Milwaukee Bucks vs Houston Rockets Prediction, 1/6/2024 Preview and Pick

Game: Milwaukee Bucks vs Houston Rockets

Date: Saturday, January 6, 2024

Location: Toyota Center in Houston, TX

TV: Space City Home Network

Odds/Point Spread: Milwaukee (-5)

The Milwaukee Bucks (25-10) are en route to Toyota Center on Saturday where they will compete against the Houston Rockets (17-15). Milwaukee is 5-point favorites from Vegas oddsmakers. The betting total is set at 239.5.

The Bucks faced off with the Spurs and earned the victory with a final of 125-121 in their last contest. Milwaukee wrapped up the contest with a 53.3% FG percentage (49 of 92) and knocked down 12 of 34 shots from downtown. At the free throw line, the Bucks made 15 of their 19 attempts for a rate of 78.9%. Concerning pulling down boards, they compiled 42 with 8 of them being on the offensive end. They also recorded 27 dimes in the game while forcing the other team into 11 turnovers and having 5 steals. When discussing defense, Milwaukee allowed 48.4% from the field on 46 of 95 shooting. San Antonio totaled 31 dimes and had 10 steals for the game. Furthermore, San Antonio collected 42 boards (10 offensive, 32 defensive) and got 5 blocks. San Antonio ended up shooting 88.2% from the charity stripe by making 15 of their 17 shots. They also converted 14 of 40 attempts from distance. When it comes to personal fouls, the Bucks ended up walking away with 16 and the Spurs had 16 personal fouls.

Giannis Antetokounmpo is someone who was a contributor in this game. He ended up walking away with 44 points on 19 of 28 shooting. He was on the hardwood for 40 mins played and pulled down 14 rebounds. Antetokounmpo finished shooting 67.9% from the field and also dished out 7 assists.

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Milwaukee will enter this matchup with a record of 25-10 for the season. They have an average of 124.8 points per outing (2nd in the league) while going 50.1% from the field. The Bucks are connecting on 37.9% on shots from downtown (499 of 1,317) and 78.1% from the free throw line. As a unit, Milwaukee is grabbing 44.4 boards per game and has 924 dimes for the year, which has them ranked 9th in the league in terms of passing. They are giving up possession 13.4 times per game and as a group they commit 20.3 fouls on a nightly basis.

On the defensive end of the court, the Bucks are forcing their opponents into 12.2 turnovers per game while drawing 20.9 fouls. They are currently ranked 22nd in the league in allowing assists to their opponents with 933 surrendered so far this year. The Bucks defense is giving up a field goal percentage of 47.1% (1,569 of 3,328) and they relinquish 44.0 rebounds per game as a group. They are relinquishing 33.2% on shots from beyond the arc and they rank 24th in the league in PPG allowed (119.7).

In their last game, the Rockets took home the win by a final score of 112-101 when they faced the Nets. The Rockets were able to collect 43 defensive boards and 5 offensive boards totaling 48 in this contest. They turned the ball over 16 times, while recording 5 steals for the matchup. The Nets committed 19 fouls for this contest which got the Rockets to the charity stripe for a total of 27 attempts. They were able to convert 19 of the free throws for a rate of 70.4%. In the matter of three-point attempts, Houston made 19 out of 39 attempts (48.7%). Overall, the Rockets went 37 out of 76 from the floor which had them shooting 48.7%. The Rockets allowed the Nets to convert 36 of 93 tries from the floor which gave them a percentage of 38.7% in this matchup. They went 29.5% from downtown by shooting 13 of 44 and finished the game at 16 out of 26 at the free throw line (61.5%). In the matter of attacking the glass, Houston permitted Brooklyn to snag 50 in total (15 on the offensive side).

Alperen Sengün ended up being a factor for the Rockets in the matchup. Sengun tallied 30 points in his 34 minutes on the hardwood and tallied 4 assists in the game. He buried 11 of 17 in the matchup giving him a rate of 64.7%, and accounted for 8 rebounds.

Houston has a record of 17-15 on the season. The Rockets commit 21.8 fouls per game and they hit 77.8% from the charity stripe. They are earning an assist 25.4 times per contest (22nd in the league) and they turn it over 13.1 times per contest. Houston has accounted for 3,617 pts on the campaign (113.0 per game) and they pull in 45.1 rebounds per contest. As an offense, the Rockets are shooting 46.7% from the field, which has them ranked 22nd in the league.

The Rockets on defense are ranked 2nd in basketball in PPG given up with 109.6. They have forced 13.3 turnovers per game and have allowed teams to shoot 44.8% from the field (3rd in the league). The Houston defense allows 32.7% on shots from beyond the arc (372 of 1,136) and their opponents are converting on 75.1% of their foul shots. They surrender 23.5 dimes and 43.6 total boards per game, ranking them 1st and 18th in basketball.

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Houston (+5)

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