Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets Prediction, 5/14/2024 Preview and Pick

Game: Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets

Date: Tuesday, May 14, 2024

Location: Ball Arena in Denver, CO

TV: TNT

Odds/Point Spread: Minnesota (+3)

The Denver Nuggets are welcoming the Minnesota Timberwolves at Ball Arena on Tuesday in Game 5 of the Western Conference Semifinals. The series is tied 2-2. Minnesota is 3-point underdogs from Vegas oddsmakers. The over/under is 206.5.

The Timberwolves took a loss by a score of 115-107 in Game 4. Concerning fouls, the Timberwolves ended up walking away with 21 and the Nuggets had 20 fouls. They made 13 of their 29 attempts from 3-point land. Denver finished 80.0% at the free throw line by knocking down 12 of their 15 attempts. Furthermore, Denver snagged 31 rebounds (5 offensive, 26 defensive) and added 3 rejections. Denver earned 29 assists and had 7 steals in the game. Concerning defense, Minnesota allowed the other team to go 57.0% from the field on 45 of 79 shooting. They also distributed 21 dimes for the contest while forcing the opposition into 12 turnovers and earning 5 steals. Concerning hauling in boards, they collected a total of 42 with 12 of them being offensive. At the charity stripe, the Timberwolves made 18 of their 27 shots for a percentage of 66.7%. Minnesota ended the game having earned a 47.6% FG percentage (39 out of 82) and buried 11 of 28 shots from 3-point land.

Anthony Edwards is one player who was a factor for the game. He walked away with 44 points on 16 out of 25 shooting. He was on the court for 45 mins and also collected 5 boards. Edwards finished 64.0% from the floor and also totaled 5 assists.

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Minnesota enters this one with a win-loss mark of 56-26 on the campaign. They cough up possession 14.2 times per game and as a basketball team they are committing 18.8 fouls per contest. As a unit, Minnesota is grabbing 43.6 rebounds per game and is sitting with 2,184 assists so far this year, which has them ranked 15th in basketball in terms of passing the rock. The Timberwolves are shooting 38.7% on shots from downtown (1,037 of 2,681) and 77.7% from the charity stripe. They average 113.0 points per contest (18th in the NBA) on 48.5% from the field.

Defensively, the Timberwolves have forced 14.2 turnovers per contest and they draw 19.9 personal fouls. They surrender 35.4% on three-point shots and they rank 1st in basketball in PPG allowed (106.5). The Timberwolves defense is giving up an opponent shooting percentage of 45.0% (3,198 of 7,114) and they surrender 41.4 rebounds per game as a group. They are currently ranked 3rd in the NBA in allowing assists with 2,008 relinquished for the year.

When talking about how they cleaned up the glass in Game 4, Denver allowed Minnesota to snag 42 in total (12 on the offensive side). They wrapped up this game 39.3% from three-point range by going 11 of 28 and ended up shooting 18 out of 27 at the free throw line (66.7%). The Nuggets permitted the Timberwolves to knock down 39 of 82 tries from the floor which had them at 47.6% in this game. In all, the Nuggets finished 45 for 79 from the floor which gave them a percentage of 57.0%. When discussing shots from distance, Denver made 13 of their 29 tries (44.8%). They were able to make 12 of the free throw tries for a percentage of 80.0%. The Timberwolves earned 21 personal fouls in this matchup which got the Nuggets to the charity stripe for a total of 15 shots. They turned it over 12 times, while earning 7 steals in the matchup. The Nuggets were able to snag 26 defensive boards and 5 offensive boards totaling 31 for the contest.

Nikola Jokic ended up being a major contributor for the Nuggets for this contest. He made 15 out of 26 in the matchup giving him a rate of 57.7%, and accounted for 7 rebounds. Jokic had 35 points in his 39 mins on the court and had 7 dimes in this contest.

Denver has a record of 57-25 on the year. The Nuggets have committed 18.2 fouls per contest while shooting 76.2% from the free throw line. They are dishing out assists 29.5 times per contest (3rd in basketball) and they turn the ball over 12.6 times per contest. Denver has 9,418 pts on the year (114.9 per game) and they pull in 44.4 boards per contest. As an offense, the Nuggets are hitting on 49.6% from the floor, which ranks them 4th in the NBA.

The Nuggets on the defensive end are ranked 6th in basketball in points per game surrendered with 109.6. They are able to force 12.4 TO's per game and have let teams shoot 46.2% from the field (4th in the league). The Denver defense gives up 35.5% on shots from distance (919 of 2,587) and their opponents are making 77.2% of their free throw attempts. They give up 25.7 dimes and 42.3 boards per contest, which has them ranked 9th and 7th in the league.

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Denver (-3)

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