Cleveland Cavaliers vs Miami Heat Prediction, 4/28/2025 Preview and Pick

Game: Cleveland Cavaliers vs Miami Heat

Date: Monday, April 28, 2025

Location: Kaseya Center in Miami, FL

TV: TNT

Odds/Point Spread: Cleveland (-8.0)

Kaseya Center is where the Miami Heat (37-45) will meet the Cleveland Cavaliers (64-18) on Monday in Game 4 of the Eastern Conference First Round. Cleveland leads the series 3-0. Miami opens this matchup as 8-point dogs from Vegas oddsmakers. The total has been set at 210.

The Cavaliers took home the win by a score of 124-87 in Game 3. Cleveland wrapped up the game with a 53.5% field goal percentage (46 of 86) and knocked down 15 out of their 40 shots from distance. From the charity stripe, the Cavaliers knocked down 17 of 20 attempts for a rate of 85.0%. In terms of grabbing rebounds, they compiled 46 with 13 of them being of the offensive variety. They also dished out 32 dimes for this game as well as forcing the other team into 17 turnovers and having 7 steals. With regard to the defense, Cleveland allowed 42.1% from the field on 32 of 76 shooting. Miami distributed 18 dimes and had 6 steals for the matchup. On top of that, Miami collected 29 rebounds (5 offensive, 24 defensive) and got 1 block. Miami went 70.0% when shooting free throws by burying 7 of their 10 attempts. They also buried 16 out of their 34 attempts from beyond the arc. Concerning fouls, the Cavaliers ended up with 15 and the Heat had 17 fouls.

Jarrett Allen is a guy who played a role for the game. Allen finished the game shooting 88.9% from the floor and totaled 1 assist. He saw the court for 26 minutes played and also collected 10 boards. He finished with 22 points on 8 out of 9 shooting.

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Cleveland steps onto the court with a mark of 64-18 so far this year. They are losing possession via turnover 13.2 times per game and as a group they are committing 18.1 personal fouls every game. As a unit, Cleveland is pulling in 45.4 boards per contest and has accumulated 2,304 assists on the year, which is 9th in the NBA in terms of passing the ball. The Cavaliers are connecting on 38.3% on shots beyond the perimeter (1,303 of 3,401) and 77.6% from the charity stripe. They average 121.9 points per game (1st in the NBA) while connecting on 49.1% from the field.

Defensively, the Cavaliers are forcing 14.5 turnovers per game while drawing 18.9 personal fouls. They rank 8th in basketball in giving up assists with 2,101 conceded so far this year. The Cavaliers defense is allowing a FG percentage of 45.4% (3,382 of 7,454) and they relinquish 43.5 rebounds per game as a basketball team. They concede 35.9% on 3-point attempts while they are 12th in the NBA in opponents PPG (112.4).

In Game 3, the Heat pulled down 24 defensive boards and 5 offensive rebounds for a total of 29 in this game. They also turned the ball over 17 times, while earning 6 steals in this contest. The Cavaliers committed 15 fouls in this contest which got the Heat to the free throw line for 10 attempts. They were able to bury 7 of the free throw attempts for a percentage of 70.0%. Concerning 3-point attempts, Miami buried 16 out of their 34 attempts (47.1%). When the final whistle blew, the Heat ended up going 32 out of 76 from the floor which had them shooting 42.1%. The Heat permitted the Cavaliers to make 46 of their 86 attempts from the floor which had them at 53.5% for this game. They went 37.5% from behind the 3-point line by going 15 of 40 and walked away from this one shooting 17 out of 20 at the free throw line (85.0%). Regarding how they cleaned up the glass, Miami allowed Cleveland to snag 46 overall (13 on the offensive glass).

Bam Adebayo ended up being a factor for the Heat for the matchup. Adebayo recorded 22 points in his 40 minutes on the hardwood and added 1 assist in this matchup. He converted 9 of 20 for the contest for a field goal rate of 45.0%, and added 9 rebounds.

Miami has a win-loss mark of 37-45 this season. The Heat are committing 15.5 fouls every game while shooting 79.1% from the charity stripe. Their rate of assisting teammates is at 26.4 times per game (14th in the league) and they are giving up possession 13.6 times per game. Miami has earned 9,069 pts for the season (110.6 per contest) and they snag 43.4 rebounds per game. When it comes to offensive execution, the Heat are hitting on 46.5% from the floor, which is ranked 18th in the NBA.

The Miami defense allows 36.0% on three-point shots (1,118 of 3,109) and their opponents are making 77.6% of their shots from the free throw line. They have allowed 26.5 dimes and 44.7 rebounds every game, ranking them 15th and 19th in the NBA. The Heat are ranked 7th in basketball in PPG surrendered with 110.0. They are forcing 13.8 TO's per game and have allowed teams to shoot 46.6% from the floor (12th in the NBA).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Cleveland (-8.0)

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