Dallas Mavericks vs Houston Rockets Prediction, 3/14/2025 Preview and Pick
Game: Dallas Mavericks vs Houston Rockets
Date: Friday, March 14, 2025
Location: Toyota Center in Houston, TX
TV: Space City Home Network
Toyota Center is the location where the Houston Rockets (40-25) will go up against the Dallas Mavericks (33-33) on Friday.

The Mavericks stepped onto the hardwood against the Spurs and walked away with a win by a score of 133-129 in their last game. Dallas wrapped up the game having earned a 53.4% field goal percentage (47 of 88) and buried 12 of 38 shots from beyond the arc. At the free throw line, the Mavericks converted 27 of 30 shots for a rate of 90.0%. In relation to hauling in rebounds, they collected 40 with 10 of them being offensive. They also doled out 25 assists for this game in addition to forcing 9 turnovers and earning 5 steals. Pertaining to defense, Dallas allowed the other team to go 52.1% from the field on 49 out of 94 shooting. San Antonio distributed 29 assists and had 6 steals for the game. On top of that, San Antonio grabbed 38 boards (12 offensive, 26 defensive) and got 2 rejections. San Antonio finished shooting 58.3% when shooting free throws by knocking down 14 of 24 shots. They converted 17 of 41 shots from long range. With respect to personal fouls, the Mavericks walked away with 18 and the Spurs finished the game with 24 personal fouls.
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Spencer Dinwiddie is someone who was a major factor for this game. He racked up 28 points on 9 of 16 shooting. He saw the court for 37 mins played and totaled 7 rebounds. Dinwiddie finished shooting 56.3% from the field and recorded 6 assists.
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Dallas enters this game with a mark of 33-33 on the year. They are losing possession via turnover 13.8 times per contest and as a unit they commit 18.2 fouls per contest. As a unit, Dallas is pulling in 43.6 rebounds per game and has earned 1,673 dimes for the year, which is 19th in the NBA in terms of passing the rock. The Mavericks are hitting 36.8% on 3-pointers (865 of 2,352) and 77.8% from the charity stripe. They currently have an average of 114.8 pts per game (11th in the league) while shooting 47.4% from the field.
Defensively, the Mavericks are forcing 13.3 turnovers on a nightly basis and they draw 18.6 personal fouls. They are 24th in basketball in giving up assists to their opponents with 1,782 conceded on the year. The Mavericks are giving up an opponent shooting percentage of 46.4% (2,805 of 6,046) and they relinquish 45.4 boards per game as a squad. They are giving up 36.1% from beyond the arc and they are 17th in the league in opponents points per game (114.5).
When they last stepped on the court, the Rockets got the win with a final of 97-84 when they faced the Magic. In the matter of cleaning up the glass, Houston permitted Orlando to snag 42 in all (13 offensive). They wrapped up this game 25.0% from 3-point land by hitting 8 of 32 and walked away from this one shooting 20 out of 24 at the free throw line (83.3%). The Rockets allowed the Magic to knock down 28 of their 86 attempts from the floor which gave them a rate of 32.6% for the matchup. Overall, the Rockets ended up shooting 35 out of 89 from the field which gave them a rate of 39.3%. Regarding shooting from beyond the arc, Houston knocked down 16 out of their 43 tries (37.2%). They were able to knock down 11 of the free throw attempts for a rate of 61.1%. The Magic earned 19 personal fouls for the contest which took the Rockets to the free throw line for 18 tries. They coughed up the ball 20 times, while recording 4 steals in the matchup. The Rockets were able to pull down 43 defensive rebounds and 20 offensive rebounds totaling 63 in the matchup.
Jabari Smith Jr. pitched in for the Rockets for the contest. Smith Jr. scored 20 points in his 32 mins on the court, but finished this game without an assist. He knocked down 5 of 13 in this matchup for a field goal percentage of 38.5%, and had 7 rebounds.
Houston has a record of 40-25 this year. On the offensive side of the ball, the Rockets are connecting on 44.9% from the floor, which has them ranked 25th in the league. Houston has earned 7,339 pts this year (112.9 per game) and they pull in 48.4 boards per game. Their rate of dishing out assists is at 22.8 times per contest (30th in the NBA) and they are turning it over 14.1 times per game. The Rockets are responsible for committing 19.4 fouls per contest and they connect on 74.0% from the free throw line.
The Rockets on the defensive side of the court are 5th in the NBA in PPG surrendered with 108.9. They are forcing 14.5 turnovers on a nightly basis and allow teams to shoot 45.3% from the field (5th in the league). The Houston defense gives up 35.0% on shots from beyond the perimeter (786 of 2,245) and opponents are connecting on 75.3% of their shots from the charity stripe. They surrender 23.0 assists and 42.9 boards per game, which ranks them 2nd and 7th in the league.
So what is Tonights Parlay prediction?
Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Houston and under the total points
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Additional Resources:
Houston Rockets - Twitter
Dallas Mavericks - Twitter