Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets Prediction, 4/20/2025 Preview and Pick

Game: Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets

Date: Sunday, April 20, 2025

Location: Toyota Center in Houston, TX

TV: TNT

Odds/Point Spread: Golden State (+2.0)

Toyota Center is the location where the Houston Rockets (52-30) will attempt to beat the Golden State Warriors (48-34) on Sunday in Game 1 of the Western Conference First Round. Golden State opens this game as 2-point dogs. The total is 213.

The Warriors faced off with the Memphis Grizzlies in their last outing and escaped by a score of 121 - 116. They were led by the two headed monster of Jimmy Butler and Steph Curry who put in 38 points and 37 points respectively. Butler was all over the court adding seven rebounds, six assists and three steals. Curry also filled the stat book with an additional eight rebounds and four assists.

They're going to need their two superstars to continue to lead the way when the face off with the Houston Rockets.

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Golden State heads into this contest with a record of 48-34 for the campaign. They lose possession via turnover 14.0 times per game and as a squad are committing 19.2 personal fouls every game. As a team, Golden State is grabbing 45.4 boards per game and is sitting with 2,386 assists for the season, which ranks 4th in the NBA in terms of passing. The Warriors are shooting 36.4% on shots from beyond the arc (1,264 of 3,475) and 76.4% from the charity stripe. They currently have an average of 113.8 pts per contest (17th in the league) while shooting 45.1% from the field.

On the defensive end, the Warriors are forcing their opponents into 15.7 turnovers on a nightly basis while drawing 18.6 personal fouls. They are giving up 36.3% on shots from downtown and they are ranked 8th in basketball in points per game allowed (110.5). The Warriors defense is giving up an opponent shooting percentage of 46.5% (3,316 of 7,126) and they surrender 44.1 boards per contest as a squad. They rank 10th in the league in allowing assists to their opponents with 2,120 surrendered for the year.

For their last game, the Rockets walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 126-111 against the Nuggets. The Rockets corralled 29 defensive boards and 16 offensive rebounds for a total of 45 in this matchup. They turned it over 10 times, while earning 5 steals in this matchup. The Nuggets earned 13 fouls in this matchup which got the Rockets to the charity stripe for 14 attempts. They were able to knock down 9 of those for a rate of 64.3%. With respect to shots from beyond the perimeter, Houston made 12 of 34 tries (35.3%). When all was said and done, the Rockets went 45 out of 100 from the field which gave them a percentage of 45.0%. The Rockets permitted the Nuggets to make 45 out of 88 attempts from the field which gave them a percentage of 51.1% in the matchup. They went 34.5% from three-point range by connecting on 10 out of 29 and ended up going 26 of 31 at the free throw line (83.9%). In regard to cleaning the glass, Houston permitted Denver to get 47 in total (11 offensive).

Amen Thompson ended up being a factor for the Rockets for this game. Thompson totaled 15 points in his 26 mins of playing time and added 6 assists in the matchup. He buried 6 out of 9 in the matchup giving him a rate of 66.7%, and totaled 6 rebounds.

Houston has a mark of 52-30 so far this year. The Rockets have committed 19.0 personal fouls per game and they shoot 73.8% from the charity stripe. They are getting an assist 23.3 times per game (28th in the NBA) and they turn it over 13.9 times per game. Houston has scored 9,372 pts this season (114.3 per game) and they collect 48.5 rebounds per contest. On the offensive side of the court, the Rockets are hitting on 45.5% from the floor, which is ranked 21st in the NBA.

The Rockets are ranked 6th in the league in PPG given up with 109.8. They are forcing 14.3 turnovers per game and have let teams shoot 45.9% from the field (6th in the league). The Houston defense surrenders 35.7% on shots from 3-point land (1,010 of 2,833) and their opposition makes 75.9% of their foul shots. They have relinquished 23.5 dimes and 42.1 boards per game, which is ranked 2nd and 4th in the NBA.

So what is Tonights Parlay prediction?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Houston (-2.0)

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