Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction, 5/13/2024 Preview and Pick

Game: Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks

Date: Monday, May 13, 2024

Location: American Airlines Center in Dallas, TX

TV: TNT

Odds/Point Spread: Oklahoma City (+3)

The Dallas Mavericks will try to beat the Oklahoma City Thunder at American Airlines Center on Monday in Game 4 of the Western Conference Semifinals. The Mavs lead the series 2-1. Dallas opens this contest as 3-point favorites. The over/under is set at 214.5.

The Thunder walked away from Game 3 with a loss by a score of 105-101. Oklahoma City finished the game with a 46.9% FG percentage (38 out of 81) and converted 10 of their 30 shots from downtown. From the charity stripe, the Thunder converted 15 of 19 tries for a rate of 78.9%. In reference to grabbing boards, they collected a total of 41 with 6 of them being on the offensive end. They also doled out 23 assists for the contest as well as forcing the other team into 13 turnovers and having 7 steals. Concerning the defense, Oklahoma City let their opponent shoot 42.9% from the field on 39 of 91 shooting. Dallas dished out 21 dimes and had 7 steals in this matchup. On top of that, Dallas collected 48 rebounds (15 offensive, 33 defensive) and had 11 blocks. Dallas finished the game shooting 64.0% from the free throw line by converting 16 of 25 attempts. They knocked down 11 of 33 shots from distance. Regarding fouls, the Thunder finished with 22 while the Mavericks racked up 16 fouls.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is someone who was important in the game. Gilgeous-Alexander walked away from this one shooting 43.5% from the floor and distributed 6 dimes. He played for 42 mins and also pulled down 10 rebounds. He ended up finishing with 31 points on 10 out of 23 shooting.

Get all of our NBA Betting Picks

Oklahoma City enters this one with a win-loss record of 57-25 on the campaign. They lose possession by turning the ball over 12.7 times per game and as a basketball team are committing 18.8 personal fouls per contest. As a team, Oklahoma City is pulling down 42.0 rebounds per game and is sitting with 2,223 dimes so far this season, which is 11th in the NBA in terms of passing the ball. The Thunder are connecting on 38.9% on 3-point shots (1,090 of 2,805) and 82.5% from the free throw line. They average 120.1 points per contest (3rd in the NBA) while hitting 49.9% from the floor.

When they are on defense, the Thunder are forcing 15.7 turnovers every game while drawing 18.9 personal fouls. They are relinquishing 36.1% on 3-pointers and they are 11th in the league in PPG allowed (112.7). The Thunder defense is giving up an opponent shooting percentage of 45.5% (3,328 of 7,322) and they surrender 44.7 rebounds per contest as a team. They are currently ranked 18th in basketball in giving up assists with 2,207 conceded on the season.

In Game 3, the Mavericks collected 33 defensive rebounds and 15 offensive rebounds totaling 48 for the game. They also turned the ball over 13 times, while earning 7 steals for the contest. The Thunder committed 22 personal fouls for the matchup which took the Mavericks to the free throw line for a total of 25 attempts. They were able to knock down 16 of them for a percentage of 64.0%. When it comes to shooting from 3-point land, Dallas converted 11 out of their 33 attempts (33.3%). When this game wrapped up, the Mavericks went 39 for 91 from the field which gave them a rate of 42.9%. The Mavericks allowed the Thunder to make 38 of 81 tries from the field which had them shooting 46.9% for the matchup. They went 33.3% from three-point range by connecting on 10 out of 30 and finished the contest at 15 out of 19 at the charity stripe (78.9%). When discussing how they attacked the glass, Dallas permitted Oklahoma City to snag 41 in all (6 offensive).

P.J. Washington was important for the Mavericks for this game. Washington earned 27 points in his 40 minutes of playing time and added 2 assists for the contest. He converted 11 of 23 in this contest for a field goal rate of 47.8%, and had 6 rebounds.

Dallas has a win-loss mark of 50-32 for the campaign. As an offense, the Mavericks are shooting 48.1% from the field, which is 11th in basketball. Dallas has 9,664 points so far this year (117.9 per game) and they grab 42.9 boards per contest. Their rate of earning assists is at 25.7 times per contest (19th in basketball) and they lose possession by turning the ball over 12.5 times per contest. The Mavericks have committed 18.3 personal fouls every game while shooting 75.8% from the free throw line.

The Mavericks are ranked 20th in the league in points per game surrendered with 115.6. They are forcing 13.7 turnovers per game and have allowed teams to shoot 47.5% from the floor (20th in basketball). The Dallas defense allows 36.8% on 3-point shots (1,075 of 2,921) and their opponents are making 77.0% of their free throw shots. They have allowed 27.5 assists and 45.1 boards per game, which is 22nd and 25th in basketball.

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Dallas (-3)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here