Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors Prediction, 4/26/2025 Preview and Pick

Game: Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors

Date: Saturday, April 26, 2025

Location: Chase Center in San Francisco, CA

TV: ABC

Odds/Point Spread: Houston (+3.0)

With the series locked up at 1 - 1, the Golden State Warriors (48-34) will take on the Houston Rockets (52-30) at the Chase Center on Saturday in Game 3 of the Western Conference First Round. Golden State opens this game as 3-point favorites. The total is set at 202.

The Rockets faced off with the Warriors and walked away with a win by a score of 109-94 in Game 2. Houston wrapped up the game having earned a 45.3% FG percentage (39 out of 86) and knocked down 15 of their 40 shots from distance. From the charity stripe, the Rockets made 16 of 20 shots for a rate of 80.0%. When talking about pulling down rebounds, they collected 47 with 11 of them being offensive. They also dished out 21 assists for the contest while forcing the other team into 15 turnovers and getting 9 steals. In relation to defense, Houston allowed the other team to shoot 41.3% from the field on 33 of 80 shooting. Golden State recorded 22 dimes and had 7 steals for the matchup. In addition, Golden State collected 33 rebounds (7 offensive, 26 defensive) and earned 4 blocked shots. Golden State finished 61.1% when shooting free throws by burying 11 of 18 tries. They converted 17 of 43 attempts from 3-point land. When discussing fouls, the Rockets finished with 17 and the Warriors accumulated 18 fouls.

Jalen Green is one player who was a factor for the contest. Green went 52.0% from the field and also distributed 6 assists. He was on the court for 35 mins and also totaled 4 rebounds. He ended up scoring 38 points on 13 out of 25 shooting.

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Houston will enter this contest with a mark of 52-30 this year. They have an average of 114.3 pts per contest (14th in the league) on 45.5% from the field. The Rockets are connecting on 35.3% on 3-pointers (1,038 of 2,938) and 73.8% from the charity stripe. As a unit, Houston is pulling in 48.5 rebounds per game and has accounted for 1,914 dimes on the year, which is 28th in basketball in terms of passing. They turn it over 13.9 times per game and as a group they are committing 19.0 personal fouls per contest.

On the defensive end, the Rockets are forcing their opponents into 14.3 turnovers per contest and they draw 19.2 fouls. They are currently ranked 2nd in the league in giving up assists to the opposition with 1,926 conceded this year. The Rockets defensively are giving up and opponent field goal percentage of 45.9% (3,322 of 7,244) and they concede 42.1 boards per contest as a group. They are giving up 35.7% on shots from downtown while they are 6th in the league in PPG allowed (109.8).

In Game 2, the Warriors corralled 26 defensive rebounds and 7 offensive rebounds for a total of 33 in the matchup. They turned the ball over 15 times, while getting 7 steals in this contest. The Rockets earned 17 personal fouls for this contest which got the Warriors to the free throw line for a total of 18 attempts. They were able to bury 11 of the free throw attempts for a rate of 61.1%. In reference to shooting from beyond the arc, Golden State buried 17 out of 43 attempts (39.5%). When the final whistle blew, the Warriors went 33 out of 80 from the floor which gave them a percentage of 41.3%. The Warriors allowed the Rockets to convert 39 out of 86 tries from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 45.3% in the game. They finished the game shooting 37.5% from downtown by going 15 of 40 and ended up going 16 of 20 at the free throw line (80.0%). When talking about how they rebounded, Golden State permitted Houston to collect 47 in all (11 offensive).

Stephen Curry ended up being a factor for the Warriors in the game. Curry tallied 20 points in his 37 mins on the court and tallied 9 dimes in the matchup. He knocked down 6 out of 15 in this matchup giving him a field goal percentage of 40.0%, and accounted for 5 rebounds.

Golden State has a mark of 48-34 on the campaign. The Warriors have committed 19.2 fouls per game and they go 76.4% from the charity stripe. They are assisting teammates 29.1 times per game (4th in basketball) and they cough up possession 14.0 times per game. Golden State has accounted for 9,331 points this season (113.8 per game) and they average 45.4 boards per contest. When it comes to offensive execution, the Warriors are hitting on 45.1% from the field, which ranks 25th in the league.

The Warriors defensively are ranked 8th in basketball in points per game surrendered with 110.5. They are able to force 15.7 turnovers per game and have let teams shoot 46.5% from the floor (11th in the league). The Golden State defense gives up 36.3% on shots from distance (1,080 of 2,976) and opponents are knocking down 76.9% of their foul shots. They have relinquished 25.9 assists and 44.1 total rebounds per game, which ranks 10th and 15th in the NBA.

So what is Tonights Parlay prediction?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Golden State (-3.0)

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