Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction, 5/28/2024 Preview and Pick

Game: Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks

Date: Tuesday, May 28, 2024

Location: American Airlines Center in Dallas, TX

TV: TNT

Odds/Point Spread: Minnesota (+4)

The Dallas Mavericks will play the Minnesota Timberwolves at American Airlines Center on Tuesday in Game 4 of the Western Conference Finals. The Mavs lead the series 3-0. Dallas is 4-point favorites from Vegas oddsmakers. The over/under is 209.5.

The Timberwolves took a loss by a score of 116-107 in Game 3. In reference to fouls, the Timberwolves walked away with 24 while the Mavericks recorded 19 fouls. They also converted 14 of their 28 shots from 3-point land. Dallas shot 83.9% from the charity stripe by making 26 of their 31 tries. Moreover, Dallas grabbed 32 rebounds (7 offensive, 25 defensive) and got 2 rejections. Dallas earned 19 assists and had 7 steals for the contest. When it comes to the defense, Minnesota allowed their opponent to shoot 55.9% from the field on 38 out of 68 shooting. They also distributed 26 dimes for the contest in addition to forcing the other team into 14 turnovers and earning 4 steals. In the matter of pulling down boards, they collected 33 with 10 of them being on the offensive end. From the charity stripe, the Timberwolves converted 12 of their 17 attempts for a percentage of 70.6%. Minnesota finished the contest with a 50.6% field goal percentage (43 of 85) and converted 9 out of their 30 shots from beyond the perimeter.

Anthony Edwards is a guy who was important for this game. He totaled 26 points on 11 of 24 shooting. He saw the court for 43 mins and also pulled down 9 boards. Edwards went 45.8% from the floor and also earned 9 assists.

Get all of our NBA Picks Today

Minnesota will take the court with a win-loss mark of 56-26 on the year. They average 113.0 points per game (18th in the league) while going 48.5% from the field. The Timberwolves are connecting on 38.7% on three-point shots (1,037 of 2,681) and 77.7% from the free throw line. As a unit, Minnesota is snagging 43.6 rebounds per game and has racked up 2,184 assists on the season, which has them ranked 15th in the NBA in terms of passing. They turn the ball over 14.2 times per contest and as a team they are committing 18.8 personal fouls per contest.

Defensively, the Timberwolves have forced 14.2 turnovers every game and they draw 19.9 fouls. They are 3rd in the league in giving up assists to the opposition with 2,008 relinquished for the year. The Timberwolves defense is allowing a FG percentage of 45.0% (3,198 of 7,114) and they concede 41.4 rebounds per game as a basketball team. They relinquish 35.4% from beyond the arc and they rank 1st in basketball in PPG allowed (106.5).

In Game 3, the Mavericks corralled 25 defensive boards and 7 offensive rebounds for a total of 32 in this contest. They also gave up possession 14 times, while getting 7 steals for this contest. The Timberwolves committed 24 fouls for the game which took the Mavericks to the free throw line for a total of 31 attempts. They were able to knock down 26 of the free throws for a rate of 83.9%. In the matter of shooting from distance, Dallas converted 14 of 28 attempts (50.0%). When the final whistle blew, the Mavericks ended up shooting 38 out of 68 from the field which had them shooting 55.9%. The Mavericks allowed the Timberwolves to make 43 of 85 tries from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 50.6% for this contest. They finished 30.0% from three-point range by connecting on 9 of 30 and walked away from this one shooting 12 of 17 at the free throw line (70.6%). Regarding cleaning up the glass, Dallas allowed Minnesota to snag 33 overall (10 on the offensive glass).

Luka Doncic ended up being important for the Mavericks for the game. He made 10 of 20 in this contest giving him a field goal percentage of 50.0%, and earned 7 rebounds. Doncic totaled 33 points in his 41 minutes on the court and had 5 assists in this contest.

Dallas has a record of 50-32 for the year. The Mavericks are committing 18.3 fouls per contest and they go 75.8% from the charity stripe. They are earning an assist 25.7 times per contest (19th in the league) and they are turning it over 12.5 times per game. Dallas has totaled 9,664 pts for the season (117.9 per contest) and they collect 42.9 boards per game. In terms of offensive execution, the Mavericks are hitting on 48.1% from the floor, which has them ranked 11th in the league.

The Dallas defense surrenders 36.8% on shots from distance (1,075 of 2,921) and opponents are connecting on 77.0% of their free throw attempts. They have surrendered 27.5 dimes and 45.1 rebounds per contest, which ranks them 22nd and 25th in basketball. The Mavericks on defense are ranked 20th in the league in PPG allowed with 115.6. They are forcing their opponents into 13.7 turnovers per game and have allowed teams to shoot 47.5% from the floor (20th in the league).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Minnesota (+4)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here