish 34.9% on 3-point attempts and they are ranked 5th in the league in PPG from their opponents (108.8).
When they last stepped on the court, the Pacers walked away with a victory by a final of 127-112 when they played the Bulls. With respect to team rebounding, Indiana allowed Chicago to grab 42 overall (12 on the offensive side). They finished 30.3% from downtown by going 10 out of 33 and finished the game at 14 out of 18 at the free throw line (77.8%). The Pacers allowed the Bulls to make 44 out of 88 tries from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 50.0% for the game. When the final whistle was blown, the Pacers finished 48 for 87 from the floor which gave them a rate of 55.2%. Concerning shooting from downtown, Indiana knocked down 19 of 44 tries (43.2%). They were able to make 12 of them for a percentage of 66.7%. The Bulls committed 17 personal fouls for this game which took the Pacers to the charity stripe for 18 shots. They also gave up possession of the ball 12 times, while recording 7 steals for the game. The Pacers were able to pull down 31 defensive boards and 5 offensive boards totaling 36 in this game.
Aaron Nesmith ended up being a major contributor for the Pacers for the game. He knocked down 9 out of 16 for the game giving him a field goal percentage of 56.3%, and tallied 5 rebounds. Nesmith had 27 points in his 29 mins on the court and totaled 1 assist in this game.
Indiana has a mark of 34-25 on the season. As an offensive team, the Pacers are connecting on 49.1% from the floor, which is ranked 4th in basketball. Indiana has totaled 6,879 pts this season (116.6 per game) and they pull in 41.1 rebounds per game. Their rate of dishing out assists is at 29.1 times per contest (3rd in basketball) and they turn it over 13.5 times per game. The Pacers have committed 18.9 fouls every game and they hit 78.3% from the charity stripe.
The Pacers are ranked 20th in the league in PPG allowed with 115.3. They are forcing 15.0 TO's per game and allow teams to shoot 47.6% from the field (25th in the league). The Indiana defense gives up 35.8% on shots from distance (765 of 2,137) and opponents are converting on 78.0% of their shots from the free throw line. They surrender 26.7 assists and 44.4 rebounds per game, which is 15th and 17th in the league.
Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?
Tony Sink's Pick: Take Houston
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Additional Resources:
Indiana Pacers - Twitter
Houston Rockets - Twitter