Dallas Mavericks vs Sacramento Kings Prediction, 4/16/2025 Preview and Pick

Game: Dallas Mavericks vs Sacramento Kings

Date: Wednesday, April 16, 2025

Location: Golden 1 Center in Sacramento, CA

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Dallas (+7.0)

Golden 1 Center is the location where the Sacramento Kings (40-42) will meet the Dallas Mavericks (39-43) on Wednesday in a Western Conference Play-In game. Sacramento opens this matchup as 7.0-point favorites. The total has been set at 229.

The Mavericks took the court against the Grizzlies and went home with a loss by a final score of 132-97 in their last contest. Dallas finished with a 43.7% field goal percentage (38 out of 87) and knocked down 5 of 28 3-point attempts. When they shot from the charity stripe, the Mavericks converted 16 of 22 tries for a rate of 72.7%. In the matter of rebounding, they collected a total of 38 with 10 of them being on the offensive end. They also doled out 20 assists for the contest in addition to forcing the other team into 12 turnovers and earning 6 steals. Regarding defense, Dallas let their opponent shoot 50.0% from the floor on 52 of 104 shooting. Memphis doled out 31 dimes and had 13 steals in the matchup. On top of that, Memphis pulled down 53 rebounds (19 offensive, 34 defensive) and earned 3 blocked shots. Memphis finished the contest at 86.7% when shooting free throws by making 13 of 15 attempts. They also made 15 out of their 41 attempts from three-point range. Regarding personal fouls, the Mavericks walked away with 13 and the Grizzlies totaled 15 personal fouls.

Daniel Gafford is a player who was a major contributor for the contest. Gafford walked away from this one shooting 80.0% from the floor and also earned 1 assist. He played 19 minutes played and grabbed 7 rebounds. He accounted for 20 points on 8 of 10 shooting.

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Dallas steps onto the hardwood with a record of 39-43 on the season. They are turning it over 14.0 times per contest and as a group they commit 17.8 personal fouls on a nightly basis. As a team, Dallas is grabbing 43.0 boards per contest and has earned 2,070 assists on the year, which is 22nd in the NBA in terms of passing the ball. The Mavericks are connecting on 36.4% on shots from downtown (1,020 of 2,801) and 77.0% from the free throw line. They have an average of 114.2 points per contest (15th in basketball) while connecting on 47.9% from the floor.

Defensively, the Mavericks are able to force 13.2 turnovers per contest and they draw 18.7 fouls. They are 20th in the NBA in allowing assists to the opposition with 2,220 relinquished for the season. The Mavericks are giving up and opponent field goal percentage of 46.9% (3,531 of 7,521) and they surrender 45.3 boards per contest as a squad. They are conceding 36.3% on shots from distance and they are 20th in the NBA in PPG allowed (115.4).

The last time they took the hardwood, the Kings got the victory with a final of 109-98 when they played the Suns. The Kings earned 33 defensive rebounds and 10 offensive boards for a total of 43 for this game. They coughed it up 13 times, while getting 6 steals in the matchup. The Suns were called for 9 fouls for the contest which got the Kings to the free throw line for a total of 3 shots. They were able to make 3 of those for a rate of 100.0%. Pertaining to 3-point attempts, Sacramento buried 14 of 34 attempts (41.2%). When the game finished, the Kings ended up going 46 out of 88 from the field which had them shooting 52.3%. The Kings allowed the Suns to convert 40 of 84 tries from the floor which left them with a rate of 47.6% for the game. They shot 34.1% from beyond the arc by going 15 of 44 and ended up going 3 of 6 at the free throw line (50.0%). In relation to team rebounding, Sacramento permitted Phoenix to get 37 in total (9 on the offensive glass).

Jonas Valanciunas ended up having an impact for the Kings for the matchup. Valanciunas recorded 22 points in his 21 mins on the court and accounted for 4 dimes in the matchup. He made 10 of 11 for the matchup for a field goal percentage of 90.9%, and had 10 rebounds.

Sacramento has a record of 40-42 on the campaign. As an offense, the Kings are connecting on 47.8% from the field, which is ranked 12th in the NBA. Sacramento has accounted for 9,490 pts this season (115.7 per game) and they collect 44.2 rebounds per contest. They are getting an assist 26.5 times per contest (13th in basketball) and they are losing possession via turnover 13.3 times per contest. The Kings have committed 18.9 fouls per game and they connect on 80.6% from the charity stripe.

The Sacramento defense allows 38.1% on shots from beyond the perimeter (1,193 of 3,131) and opponents are making 78.3% of their shots from the charity stripe. They concede 27.0 dimes and 42.3 boards on a nightly basis, which has them ranked 17th and 5th in the league. The Kings on defense are ranked 19th in the league in PPG surrendered with 115.3. They are forcing 13.9 TO's every game and allow teams to shoot 47.4% from the field (22nd in the league).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Sacramento (-7.0)

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