Sacramento Kings vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction, 1/27/2024 Preview and Pick

Game: Sacramento Kings vs Dallas Mavericks

Date: Saturday, January 27, 2024

Location: American Airlines Center in Dallas, TX

TV: Bally Sports Southwest-Dallas

The Sacramento Kings (25-18) are traveling to American Airlines Center on Saturday where they will attempt to defeat the Dallas Mavericks (24-20).

The Kings took the court against the Warriors and notched a win by a score of 134-133 in their last game. In relation to personal fouls, the Kings finished with 21 and the Warriors finished the game with 19 personal fouls. They also made 19 of 37 shots from distance. Golden State finished 78.3% from the free throw line by burying 18 of 23 attempts. In addition, Golden State collected 33 rebounds (6 offensive, 27 defensive) and had 5 rejections. Golden State distributed 30 assists and had 7 steals for the matchup. In terms of defense, Sacramento allowed the other team to go 55.8% from the field on 48 out of 86 shooting. They also recorded 33 assists in this contest in addition to forcing 13 turnovers and getting 8 steals. When discussing rebounding, they earned 34 with 8 of them being offensive. From the charity stripe, the Kings buried 16 of their 19 shots for a percentage of 84.2%. Sacramento walked away from the game having earned a 52.7% FG percentage (48 of 91) and buried 22 out of their 48 shots from 3-point land.

Harrison Barnes is someone who was a major factor in this matchup. He ended up finishing with 39 points on 14 out of 24 shooting. He saw the court for 40 minutes played and collected 4 boards. Barnes shot 58.3% from the field but didn't record a dime.

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Sacramento will enter this contest with a win-loss record of 25-18 on the year. They average 118.7 points per contest (7th in basketball) while going 47.8% from the field. The Kings are shooting 37.3% from downtown (653 of 1,749) and 73.2% from the free throw line. As a unit, Sacramento is snagging 43.5 rebounds per contest and has 1,240 dimes on the season, which is 7th in the league in terms of passing the rock. They lose possession by turning the ball over 13.4 times per game and as a squad they commit 20.3 fouls per game.

On the defensive end of the court, the Kings are able to force 14.0 turnovers every game and they draw 19.1 personal fouls. They are 14th in the league in giving up assists with 1,172 surrendered so far this year. The Kings defensively are giving up and opponent field goal percentage of 48.7% (1,844 of 3,790) and they surrender 42.8 rebounds per contest as a basketball team. They are giving up 39.4% on shots from distance and they rank 21st in the league in PPG from their opponents (118.1).

The last time they took the hardwood, the Mavericks took a loss by a final score of 132-109 when they played the Suns. With respect to rebounds, Dallas permitted Phoenix to pull down 49 in all (11 on the offensive glass). They shot 41.2% from distance by hitting 14 of 34 and walked away from this one shooting 16 out of 22 at the free throw line (72.7%). The Mavericks permitted the Suns to convert 51 of 85 attempts from the floor which gave them a percentage of 60.0% in the matchup. When the game finished, the Mavericks shot 41 out of 89 from the field which gave them a percentage of 46.1%. In reference to shooting from distance, Dallas made 17 of their 43 tries (39.5%). They were able to make 10 of the free throw attempts for a clip of 55.6%. The Suns were called for 20 fouls in this contest which took the Mavericks to the free throw line for a total of 18 tries. They also turned it over 14 times, while earning 4 steals in this contest. The Mavericks pulled down 23 defensive rebounds and 10 offensive boards for a total of 33 in this matchup.

Luka Doncic was important for the Mavericks in the matchup. Doncic racked up 34 points in his 39 mins of playing time and earned 9 assists in this game. He made 11 of 24 in the matchup giving him a field goal percentage of 45.8%, and accumulated 8 rebounds.

Dallas has a win-loss mark of 24-20 this season. The Mavericks are committing 18.8 personal fouls per contest while shooting 75.5% from the charity stripe. They are earning an assist 25.2 times per contest (23rd in the NBA) and they lose possession by turning the ball over 12.2 times per contest. Dallas has scored 5,195 points for the year (118.1 per game) and they snag 41.8 rebounds per game. In terms of offensive execution, the Mavericks are connecting on 47.1% from the field, which is 17th in basketball.

The Dallas defense gives up 36.5% on 3-point attempts (580 of 1,590) and their opposition makes 76.1% of their free throw attempts. They have allowed 27.3 dimes and 46.4 rebounds every game, ranking them 22nd and 28th in the NBA. The Mavericks on the defensive side of the court are 20th in the NBA in points allowed per contest with 117.8. They are able to force 14.3 turnovers on a nightly basis and have let teams shoot 48.3% from the floor (21st in the NBA).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Dallas

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