Charlotte Hornets vs Miami Heat Prediction, 3/23/2025 Preview and Pick

Game: Charlotte Hornets vs Miami Heat

Date: Sunday, March 23, 2025

Location: Kaseya Center in Miami, FL

TV: FanDuel Sports Network

The Charlotte Hornets (17-51) are on their way to Kaseya Center on Sunday where they will try to beat the Miami Heat (29-40).

The Hornets played the Hawks and took a loss by a final of 134-102 in their last contest. Charlotte wrapped up the game having earned a 45.2% FG percentage (38 out of 84) and knocked down 10 out of their 30 3-pointers. From the free throw line, the Hornets made 16 of their 21 shots for a rate of 76.2%. Pertaining to hauling in boards, they compiled 39 with 10 of them being of the offensive variety. They also distributed 25 assists in this matchup while forcing 11 turnovers and getting 7 steals. With respect to the defense, Charlotte allowed the other team to go 53.8% from the field on 50 of 93 shooting. Atlanta recorded 27 dimes and had 12 steals for the game. In addition, Atlanta collected 46 rebounds (11 offensive, 35 defensive) and got 8 blocks. Atlanta ended up shooting 80.0% from the charity stripe by knocking down 12 of their 15 attempts. They also buried 22 of their 45 shots from distance. In reference to fouls, the Hornets ended up walking away with 16 and the Hawks racked up 17 fouls.

Seth Curry is a guy who had an impact in this matchup. Curry shot 54.5% from the floor and totaled 1 assist. He was on the court for 25 minutes played but concluded the game with no rebounds. He walked away with 19 points on 6 of 11 shooting.

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Charlotte will play this contest with a win-loss record of 17-51 so far this year. They currently have an average of 105.7 points per contest (28th in basketball) while shooting 42.8% from the field. The Hornets are hitting 33.8% on three-point shots (900 of 2,660) and 78.4% from the free throw line. As a unit, Charlotte is grabbing 45.4 rebounds per game and is sitting with 1,653 assists so far this season, which is 27th in the NBA in terms of passing. They are turning it over 15.4 times per game and as a group they are committing 19.2 fouls per contest.

When they are on the defensive end, the Hornets are forcing 13.9 turnovers on a nightly basis while drawing 18.4 fouls. They concede 35.3% on shots from distance and they are ranked 15th in the league in opponents points per game (113.7). The Hornets defensively are giving up a shooting percentage of 46.7% (2,799 of 6,000) and they concede 45.2 rebounds per game as a group. They are currently ranked 14th in the NBA in giving up assists to their opponents with 1,817 conceded for the season.

The last time they took the court, the Heat took a loss by a score of 116-113 when they played the Pistons. Regarding how they rebounded, Miami allowed Detroit to grab 47 in total (13 on the offensive side). They finished shooting 39.1% from three-point range by connecting on 9 out of 23 and walked away from this one shooting 15 out of 18 at the charity stripe (83.3%). The Heat allowed the Pistons to make 46 of their 91 attempts from the field which gave them a percentage of 50.5% for this game. In all, the Heat shot 44 out of 90 from the field which gave them a percentage of 48.9%. Pertaining to shooting from downtown, Miami knocked down 10 of their 32 tries (31.3%). They were able to knock down 15 of those for a rate of 83.3%. The Pistons were called for 20 fouls in the matchup which got the Heat to the charity stripe for a total of 18 attempts. They turned it over 13 times, while getting 7 steals for this game. The Heat earned 26 defensive rebounds and 11 offensive rebounds for a total of 37 in the game.

Bam Adebayo was important for the Heat in the matchup. Adebayo recorded 30 points in his 37 mins on the court and earned 8 dimes in the game. He made 12 out of 24 in the matchup giving him a rate of 50.0%, and accumulated 9 rebounds.

Miami has a mark of 29-40 so far this season. The Heat are committing 15.7 personal fouls every game and they shoot 79.1% from the free throw line. Their rate of earning assists is at 26.2 times per game (16th in the NBA) and they turn it over 13.8 times per game. Miami has accounted for 7,531 pts this year (109.1 per game) and they pull in 43.2 rebounds per game. When it comes to offensive execution, the Heat are shooting 45.8% from the field, which is 21st in the league.

The Miami defense concedes 35.9% on 3-point attempts (948 of 2,640) and opponents are connecting on 78.7% of their shots from the free throw line. They have conceded 26.8 assists and 45.1 boards per contest, which has them ranked 17th and 21st in basketball. The Heat are ranked 8th in basketball in PPG surrendered with 110.8. They are able to force 13.5 TO's per game and have let teams shoot 46.6% from the floor (14th in the NBA).

So what is Tonights Parlay prediction?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Miami and under the total points

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