Sacramento Kings vs Miami Heat Prediction, 1/31/2024 Preview and Pick

Game: Sacramento Kings vs Miami Heat

Date: Wednesday, January 31, 2024

Location: Kaseya Center in Miami, FL

TV: Bally Sports Sun

The Miami Heat (24-23) are welcoming the Sacramento Kings (27-18) at Kaseya Center on Wednesday.

The Kings played the Grizzlies and took home the win by a score of 103-94 in their last game. Sacramento walked away from the contest having earned a 51.2% FG percentage (43 out of 84) and knocked down 11 of their 38 shots from downtown. At the free throw line, the Kings converted 6 of their 10 tries for a percentage of 60.0%. In reference to hauling in rebounds, they earned a total of 51 with 11 of them being of the offensive variety. They also doled out 24 assists for the matchup while forcing the opposition into 14 turnovers and having 10 steals. In reference to defense, Sacramento let their opponent shoot 37.5% from the field on 30 out of 80 shooting. Memphis earned 22 assists and had 11 steals in the game. Additionally, Memphis collected 37 boards (9 offensive, 28 defensive) and added 1 block. Memphis finished the game shooting 75.0% at the charity stripe by making 21 of their 28 tries. They also buried 13 of 36 shots from beyond the arc. Regarding personal fouls, the Kings finished with 17 while the Grizzlies finished the game with 16 personal fouls.

De'Aaron Fox is one guy who was a major factor in the game. Fox ended up shooting 57.1% from the field and totaled 4 dimes. He played 34 minutes and snagged 5 boards. He recorded 23 points on 8 of 14 shooting.

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Sacramento comes into this matchup with a record of 27-18 for the year. They lose possession via turnover 13.5 times per game and as a basketball team are committing 20.2 personal fouls per game. As a unit, Sacramento is pulling in 43.6 boards per game and has accumulated 1,291 assists this year, which ranks 7th in basketball in terms of passing the rock. The Kings are connecting on 37.1% on three-point shots (675 of 1,817) and 73.2% from the free throw line. They currently have an average of 118.4 points per outing (9th in the NBA) while shooting 48.0% from the field.

On the defensive end of the court, the Kings are able to force 13.9 turnovers per contest while drawing 19.2 personal fouls. They are conceding 39.1% on 3-point attempts and they are 20th in the NBA in opponents points per game (117.5). The Kings defensively are giving up a shooting percentage of 48.3% (1,917 of 3,968) and they relinquish 42.7 rebounds per contest as a team. They are ranked 16th in basketball in giving up assists to the opposition with 1,229 conceded so far this season.

When they last stepped on the court, the Heat took a loss by a score of 118-105 against the Suns. In the matter of how they cleaned up the glass, Miami allowed Phoenix to collect 47 in all (10 offensive). They finished shooting 35.0% from beyond the arc by going 14 of 40 and walked away from this one shooting 12 of 17 at the free throw line (70.6%). The Heat allowed the Suns to make 46 of their 94 tries from the field which left them with a shooting percentage of 48.9% for the game. When all was said and done, the Heat finished the game shooting 33 for 84 from the floor which gave them a rate of 39.3%. Concerning shots from distance, Miami made 14 of 36 attempts (38.9%). They were able to make 25 of them for a percentage of 100.0%. The Suns earned 16 personal fouls for the game which took the Heat to the free throw line for a total of 25 attempts. They also gave up possession of the ball 11 times, while getting 5 steals in this matchup. The Heat pulled down 36 defensive rebounds and 8 offensive boards for a total of 44 for this game.

Jimmy Butler ended up having an impact for the Heat in this contest. Butler racked up 26 points in his 37 minutes on the hardwood and accounted for 4 assists for this game. He buried 7 out of 12 for the game for a rate of 58.3%, and had 8 rebounds.

Miami has a win-loss mark of 24-23 on the campaign. The Heat commit 18.3 personal fouls every game and they go 82.4% from the free throw line. Their rate of assisting teammates is at 25.5 times per contest (22nd in the league) and they are losing possession via turnover 13.3 times per game. Miami has totaled 5,187 points for the year (110.4 per game) and they pull in 41.4 rebounds per game. As an offensive team, the Heat are connecting on 46.1% from the floor, which ranks them 26th in the league.

The Heat on the defensive side of the court are 7th in the NBA in points given up per game with 111.7. They are forcing 13.9 turnovers per game and allow teams to shoot 47.8% from the floor (19th in the NBA). The Miami defense gives up 37.1% on 3-point shots (640 of 1,727) and opponents are making 76.9% of their foul shots. They allow 26.9 assists and 42.9 boards on a nightly basis, which is ranked 18th and 12th in basketball.

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Sacramento

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