Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction, 1/12/2025 Preview and Pick

Game: Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks

Date: Sunday, January 12, 2025

Location: American Airlines Center in Dallas, TX

TV: KFAA

The Denver Nuggets (21-15) are en route to American Airlines Center on Sunday where they will go up against the Dallas Mavericks (22-16).

The Nuggets played the Clippers and notched a win by a score of 126-103 in their last contest. Denver ended the game having earned a 55.1% FG percentage (49 out of 89) and made 17 of their 35 three-point shots. At the free throw line, the Nuggets buried 11 of 17 tries for a percentage of 64.7%. Concerning rebounding, they compiled a total of 45 with 7 of them being of the offensive variety. They also doled out 29 assists in this contest as well as forcing 12 turnovers and having 7 steals. When talking about defense, Denver allowed their opponent to shoot 37.5% from the floor on 30 out of 80 shooting. Los Angeles earned 14 assists and had 8 steals in this contest. In addition, Los Angeles had 40 boards (9 offensive, 31 defensive) and added 3 blocks. Los Angeles finished the contest at 80.0% from the charity stripe by knocking down 32 of their 40 tries. They also made 11 out of their 38 tries from long range. When discussing personal fouls, the Nuggets finished with 24 and the Clippers totaled 15 personal fouls.

Jamal Murray is a guy who played a role in this game. Murray finished the game shooting 53.8% from the field and earned 9 assists. He saw the court for 34 minutes and pulled down 3 rebounds. He scored 21 points on 7 out of 13 shooting.

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Denver comes into this matchup with a mark of 21-15 for the campaign. They currently have an average of 120.5 pts per contest (3rd in the league) on 49.8% from the floor. The Nuggets are shooting 38.2% from downtown (431 of 1,127) and 76.2% from the free throw line. As a unit, Denver is collecting 45.2 rebounds per game and has tallied 1,130 dimes so far this year, which is 3rd in the league in terms of passing the ball. They cough up possession 14.1 times per game and as a team they are committing 18.1 personal fouls per game.

On the defensive end of the court, the Nuggets are able to force 14.2 turnovers per game and they draw 19.9 personal fouls. They are ranked 27th in the NBA in allowing assists with 1,063 surrendered so far this season. The Nuggets defense is allowing an opponent shooting percentage of 46.6% (1,564 of 3,359) and they relinquish 43.8 boards per game as a team. They are relinquishing 35.3% on shots from beyond the arc and they are 24th in basketball in PPG allowed (116.9).

When they last played, the Mavericks took home the win by a final score of 117-111 when they faced the Trail Blazers. Concerning how they attacked the glass, Dallas allowed Portland to snag 43 overall (14 offensive). They finished the game shooting 44.4% from three-point range via 16 of 36 and finished the contest at 17 of 20 from the free throw line (85.0%). The Mavericks allowed the Trail Blazers to knock down 39 out of their 93 attempts from the field which gave them a percentage of 41.9% in this contest. When all was said and done, the Mavericks walked away from this one shooting 40 for 88 from the field which gave them a rate of 45.5%. When talking about shots from downtown, Dallas converted 10 of 30 tries (33.3%). They were able to knock down 27 of the free throws for a clip of 90.0%. The Trail Blazers had 22 fouls in this contest which took the Mavericks to the free throw line for 30 attempts. They coughed up the ball 14 times, while getting 8 steals for the matchup. The Mavericks were able to pull down 37 defensive boards and 16 offensive rebounds for a total of 53 for this contest.

Jaden Hardy was important for the Mavericks for the contest. He made 10 out of 18 for the contest for a rate of 55.6%, but wasn't able to grab a board. Hardy totaled 25 points in his 29 mins on the hardwood and had 2 dimes for this contest.

Dallas has a win-loss mark of 22-16 so far this season. As an offense, the Mavericks are shooting 48.0% from the field, which is ranked 6th in the league. Dallas has scored 4,425 points so far this season (116.4 per game) and they average 45.2 rebounds per game. They are earning an assist 25.1 times per game (19th in basketball) and they lose possession by turning the ball over 14.3 times per contest. The Mavericks commit 19.1 personal fouls every game while shooting 77.6% from the charity stripe.

The Dallas defense gives up 35.7% on shots from beyond the arc (490 of 1,373) and opponents are making 77.1% of their free throw shots. They have allowed 26.3 assists and 44.1 rebounds on a nightly basis, ranking them 16th and 17th in the league. The Mavericks on the defensive end are ranked 14th in basketball in PPG allowed with 111.8. They are forcing 14.1 turnovers per game and allow teams to shoot 45.4% from the field (7th in basketball).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Dallas

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