Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers Prediction, 4/26/2024 Preview and Pick

Game: Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers

Date: Friday, April 26, 2024

Location: Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, IN

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Milwaukee (+6)

The Milwaukee Bucks are hitting the road to Gainbridge Fieldhouse on Friday where they will try to defeat the Indiana Pacers in Game 3 of their series. The series is tied 1-1. Milwaukee opens this matchup as 6-point underdogs. The betting total comes in at 226.

The Bucks took a loss by a final of 125-108 in Game 2. When discussing personal fouls, the Bucks finished with 13 and the Pacers finished the game with 18 personal fouls. They also converted 16 out of their 36 tries from three-point range. Indiana ended up going 64.3% from the charity stripe by knocking down 9 of 14 shots. On top of that, Indiana collected 45 rebounds (7 offensive, 38 defensive) and earned 4 blocked shots. Indiana earned 38 dimes and had 3 steals for the contest. When it comes to defense, Milwaukee allowed their opponent to shoot 55.6% from the floor on 50 of 90 shooting. They also recorded 24 dimes in the game in addition to forcing 5 turnovers and earning 4 steals. With respect to rebounding, they earned 40 with 8 of them being on the offensive end. At the free throw line, the Bucks made 19 of 21 shots for a rate of 90.5%. Milwaukee wrapped up the contest with a 44.2% field goal percentage (38 out of 86) and knocked down 13 out of their 32 3-point attempts.

Damian Lillard is a player who had an impact for this contest. Lillard went 47.6% from the field and also earned 5 assists. He saw the court for 39 mins and also totaled 4 boards. He scored 34 points on 10 out of 21 shooting.

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Milwaukee enters this one with a mark of 49-33 on the campaign. They are turning it over 12.9 times per game and as a group are committing 19.2 fouls on a nightly basis. As a unit, Milwaukee is pulling in 44.2 boards per contest and has accounted for 2,176 dimes so far this season, which ranks 17th in the NBA in terms of passing the rock. The Bucks are shooting 37.3% on shots from 3-point land (1,163 of 3,122) and 77.4% from the charity stripe. They average 119.0 points per game (4th in the league) while connecting on 48.7% from the field.

When they are on defense, the Bucks are able to force 12.0 turnovers per contest while drawing 19.2 personal fouls. They are 13th in the NBA in giving up assists with 2,169 surrendered on the season. The Bucks defensively are giving up a FG percentage of 47.0% (3,543 of 7,537) and they surrender 44.0 rebounds per contest as a basketball team. They are conceding 35.6% on 3-pointers and they are 21st in the league in opponents PPG (116.4).

In Game 2 the Pacers were able to collect 38 defensive boards and 7 offensive rebounds totaling 45 in this game. They also turned it over 5 times, while getting 3 steals in the game. The Bucks committed 13 fouls in this matchup which got the Pacers to the free throw line for a total of 14 shots. They were able to knock down 9 of them for a percentage of 64.3%. In relation to three-point attempts, Indiana converted 16 out of 36 tries (44.4%). When the final whistle blew, the Pacers finished shooting 50 out of 90 from the field which had them at 55.6%. The Pacers permitted the Bucks to convert 38 of their 86 attempts from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 44.2% in the game. They finished 40.6% from distance by going 13 out of 32 and ended up going 19 of 21 at the free throw line (90.5%). In reference to cleaning up the glass, Indiana allowed Milwaukee to collect 40 in all (8 on the offensive glass).

Pascal Siakam ended up being a factor for the Pacers in this contest. He converted 16 of 23 for this game for a field goal percentage of 69.6%, and had 11 rebounds. Siakam racked up 37 points in his 37 mins on the court and totaled 6 assists in the matchup.

Indiana has a mark of 47-35 this season. The Pacers commit 21.4 personal fouls every game and they shoot 78.2% from the charity stripe. They are dishing out assists 30.8 times per game (1st in the NBA) and they lose possession by turning the ball over 12.9 times per game. Indiana has scored 10,110 points so far this season (123.3 per game) and they average 41.5 boards per game. On the offensive side of the ball, the Pacers are hitting on 50.7% from the field, which is ranked 1st in the league.

The Indiana defense allows 36.5% on shots from beyond the arc (877 of 2,404) and opponents are knocking down 78.7% of their foul shots. They allow 24.6 dimes and 43.4 total boards per game, ranking them 4th and 15th in the NBA. The Pacers on defense are ranked 27th in the league in PPG given up with 120.2. They are forcing their opponents into 13.9 turnovers on a nightly basis and have allowed teams to shoot 49.6% from the floor (30th in the league).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Indiana (-6)

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