Golden State Warriors vs Miami Heat Prediction, 3/25/2025 Preview and Pick

Game: Golden State Warriors vs Miami Heat

Date: Tuesday, March 25, 2025

Location: Kaseya Center in Miami, FL

TV: FanDuel Sports Network

Kaseya Center is where the Miami Heat (30-41) will attempt to defeat the Golden State Warriors (41-30) on Tuesday.

The Warriors faced the Hawks and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 124-115 in their last game. Golden State walked away from the game having earned a 46.4% field goal percentage (39 out of 84) and made 16 of their 38 three-point attempts. From the charity stripe, the Warriors buried 21 of their 26 attempts for a rate of 80.8%. In regard to grabbing rebounds, they compiled 38 with 6 of them being of the offensive variety. They also recorded 28 dimes in the game while forcing 16 turnovers and having 8 steals. In the matter of the defense, Golden State allowed 57.0% from the field on 49 out of 86 shooting. Atlanta recorded 37 assists and had 5 steals in this game. In addition, Atlanta totaled 46 rebounds (10 offensive, 36 defensive) and earned 4 blocked shots. Atlanta went 61.1% when shooting free throws by burying 11 of 18 attempts. They also made 15 out of their 36 tries from beyond the arc. With respect to fouls, the Warriors left the arena with 16 and the Hawks finished the game with 23 fouls.

Jimmy Butler is a guy who was a factor in the game. Butler finished shooting 46.7% from the field and recorded 8 dimes. He saw the court for 38 mins played and also totaled 4 rebounds. He racked up 25 points on 7 of 15 shooting.

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Golden State enters this one with a mark of 41-30 so far this year. They turn it over 14.0 times per contest and as a group they commit 19.4 personal fouls per contest. As a team, Golden State is pulling down 45.6 rebounds per game and is sitting with 2,066 assists for the year, which ranks 3rd in the league in terms of passing the rock. The Warriors are connecting on 36.3% from downtown (1,088 of 2,994) and 75.5% from the free throw line. They average 113.4 pts per contest (18th in the NBA) while connecting on 45.0% from the field.

When they are on defense, the Warriors are able to force 15.4 turnovers every game and they draw 18.4 personal fouls. They rank 13th in basketball in allowing assists to the opposition with 1,847 conceded so far this year. The Warriors defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 46.4% (2,878 of 6,199) and they relinquish 44.3 boards per contest as a basketball team. They give up 36.1% on shots from distance and they are 8th in the league in opponents PPG (110.9).

The last time they took the court, the Heat got the win with a final of 122-105 when they played the Hornets. In reference to how they rebounded, Miami permitted Charlotte to snag 40 overall (12 on the offensive glass). They went 33.3% from 3-point land by shooting 11 out of 33 and walked away from this one shooting 12 out of 13 from the free throw line (92.3%). The Heat allowed the Hornets to convert 41 out of 87 tries from the floor which gave them a rate of 47.1% in the matchup. Overall, the Heat ended up shooting 47 out of 82 from the field which gave them a rate of 57.3%. Regarding shooting from 3-point land, Miami made 12 out of their 29 tries (41.4%). They were able to make 16 of the free throw tries for a rate of 80.0%. The Hornets committed 15 fouls for the game which took the Heat to the free throw line for 20 tries. They also coughed it up 12 times, while earning 10 steals for the matchup. The Heat corralled 25 defensive rebounds and 7 offensive boards totaling 32 in the matchup.

Andrew Wiggins ended up being a major contributor for the Heat in the matchup. Wiggins racked up 42 points in his 35 minutes of playing time and added 5 assists for the matchup. He buried 16 out of 21 in this game for a field goal rate of 76.2%, and tallied 3 rebounds.

Miami has a win-loss mark of 30-41 for the season. On the offensive side of the court, the Heat are shooting 46.0% from the floor, which ranks them 19th in basketball. Miami has accounted for 7,751 points on the year (109.2 per contest) and they snag 42.9 rebounds per contest. They are dishing out assists 26.2 times per game (16th in basketball) and they cough up possession 13.8 times per contest. The Heat are responsible for committing 15.7 personal fouls every game and they go 79.2% from the charity stripe.

The Miami defense gives up 36.0% from downtown (973 of 2,701) and their opposition knocks down 78.3% of their shots from the free throw line. They give up 26.6 assists and 45.0 boards per contest, ranking them 15th and 22nd in the league. The Heat on the defensive end are ranked 7th in basketball in points given up per game with 110.6. They are forcing 13.7 TO's per game and allow teams to shoot 46.6% from the floor (13th in the NBA).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Golden State

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