Denver Nuggets vs Houston Rockets Prediction, 3/23/2025 Preview and Pick

Game: Denver Nuggets vs Houston Rockets

Date: Sunday, March 23, 2025

Location: Toyota Center in Houston, TX

TV: Space City Home Network

The Houston Rockets (45-25) will try to defeat the Denver Nuggets (44-26) at Toyota Center on Sunday.

The Nuggets played the Lakers and took a loss by a score of 120-108 in their last game. When it comes to fouls, the Nuggets walked away with 17 while the Lakers recorded 17 fouls. They also knocked down 16 out of their 38 tries from beyond the perimeter. Los Angeles ended up going 71.4% when shooting free throws by knocking down 20 of 28 attempts. Moreover, Los Angeles grabbed 38 rebounds (8 offensive, 30 defensive) and had 4 blocked shots. Los Angeles doled out 25 assists and had 13 steals in the matchup. In reference to defense, Denver allowed the other team to go 50.6% from the field on 42 of 83 shooting. They also recorded 25 dimes for the matchup as well as forcing the opposition into 14 turnovers and having 8 steals. In terms of getting rebounds, they collected 45 with 12 of them being on the offensive end. From the charity stripe, the Nuggets made 13 of their 21 shots for a percentage of 61.9%. Denver walked away from the game with a 47.1% FG percentage (41 out of 87) and made 13 out of their 39 3-point attempts.

Aaron Gordon is one guy who came through for the matchup. Gordon walked away from this one shooting 64.3% from the floor but didn't record an assist. He was on the hardwood for 30 mins played and totaled 11 rebounds. He recorded 26 points on 9 of 14 shooting.

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Denver will enter this matchup with a record of 44-26 for the year. They average 120.9 pts per contest (3rd in the league) while connecting on 50.6% from the floor. The Nuggets are shooting 38.1% on three-point shots (854 of 2,243) and 77.3% from the free throw line. As a unit, Denver is pulling down 45.7 rebounds per contest and has totaled 2,174 assists on the season, which has them ranked 1st in the league in terms of passing. They are giving up possession 14.3 times per game and as a team are committing 17.7 fouls per contest.

When they are on the defensive end, the Nuggets are forcing 13.2 turnovers per game while drawing 18.9 fouls. They are 30th in basketball in allowing assists to the opposition with 2,038 relinquished for the season. The Nuggets are giving up a shooting percentage of 46.6% (3,031 of 6,505) and they surrender 42.4 rebounds per contest as a team. They are giving up 36.5% on 3-point attempts and they are 24th in the NBA in points per game from their opponents (116.8).

In their last game, the Rockets got the victory with a final of 116-108 against the Magic. In relation to rebounding, Houston allowed Orlando to collect 41 overall (14 on the offensive side). They wrapped up this game 25.7% from 3-point land by connecting on 9 of 35 and finished the contest at 17 of 20 at the free throw line (85.0%). The Rockets permitted the Magic to convert 41 of their 92 tries from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 44.6% in the game. When the final whistle blew, the Rockets went 38 for 81 from the field which gave them a rate of 46.9%. In terms of three-point shots, Houston knocked down 11 out of their 35 tries (31.4%). They were able to knock down 29 of them for a rate of 90.6%. The Magic committed 20 fouls in this matchup which got the Rockets to the charity stripe for a total of 32 attempts. They also gave up possession 16 times, while recording 10 steals in this contest. The Rockets corralled 34 defensive boards and 12 offensive boards totaling 46 in this game.

Jalen Green ended up being a factor for the Rockets in this game. Green accumulated 26 points in his 37 minutes on the court and tallied 2 dimes for the game. He converted 8 out of 18 in the game for a field goal percentage of 44.4%, and tallied 7 rebounds.

Houston has a record of 45-25 on the season. The Rockets are committing 19.4 personal fouls per contest and they shoot 74.3% from the charity stripe. They are assisting teammates 23.0 times per game (28th in the NBA) and they turn the ball over 14.0 times per game. Houston has scored 7,960 pts on the year (113.7 per game) and they pull down 48.7 rebounds per game. In terms of offensive execution, the Rockets are hitting on 45.1% from the field, which is 24th in the league.

The Rockets are ranked 5th in the league in PPG given up with 109.1. They are forcing their opponents into 14.4 turnovers per game and allow teams to shoot 45.4% from the field (4th in the league). The Houston defense gives up 35.2% on shots from distance (851 of 2,417) and opponents are knocking down 75.6% of their foul shots. They have relinquished 22.8 dimes and 42.4 boards per contest, which ranks them 1st and 6th in the NBA.

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Denver

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