Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets Prediction, 5/4/2024 Preview and Pick

Game: Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets

Date: Saturday, May 4, 2024

Location: Ball Arena in Denver, CO

TV: TNT

Odds/Point Spread: Minnesota (+5)

The Denver Nuggets will take on the Minnesota Timberwolves at Ball Arena on Saturday in Game 1 of the Western Conference Semifinals. Minnesota is 5-point underdogs. The over/under comes in at 207.5.

The Timberwolves stepped onto the hardwood against the Suns and earned the victory with a final of 122-116 to close out their 1st round series. In relation to personal fouls, the Timberwolves ended up finishing with 27 while the Suns totaled 26 personal fouls. They also knocked down 10 of their 26 shots from downtown. Phoenix ended up going 83.3% at the charity stripe by converting 30 of 36 shots. On top of that, Phoenix totaled 33 boards (10 offensive, 23 defensive) and got 6 blocks. Phoenix dished out 20 assists and had 6 steals in this matchup. In reference to the defense, Minnesota allowed the other team to shoot 51.4% from the field on 38 of 74 shooting. They also recorded 23 dimes for the contest as well as forcing the other team into 11 turnovers and earning 6 steals. In terms of rebounding, they collected 44 with 17 of them being on the offensive end. At the free throw line, the Timberwolves made 25 of their 31 tries for a rate of 80.6%. Minnesota finished the game having earned a 46.1% FG percentage (41 of 89) and knocked down 15 out of their 36 3-pointers.

Anthony Edwards is a player who came through for the matchup. He ended up with 40 points on 13 out of 23 shooting. He played for 41 minutes played and pulled down 9 rebounds. Edwards walked away from this one shooting 56.5% from the floor and dished out 6 dimes.

Get all of our NBA Picks Today

Minnesota comes into this contest with a record of 56-26 on the campaign. They lose possession via turnover 14.2 times per game and as a team are committing 18.8 personal fouls per game. As a team, Minnesota is grabbing 43.6 rebounds per game and has accounted for 2,184 assists on the campaign, which is 15th in basketball in terms of passing the rock. The Timberwolves are connecting on 38.7% on shots from beyond the arc (1,037 of 2,681) and 77.7% from the charity stripe. They have an average of 113.0 points per outing (18th in basketball) while hitting 48.5% from the floor.

When they are on defense, the Timberwolves have forced 14.2 turnovers on a nightly basis and they draw 19.9 fouls. They surrender 35.4% on 3-point shots and they rank 1st in the league in PPG allowed (106.5). The Timberwolves defensively are giving up a FG percentage of 45.0% (3,198 of 7,114) and they surrender 41.4 boards per game as a basketball team. They are ranked 3rd in basketball in allowing assists with 2,008 conceded for the season.

When they last stepped on the court, the Nuggets walked away with a victory by a final of 108-106 when they faced the Lakers to close out their 1st round series. With respect to rebounds, Denver permitted Los Angeles to grab 41 overall (11 offensive). They finished 28.6% from distance by going 10 of 35 and walked away from this one shooting 18 out of 27 at the charity stripe (66.7%). The Nuggets permitted the Lakers to convert 39 out of 84 attempts from the floor which gave them a rate of 46.4% for the game. When the final whistle blew, the Nuggets finished the game shooting 42 out of 89 from the floor which had them shooting 47.2%. In reference to shooting from beyond the arc, Denver buried 16 of their 38 tries (42.1%). They were able to knock down 8 of the free throws for a clip of 88.9%. The Lakers earned 12 personal fouls for this contest which got the Nuggets to the charity stripe for a total of 9 shots. They coughed up the ball 13 times, while earning 6 steals for this contest. The Nuggets were able to corral 36 defensive boards and 9 offensive boards totaling 45 for the game.

Jamal Murray was important for the Nuggets in this contest. He knocked down 13 of 28 in this contest giving him a field goal percentage of 46.4%, and had 3 rebounds. Murray had 32 points in his 41 minutes on the hardwood and added 7 dimes for this game.

Denver has a mark of 57-25 on the campaign. The Nuggets commit 18.2 personal fouls per game and they hit 76.2% from the free throw line. They are getting an assist 29.5 times per contest (3rd in basketball) and they turn the ball over 12.6 times per game. Denver has earned 9,418 pts for the year (114.9 per contest) and they average 44.4 boards per game. As an offense, the Nuggets are shooting 49.6% from the floor, which ranks 4th in basketball.

The Denver defense gives up 35.5% on shots from behind the 3-point line (919 of 2,587) and opponents are knocking down 77.2% of their shots from the charity stripe. They give up 25.7 dimes and 42.3 rebounds per game, which ranks them 9th and 7th in basketball. The Nuggets on the defensive side of the court are 6th in the league in points per game surrendered with 109.6. They are forcing 12.4 turnovers per game and have allowed teams to shoot 46.2% from the floor (4th in the league).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Minnesota (+5)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here