Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction, 5/26/2024 Preview and Pick

Game: Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks

Date: Sunday, May 26, 2024

Location: American Airlines Center in Dallas, TX

TV: TNT

Odds/Point Spread: Minnesota (+4)

The Minnesota Timberwolves are headed to American Airlines Center on Sunday where they will go up against the Dallas Mavericks in Game 3 of the Western Conference Finals. The Mavs lead the series 2-0. Dallas opens this matchup as 4-point favorites from oddsmakers. The total comes in at 208.5.

The Timberwolves ended up losing by a score of 109-108 in Game 2 after Luka Doncic drilled a game-winning 3-pointer with 3 seconds left. Minnesota walked away from the game having earned a 41.2% field goal percentage (35 of 85) and knocked down 12 out of their 31 shots from 3-point land. When they shot from the charity stripe, the Timberwolves knocked down 26 of 32 shots for a rate of 81.3%. In reference to getting rebounds, they earned 40 with 12 of them being of the offensive sort. They also distributed 26 dimes for this contest as well as forcing the opposition into 10 turnovers and earning 7 steals. In terms of defense, Minnesota let their opponent shoot 48.8% from the field on 41 out of 84 shooting. Dallas earned 24 dimes and had 7 steals in the game. Additionally, Dallas collected 44 rebounds (11 offensive, 33 defensive) and got 7 blocked shots. Dallas finished the game shooting 68.2% when shooting free throws by making 15 of 22 attempts. They also converted 12 out of their 31 attempts from beyond the arc. With respect to fouls, the Timberwolves ended up finishing with 19 and the Mavericks accumulated 17 fouls.

Naz Reid is someone who was a major factor in the game. He recorded 23 points on 8 of 13 shooting. He was on the court for 32 mins played and also pulled down 2 rebounds. Reid finished the game at 61.5% from the field but had no assists when the game ended.

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Minnesota will enter this matchup with a win-loss mark of 56-26 so far this season. They turn it over 14.2 times per contest and as a group are committing 18.8 fouls per contest. As a team, Minnesota is snagging 43.6 boards per game and has accumulated 2,184 assists on the year, which ranks 15th in the league in terms of passing the rock. The Timberwolves are shooting 38.7% on shots from downtown (1,037 of 2,681) and 77.7% from the charity stripe. They average 113.0 points per game (18th in the NBA) while hitting 48.5% from the field.

When they are on defense, the Timberwolves are forcing 14.2 turnovers on a nightly basis while drawing 19.9 fouls. They relinquish 35.4% on shots from beyond the arc while they are 1st in the NBA in PPG from their opponents (106.5). The Timberwolves defensively are allowing an opponent shooting percentage of 45.0% (3,198 of 7,114) and they concede 41.4 boards per game as a group. They are currently ranked 3rd in the league in giving up assists to the opposition with 2,008 relinquished so far this year.

In Game 2, the Mavericks were able to pull down 33 defensive rebounds and 11 offensive boards totaling 44 for this game. They turned it over 10 times, while earning 7 steals for the game. The Timberwolves committed 19 personal fouls for this contest which got the Mavericks to the charity stripe for 22 attempts. They were able to convert 15 of the free throw attempts for a percentage of 68.2%. In the matter of three-point shots, Dallas made 12 of 31 attempts (38.7%). When all was said and done, the Mavericks finished the game shooting 41 out of 84 from the field which gave them a percentage of 48.8%. The Mavericks allowed the Timberwolves to bury 35 of their 85 tries from the field which left them with a shooting percentage of 41.2% for this contest. They shot 38.7% from downtown by going 12 of 31 and walked away from this one shooting 26 out of 32 from the free throw line (81.3%). Concerning attacking the glass, Dallas permitted Minnesota to collect 40 in total (12 offensive).

Luka Doncic was important for the Mavericks in the matchup. Doncic recorded 32 points in his 41 mins on the hardwood and accumulated 13 assists for this game. He buried 10 of 23 in this game for a field goal percentage of 43.5%, and had 10 rebounds.

Dallas has a mark of 50-32 so far this year. The Mavericks have committed 18.3 personal fouls per game and they hit 75.8% from the charity stripe. Their rate of dishing out assists is at 25.7 times per game (19th in the NBA) and they are losing possession via turnover 12.5 times per contest. Dallas has scored 9,664 pts so far this season (117.9 per contest) and they collect 42.9 rebounds per contest. In terms of offensive execution, the Mavericks are shooting 48.1% from the floor, which ranks them 11th in basketball.

The Mavericks on the defensive end are ranked 20th in the NBA in points given up per game with 115.6. They are forcing 13.7 turnovers per game and allow teams to shoot 47.5% from the floor (20th in the league). The Dallas defense concedes 36.8% from downtown (1,075 of 2,921) and their opponents are making 77.0% of their free throw attempts. They allow 27.5 assists and 45.1 boards per contest, which is ranked 22nd and 25th in basketball.

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Minnesota (+4)

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