Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets Prediction, 4/23/2025 Preview and Pick

Game: Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets

Date: Wednesday, April 23, 2025

Location: Toyota Center in Houston, TX

TV: TNT

Odds/Point Spread: Golden State (+3.0)

The Golden State Warriors (48-34) are traveling to Toyota Center on Wednesday where they will go up against the Houston Rockets (52-30) in Game 2 of the Western Conference First Round after grabbing the win in Game 1. Golden State opens as 3-point dogs. The over/under has been set at 204.

The Warriors took home the win by a score of 95-85  in Game 1. In relation to fouls, the Warriors walked away with 18 and the Rockets totaled 15 fouls. They also knocked down 6 of 29 shots from 3-point range. Houston finished shooting 55.0% from the free throw line by making 11 of 20 shots. On top of that, Houston had 52 rebounds (22 offensive, 30 defensive) and added 1 block. Houston totaled 19 dimes and had 9 steals in the game. In the matter of defense, Golden State allowed their opponent to shoot 39.1% from the field on 34 out of 87 shooting. They also recorded 20 dimes in the matchup while forcing the other team into 17 turnovers and getting 14 steals. In relation to hauling in rebounds, they earned 36 with 6 of them being offensive. At the free throw line, the Warriors made 11 of 14 shots for a rate of 78.6%. Golden State wrapped up the contest having earned a 47.4% FG percentage (36 out of 76) and converted 12 of 32 3-point shots.

Stephen Curry is one player who was a factor for the matchup. He left the arena with 31 points on 12 out of 19 shooting. He was on the court for 40 minutes played and totaled 6 boards. Curry walked away from this one shooting 63.2% from the field and also earned 3 assists.

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Golden State enters this one with a mark of 48-34 for the season. They have an average of 113.8 pts per contest (17th in the NBA) while going 45.1% from the field. The Warriors are connecting on 36.4% on shots beyond the perimeter (1,264 of 3,475) and 76.4% from the free throw line. As a unit, Golden State is snagging 45.4 boards per contest and is sitting with 2,386 dimes on the season, which ranks 4th in the league in terms of passing. They are losing possession via turnover 14.0 times per contest and as a group they are committing 19.2 personal fouls every game.

When they are on defense, the Warriors have forced 15.7 turnovers per game and they draw 18.6 personal fouls. They are relinquishing 36.3% on shots from beyond the arc and they rank 8th in the league in PPG allowed (110.5). The Warriors defense is allowing and opponent field goal percentage of 46.5% (3,316 of 7,126) and they relinquish 44.1 boards per game as a team. They are currently ranked 10th in the NBA in giving up assists with 2,120 conceded on the campaign.

In Game 1, the Rockets collected 30 defensive rebounds and 22 offensive boards totaling 52 in this game. They coughed up the ball 17 times, while earning 9 steals for the game. The Warriors committed 18 personal fouls for this contest which got the Rockets to the free throw line for 20 attempts. They were able to knock down 11 of the free throws for a percentage of 55.0%. Regarding three-point attempts, Houston converted 6 of their 29 attempts (20.7%). When the final whistle blew, the Rockets finished the game shooting 34 out of 87 from the field which gave them a rate of 39.1%. The Rockets allowed the Warriors to convert 36 of their 76 attempts from the floor which gave them a rate of 47.4% for the game. They shot 37.5% from behind the 3-point line by shooting 12 of 32 and ended up going 11 of 14 from the free throw line (78.6%). When it comes to team rebounding, Houston permitted Golden State to pull down 36 overall (6 offensive).

Alperen Sengun was important for the Rockets in the game. Sengun accumulated 26 points in his 36 minutes on the court and had 1 assist for the game. He buried 11 out of 18 for the matchup for a rate of 61.1%, and had 9 rebounds.

Houston has a win-loss record of 52-30 this season. As an offense, the Rockets are connecting on 45.5% from the field, which is ranked 21st in the league. Houston has totaled 9,372 points for the campaign (114.3 per contest) and they snag 48.5 rebounds per game. Their rate of earning assists is at 23.3 times per contest (28th in the NBA) and they turn it over 13.9 times per contest. The Rockets commit 19.0 fouls every game and they go 73.8% from the charity stripe.

The Rockets on defense are ranked 6th in basketball in PPG given up with 109.8. They have forced 14.3 TO's every game and have let teams shoot 45.9% from the floor (6th in basketball). The Houston defense concedes 35.7% on shots from 3-point land (1,010 of 2,833) and their opposition knocks down 75.9% of their shots from the free throw line. They give up 23.5 assists and 42.1 total rebounds per game, which ranks 2nd and 4th in the league.

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Golden State (+3.0)

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