Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers Prediction, 4/28/2024 Preview and Pick

Game: Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers

Date: Sunday, April 28, 2024

Location: Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, IN

TV: TNT

Odds/Point Spread: Milwaukee (+6)

Gainbridge Fieldhouse is the location where the Indiana Pacers will take on the Milwaukee Bucks on Sunday in Game 4 of their series. The Pacers lead the series 2-1. Indiana is 6-point favorites. The total comes in at 224.5.

The Bucks took a loss by a score of 121-118 in Game 3. Milwaukee finished the contest having earned a 46.6% FG percentage (41 out of 88) and converted 10 of their 31 shots from 3-point land. From the charity stripe, the Bucks buried 26 of their 27 shots for a percentage of 96.3%. Regarding pulling down rebounds, they compiled 43 with 11 of them being offensive. They also distributed 20 assists in this game while forcing the other team into 8 turnovers and having 6 steals. With regard to defense, Milwaukee let their opponent shoot 42.9% from the field on 45 of 105 shooting. Indiana distributed 32 dimes and had 5 steals in the game. Additionally, Indiana pulled down 50 rebounds (19 offensive, 31 defensive) and had 2 rejections. Indiana finished the game shooting 75.0% from the free throw line by burying 18 of their 24 attempts. They also knocked down 13 out of their 49 attempts from distance. In regard to fouls, the Bucks walked away with 26 and the Pacers racked up 20 fouls.

Khris Middleton is someone who was a major contributor in the matchup. He accounted for 42 points on 16 out of 29 shooting. He was on the court for 41 minutes and pulled down 10 boards. Middleton ended up shooting 55.2% from the floor and also recorded 5 dimes.

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Milwaukee enters this contest with a win-loss record of 49-33 on the season. They are losing possession via turnover 12.9 times per contest and as a team are committing 19.2 personal fouls per game. As a unit, Milwaukee is pulling down 44.2 boards per contest and has racked up 2,176 dimes this year, which ranks 17th in the league in terms of passing. The Bucks are shooting 37.3% on three-point attempts (1,163 of 3,122) and 77.4% from the charity stripe. They have an average of 119.0 points per outing (4th in the NBA) while connecting on 48.7% from the field.

On the defensive end of the court, the Bucks are able to force 12.0 turnovers per game and they draw 19.2 fouls. They are ranked 13th in the league in allowing assists to the opposition with 2,169 surrendered for the season. The Bucks defense is allowing an opponent shooting percentage of 47.0% (3,543 of 7,537) and they surrender 44.0 boards per game as a squad. They are surrendering 35.6% on three-point shots and they are ranked 21st in the league in points per game from their opponents (116.4).

Regarding how they attacked the glass in Game 3, Indiana allowed Milwaukee to collect 43 in all (11 on the offensive side). They finished 32.3% from beyond the perimeter by connecting on 10 out of 31 and finished the game at 26 out of 27 at the free throw line (96.3%). The Pacers permitted the Bucks to bury 41 of their 88 attempts from the field which had them shooting 46.6% in this matchup. Overall, the Pacers shot 45 out of 105 from the floor which gave them a rate of 42.9%. In reference to shots from beyond the arc, Indiana knocked down 13 of their 49 attempts (26.5%). They were able to bury 18 of those for a percentage of 75.0%. The Bucks had 26 personal fouls for this contest which took the Pacers to the charity stripe for a total of 24 shots. They also gave up possession of the ball 8 times, while earning 5 steals for the contest. The Pacers were able to snag 31 defensive rebounds and 19 offensive boards totaling 50 for the game.

Myles Turner ended up being a factor for the Pacers in this game. He buried 10 out of 21 for the game giving him a field goal percentage of 47.6%, and added 9 rebounds. Turner totaled 29 points in his 42 minutes on the hardwood and earned 1 assist for this contest.

Indiana has a mark of 47-35 this year. The Pacers are responsible for committing 21.4 personal fouls per contest and they shoot 78.2% from the free throw line. Their rate of assisting teammates is at 30.8 times per game (1st in basketball) and they are turning it over 12.9 times per game. Indiana has accumulated 10,110 pts so far this year (123.3 per contest) and they pull in 41.5 rebounds per game. On the offensive side of the court, the Pacers are shooting 50.7% from the field, which is 1st in the NBA.

The Pacers on defense are ranked 27th in the league in PPG allowed with 120.2. They have forced 13.9 turnovers on a nightly basis and have allowed teams to shoot 49.6% from the floor (30th in basketball). The Indiana defense gives up 36.5% on shots from distance (877 of 2,404) and their opponents are knocking down 78.7% of their free throw shots. They concede 24.6 dimes and 43.4 boards per contest, which is 4th and 15th in the NBA.

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Milwaukee (+6)

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