Dallas Mavericks vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction, 4/18/2025 Preview and Pick

Game: Dallas Mavericks vs Memphis Grizzlies

Date: Friday, April 18, 2025

Location: FedExForum in Memphis, TN

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Dallas (+6.0)

The Memphis Grizzlies (48-34) are hosting the Dallas Mavericks (39-43) at FedExForum on Friday in a Western Conference Play-In game. Dallas opens this contest as 6-point underdogs. The betting total comes in at 222.

In their last outing, the Mavericks faced the Sacramento Kings and advanced by a score of 120 to 106. Anthony Davis was big in this game adding 27 points, nine rebounds and went 6-for-6 at the free throw line. Klay Thompson was also a huge factor with 23 points, five rebounds and five assists. He also went 5-for-7 from deep which added to the Mav's 50% rate by the time the game had ended. P.J. Washington chipped in with 17 points, nine rebounds, four assists and two steals.

Former Chicago Bulls players Demar DeRozan and Zack Lavine led the Kings with 33 points and 20 points respectively. They had a good shooting night as a team, but turned the ball over 18 times to the Mavericks nine.

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Dallas comes into this contest with a win-loss mark of 39-43 this year. They turn the ball over 14.0 times per contest and as a unit they are committing 17.8 personal fouls per game. As a unit, Dallas is collecting 43.0 boards per game and has earned 2,070 assists for the year, which has them ranked 22nd in basketball in terms of passing. The Mavericks are hitting 36.4% on 3-pointers (1,020 of 2,801) and 77.0% from the charity stripe. They average 114.2 pts per game (15th in the league) while going 47.9% from the field.

On the defensive end, the Mavericks are able to force 13.2 turnovers per game and they draw 18.7 personal fouls. They are surrendering 36.3% on shots from beyond the perimeter and they are 20th in the NBA in PPG allowed (115.4). The Mavericks defense is giving up and opponent field goal percentage of 46.9% (3,531 of 7,521) and they surrender 45.3 rebounds per contest as a unit. They are currently ranked 20th in basketball in allowing assists with 2,220 relinquished this season.

The last time they took the hardwood, the Grizzlies took a loss to the Golden State Warriors by a score of 116-121. The combination of Jimmy Butler and Stephen Curry proved to be too much for the Grizz as they combined for 75 points. While both teams shot the ball well on this night, turnovers seemed to be the sticking point for the Grizzlies on this night with 19 to the Warriors' 10. There was a scary moment in this game for Memphis as Ja Morant rolled his ankle on Buddy Hield's foot after driving to the basket. However, he was able to get up and complete the three point play. It wasn't enough when all was said and done, and Memphis will have to get a win against the Mavs if they hope to continue their playoff journey.

Memphis has a win-loss record of 48-34 so far this year. When it comes to offense, the Grizzlies are connecting on 47.9% from the field, which is 8th in the league. Memphis has scored 9,980 pts for the year (121.7 per game) and they collect 47.3 rebounds per game. Their rate of assisting teammates is at 28.4 times per contest (8th in basketball) and they are turning it over 15.7 times per game. The Grizzlies are committing 20.9 fouls every game and they connect on 78.6% from the free throw line.

The Grizzlies are ranked 24th in the league in PPG allowed with 116.9. They have forced 15.1 TO's every game and allow teams to shoot 45.6% from the floor (4th in basketball). The Memphis defense gives up 36.0% on 3-pointers (1,162 of 3,230) and opponents are converting on 77.0% of their free throw shots. They allow 27.0 dimes and 43.5 total boards per game, which ranks them 18th and 10th in the NBA.

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Memphis (-6.0)

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