Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets Prediction, 5/6/2024 Preview and Pick

Game: Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets

Date: Monday, May 6, 2024

Location: Ball Arena in Denver, CO

TV: TNT

Odds/Point Spread: Minnesota (+6)

Ball Arena is where the Denver Nuggets will play the Minnesota Timberwolves on Monday in Game 2 of the Western Conference Semifinals. The T-Wolves lead the series 1-0. Minnesota opens this contest as 6-point dogs from Vegas oddsmakers. The total has been set at 207.5.

The Timberwolves went home with a win by a final score of 106-99 in Game 1. Minnesota ended the game having earned a 52.4% field goal percentage (43 of 82) and converted 11 out of their 27 shots from 3-point land. At the free throw line, the Timberwolves made 9 of their 12 tries for a percentage of 75.0%. In relation to hauling in boards, they compiled a total of 42 with 7 of them being offensive. They also doled out 24 assists for the game as well as forcing 12 turnovers and getting 4 steals. With respect to defending, Minnesota allowed the other team to shoot 46.7% from the floor on 35 of 75 shooting. Denver earned 24 assists and had 12 steals in the matchup. On top of that, Denver collected 34 rebounds (3 offensive, 31 defensive) and got 6 rejections. Denver shot 80.0% at the free throw line by making 16 of their 20 shots. They buried 13 of their 31 tries from three-point range. In reference to fouls, the Timberwolves ended up with 20 while the Nuggets accumulated 18 fouls.

Anthony Edwards dominated from the opening tip. He ended up scoring 43 points on 17 of 29 shooting. He played for 42 mins and also snagged 7 boards. Edwards finished the contest at 58.6% from the floor and totaled 3 assists.

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Minnesota comes into this matchup with a record of 56-26 this year. They are losing possession via turnover 14.2 times per game and as a squad are committing 18.8 personal fouls per contest. As a unit, Minnesota is grabbing 43.6 boards per game and is sitting with 2,184 assists on the campaign, which is 15th in the NBA in terms of passing. The Timberwolves are hitting 38.7% on shots from beyond the arc (1,037 of 2,681) and 77.7% from the charity stripe. They are averaging 113.0 points per contest (18th in the NBA) while hitting 48.5% from the field.

Defensively, the Timberwolves are forcing 14.2 turnovers per contest while drawing 19.9 fouls. They are giving up 35.4% on shots from beyond the arc and they are ranked 1st in the league in PPG allowed (106.5). The Timberwolves are giving up a field goal percentage of 45.0% (3,198 of 7,114) and they surrender 41.4 rebounds per game as a team. They are ranked 3rd in the NBA in giving up assists to the opposition with 2,008 surrendered for the campaign.

In regards to how they attacked the glass in Game 1, Denver permitted Minnesota to get 42 in total (7 on the offensive side). They shot 40.7% from 3-point land by hitting 11 of 27 and ended up going 9 out of 12 at the free throw line (75.0%). The Nuggets allowed the Timberwolves to make 43 of their 82 attempts from the floor which gave them a rate of 52.4% in this game. Overall, the Nuggets ended up shooting 35 out of 75 from the field which gave them a percentage of 46.7%. With respect to 3-point shots, Denver knocked down 13 of 31 tries (41.9%). They were able to make 16 of those for a percentage of 80.0%. The Timberwolves committed 20 personal fouls for the contest which took the Nuggets to the charity stripe for 20 attempts. They also coughed it up 12 times, while earning 12 steals for the contest. The Nuggets were able to corral 31 defensive boards and 3 offensive boards totaling 34 in the game.

Nikola Jokic ended up have a good game for the Nuggets besides a not so great shooting night. He buried 11 of 25 in the matchup for a field goal percentage of 44.0%, and had 8 rebounds. Jokic racked up 32 points in his 41 mins on the court and had 9 assists in this matchup.

Denver has a record of 57-25 for the year. The Nuggets are responsible for committing 18.2 fouls per contest and they shoot 76.2% from the charity stripe. Their rate of earning assists is at 29.5 times per game (3rd in basketball) and they cough up possession 12.6 times per contest. Denver has 9,418 pts on the season (114.9 per game) and they average 44.4 rebounds per game. When it comes to offensive execution, the Nuggets are connecting on 49.6% from the floor, which is 4th in the league.

The Denver defense allows 35.5% on shots from beyond the arc (919 of 2,587) and their opponents are making 77.2% of their shots from the charity stripe. They surrender 25.7 assists and 42.3 rebounds every game, which has them ranked 9th and 7th in the NBA. The Nuggets on the defensive side of the court are 6th in the league in PPG given up with 109.6. They have forced 12.4 turnovers per game and allow teams to shoot 46.2% from the field (4th in the league).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Minnesota (+6)

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