Oklahoma City Thunder vs New Orleans Pelicans Prediction, 4/29/2024 Preview and Pick
Game: Oklahoma City Thunder vs New Orleans Pelicans
Date: Monday, April 29, 2024
Location: Smoothie King Center in New Orleans, LA
TV: NBA TV
Odds/Point Spread: Oklahoma City (-5)
The Oklahoma City Thunder are traveling to Smoothie King Center on Monday where they will take on the New Orleans Pelicans in Game 4 of their series. OKC leads the series 3-0. New Orleans opens this contest as 5-point underdogs from Vegas oddsmakers. The total is 204.5.
The Thunder went home with a win by a final score of 106-85 in Game 3. When discussing fouls, the Thunder ended up finishing with 14 and the Pelicans had 15 fouls. They knocked down 9 of their 32 shots from three-point range. New Orleans ended up going 85.7% at the charity stripe by burying 12 of 14 attempts. In addition, New Orleans pulled down 45 boards (11 offensive, 34 defensive) and had 5 rejections. New Orleans totaled 18 dimes and had 14 steals in the game. In reference to the defense, Oklahoma City allowed their opponent to shoot 38.1% from the field on 32 out of 84 shooting. They also recorded 27 assists in the matchup while creating 20 turnovers and earning 13 steals. In the matter of rebounding, they earned a total of 47 with 9 of them being on the offensive end. From the charity stripe, the Thunder made 9 of 13 shots for a rate of 69.2%. Oklahoma City walked away from the game having earned a 48.2% field goal percentage (40 out of 83) and knocked down 17 out of their 36 three-point shots.
Luguentz Dort is one guy who played a role for the matchup. Dort walked away from this one shooting 44.4% from the field and also recorded 3 assists. He saw the court for 39 minutes and also totaled 4 rebounds. He racked up 12 points on 4 of 9 shooting.
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Oklahoma City comes into this game with a mark of 57-25 for the campaign. They turn it over 12.7 times per contest and as a basketball team they are committing 18.8 personal fouls on a nightly basis. As a team, Oklahoma City is pulling down 42.0 rebounds per game and has 2,223 assists this season, which has them ranked 11th in the league in terms of passing. The Thunder are connecting on 38.9% on shots beyond the perimeter (1,090 of 2,805) and 82.5% from the charity stripe. They average 120.1 points per outing (3rd in basketball) while going 49.9% from the field.
When they are on the defensive end, the Thunder are forcing 15.7 turnovers per game and they draw 18.9 personal fouls. They are 18th in the NBA in giving up assists to their opponents with 2,207 surrendered on the season. The Thunder defense is allowing and opponent field goal percentage of 45.5% (3,328 of 7,322) and they concede 44.7 rebounds per contest as a unit. They are relinquishing 36.1% on shots from beyond the perimeter and they are 11th in the league in points per game allowed (112.7).
In Game 3 the Pelicans snagged 34 defensive boards and 11 offensive rebounds for a total of 45 for this game. They also turned the ball over 20 times, while getting 14 steals in this contest. The Thunder earned 14 personal fouls in this game which got the Pelicans to the free throw line for a total of 14 shots. They were able to convert 12 of the free throw tries for a clip of 85.7%. When talking about shooting from 3-point land, New Orleans knocked down 9 of their 32 tries (28.1%). In all, the Pelicans ended up going 32 out of 84 from the floor which gave them a percentage of 38.1%. The Pelicans permitted the Thunder to bury 40 out of 83 tries from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 48.2% for the matchup. They finished the game shooting 47.2% from behind the 3-point line by connecting on 17 of 36 and finished the game at 9 of 13 from the free throw line (69.2%). Concerning rebounds, New Orleans allowed Oklahoma City to pull down 47 in total (9 on the offensive side).
Dyson Daniels pitched in for the Pelicans for this game. He buried 2 out of 4 in the matchup for a rate of 50.0%, and had 1 rebound. Daniels scored 4 points in his 7 minutes on the hardwood, but wasn't able to notch an assist.
New Orleans has a mark of 49-33 this year. The Pelicans are committing 18.4 personal fouls per game and they go 77.1% from the charity stripe. Their rate of earning assists is at 27.0 times per game (13th in the league) and they are turning it over 13.0 times per contest. New Orleans has scored 9,436 pts on the year (115.1 per game) and they snag 44.0 rebounds per game. When it comes to executing on offense, the Pelicans are shooting 48.6% from the floor, which has them ranked 9th in the league.
The New Orleans defense gives up 34.9% on 3-pointers (1,109 of 3,176) and their opposition knocks down 78.3% of their foul shots. They have surrendered 26.8 assists and 42.3 total boards per game, which is ranked 17th and 8th in basketball. The Pelicans are ranked 8th in the league in PPG allowed with 110.7. They are forcing 14.2 turnovers per game and have allowed teams to shoot 46.4% from the field (7th in the NBA).
Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take New Orleans (+5)
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Additional Resources:
New Orleans Pelicans - Twitter
Oklahoma City Thunder - Twitter