Cleveland Cavaliers vs Miami Heat Prediction, 4/26/2025 Preview and Pick

Game: Cleveland Cavaliers vs Miami Heat

Date: Saturday, April 26, 2025

Location: Kaseya Center in Miami, FL

TV: TNT

Odds/Point Spread: Cleveland (-6.5)

The Miami Heat (37-45) will go up against the Cleveland Cavaliers (64-18) at Kaseya Center on Saturday in Game 3 of the Eastern Conference First Round. Cleveland leads the series 2 - 0. Cleveland opens this game as 7-point favorites. The total comes in at 214.

In Game 2, the Cavaliers played the Heat and took home the win by a score of 121-112. Cleveland finished the contest having earned a 47.6% field goal percentage (39 of 82) and made 22 of 45 3-pointers. At the charity stripe, the Cavaliers knocked down 21 of 23 shots for a rate of 91.3%. With respect to pulling down boards, they earned 34 with 6 of them being on the offensive end. They also doled out 24 dimes in this game as well as forcing 14 turnovers and having 10 steals. In reference to defense, Cleveland allowed 51.9% from the field on 42 of 81 shooting. Miami distributed 27 assists and had 3 steals in this game. Moreover, Miami had 38 rebounds (9 offensive, 29 defensive) and had 1 block. Miami shot 75.0% from the charity stripe by knocking down 12 of their 16 attempts. They converted 16 of 45 shots from 3-point range. Regarding fouls, the Cavaliers left the arena with 13 while the Heat recorded 19 fouls.

Donovan Mitchell is one guy who played a role in the game. He accounted for 30 points on 10 of 21 shooting. He was on the court for 36 mins played and also pulled down 6 boards. Mitchell shot 47.6% from the floor and also totaled 6 dimes.

Get all of our NBA Picks Today

Cleveland enters this one with a mark of 64-18 on the campaign. They turn it over 13.2 times per contest and as a group they are committing 18.1 personal fouls every game. As a team, Cleveland is grabbing 45.4 rebounds per contest and has accounted for 2,304 dimes this year, which ranks 9th in the league in terms of passing the rock. The Cavaliers are hitting 38.3% on shots from distance (1,303 of 3,401) and 77.6% from the free throw line. They average 121.9 pts per game (1st in basketball) while going 49.1% from the field.

When they are on the defensive end, the Cavaliers are forcing 14.5 turnovers on a nightly basis while drawing 18.9 personal fouls. They are giving up 35.9% on shots from downtown and they are 12th in basketball in PPG allowed (112.4). The Cavaliers defensively are giving up a shooting percentage of 45.4% (3,382 of 7,454) and they relinquish 43.5 rebounds per game as a squad. They currently rank 8th in basketball in giving up assists with 2,101 conceded so far this season.

In Game 2, the Heat earned 29 defensive boards and 9 offensive rebounds totaling 38 in the game. They gave up possession of the ball 14 times, while getting 3 steals for the game. The Cavaliers earned 13 personal fouls for the matchup which took the Heat to the free throw line for a total of 16 attempts. They were able to knock down 12 of them for a clip of 75.0%. With respect to 3-point attempts, Miami converted 16 out of their 45 tries (35.6%). At the conclusion of this game, the Heat finished shooting 42 out of 81 from the floor which had them shooting 51.9%. The Heat allowed the Cavaliers to make 39 out of their 82 attempts from the field which had them shooting 47.6% in the matchup. They went 48.9% from three-point range by connecting on 22 of 45 and finished the game at 21 out of 23 at the free throw line (91.3%). Regarding rebounds, Miami allowed Cleveland to grab 34 in total (6 on the offensive glass).

Tyler Herro ended up having an impact for the Heat in the game. He made 14 of 24 for this game for a field goal rate of 58.3%, and tallied 6 rebounds. Herro totaled 33 points in his 40 minutes of playing time and had 5 dimes for this contest.

Miami has a mark of 37-45 for the year. On the offensive side of the ball, the Heat are connecting on 46.5% from the field, which is ranked 18th in the NBA. Miami has scored 9,069 points so far this season (110.6 per contest) and they pull in 43.4 boards per game. They are earning an assist 26.4 times per game (14th in basketball) and they are losing possession via turnover 13.6 times per game. The Heat are committing 15.5 fouls per game and they hit 79.1% from the free throw line.

The Heat defensively are ranked 7th in basketball in PPG given up with 110.0. They are forcing 13.8 turnovers per game and allow teams to shoot 46.6% from the field (12th in the league). The Miami defense allows 36.0% on 3-pointers (1,118 of 3,109) and opponents are making 77.6% of their foul shots. They surrender 26.5 dimes and 44.7 rebounds per contest, which has them ranked 15th and 19th in basketball.

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Cleveland (-6.5)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here