Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction, 3/10/2025 Preview and Pick

Game: Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Date: Monday, March 10, 2025

Location: Paycom Center in Oklahoma City, OK

TV: FanDuel Sports Network

The Oklahoma City Thunder (51-11) are welcoming the Denver Nuggets (40-22) at Paycom Center on Monday.

The Nuggets played the Kings and walked away with a win by a score of 116-110 in their last game. In reference to personal fouls, the Nuggets left the arena with 14 while the Kings totaled 20 personal fouls. They made 11 of their 27 shots from beyond the arc. Sacramento went 78.6% at the free throw line by making 11 of 14 attempts. In addition, Sacramento collected 45 boards (14 offensive, 31 defensive) and had 8 rejections. Sacramento earned 22 assists and had 8 steals in this matchup. In the matter of defending, Denver allowed their opponent to shoot 45.8% from the field on 44 out of 96 shooting. They also doled out 28 assists in this contest while forcing the opposition into 12 turnovers and earning 5 steals. With regard to rebounding, they collected 46 with 11 of them being of the offensive variety. From the free throw line, the Nuggets converted 24 of their 30 tries for a percentage of 80.0%. Denver walked away from the game with a 46.0% FG percentage (40 out of 87) and made 12 out of their 35 shots from beyond the arc.

Russell Westbrook is a guy who was a major contributor in the game. He finished with 25 points on 10 of 20 shooting. He played 35 mins played and also grabbed 5 boards. Westbrook walked away from this one shooting 50.0% from the floor and earned 3 assists.

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Denver heads into this contest with a record of 40-22 for the year. They turn it over 14.4 times per game and as a unit they are committing 17.5 personal fouls per game. As a team, Denver is snagging 46.0 rebounds per game and has accumulated 1,928 dimes so far this season, which has them ranked 1st in the league in terms of passing. The Nuggets are connecting on 38.0% from downtown (744 of 1,958) and 77.6% from the charity stripe. They have an average of 121.0 points per outing (3rd in basketball) while going 50.7% from the floor.

Defensively, the Nuggets are forcing their opponents into 13.2 turnovers per game and they draw 18.9 personal fouls. They are relinquishing 36.2% on shots from beyond the perimeter and they are 22nd in basketball in points per game allowed (115.9). The Nuggets defense is allowing a field goal percentage of 46.3% (2,666 of 5,763) and they relinquish 42.3 rebounds per contest as a group. They are 27th in the NBA in giving up assists to the opposition with 1,802 relinquished for the year.

In their last game, the Thunder took home the win by a final score of 120-103 against the Grizzlies. The Thunder earned 36 defensive rebounds and 3 offensive boards totaling 39 in this matchup. They gave up possession of the ball 11 times, while recording 10 steals for this contest. The Grizzlies were called for 18 fouls for the matchup which took the Thunder to the free throw line for 19 tries. They were able to make 17 of the free throw tries for a percentage of 89.5%. When it comes to shots from beyond the arc, Oklahoma City made 15 out of their 36 attempts (41.7%). At the conclusion of this game, the Thunder went 44 out of 87 from the floor which had them sitting at 50.6%. The Thunder allowed the Grizzlies to knock down 37 of their 91 attempts from the field which had them sitting at 40.7% for the game. They finished the game shooting 26.5% from three-point range by connecting on 9 of 34 and finished the contest at 20 of 22 from the charity stripe (90.9%). Regarding team rebounding, Oklahoma City permitted Memphis to grab 49 in total (11 on the offensive side).

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander ended up having an impact for the Thunder for the game. Gilgeous-Alexander had 41 points in his 35 minutes on the hardwood and had 8 dimes in this contest. He made 14 out of 25 in this contest for a rate of 56.0%, and had 2 rebounds.

Oklahoma City has a mark of 51-11 for the campaign. As an offensive unit, the Thunder are shooting 47.9% from the field, which is 8th in the NBA. Oklahoma City has accounted for 7,418 points so far this year (119.6 per contest) and they pull down 44.6 boards per game. They are assisting teammates 26.9 times per game (13th in the league) and they turn the ball over 11.9 times per game. The Thunder commit 20.5 fouls per game and they shoot 82.5% from the charity stripe.

The Oklahoma City defense gives up 33.6% on shots from beyond the perimeter (803 of 2,389) and opponents are connecting on 77.1% of their free throw attempts. They concede 24.5 assists and 45.5 boards on a nightly basis, ranking them 4th and 25th in the league. The Thunder are ranked 2nd in basketball in PPG surrendered with 106.9. They are forcing 17.8 turnovers on a nightly basis and have allowed teams to shoot 43.5% from the field (1st in the league).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Denver

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