Miami Heat vs Sacramento Kings Prediction, 2/26/2024 Preview and Pick

Game: Miami Heat vs Sacramento Kings

Date: Monday, February 26, 2024

Location: Golden 1 Center in Sacramento, CA

TV: NBC Sports California

Golden 1 Center is the location where the Sacramento Kings (32-23) will try to defeat the Miami Heat (31-25) on Monday.

The Heat took the court against the Pelicans and earned the victory with a final of 106-95 in their last game. In reference to personal fouls, the Heat ended up finishing with 14 and the Pelicans finished the game with 19 personal fouls. They also knocked down 7 of 32 tries from downtown. New Orleans finished the game shooting 76.9% when shooting free throws by making 10 of 13 shots. Moreover, New Orleans pulled down 54 rebounds (18 offensive, 36 defensive) and had 11 blocks. New Orleans distributed 20 assists and had 6 steals for this game. In terms of the defense, Miami allowed the other team to go 37.5% from the floor on 39 out of 104 shooting. They also doled out 20 dimes in this matchup in addition to creating 11 turnovers and having 6 steals. In terms of rebounding, they collected 46 with 10 of them being on the offensive end. At the charity stripe, the Heat made 17 of 25 shots for a rate of 68.0%. Miami ended having earned a 46.3% FG percentage (38 out of 82) and made 13 of their 29 3-pointers.

Bam Adebayo is a guy who came through for the matchup. He walked away with 24 points on 11 of 18 shooting. He played 36 mins and grabbed 7 rebounds. Adebayo finished shooting 61.1% from the floor and totaled 1 assist.

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Miami will play this contest with a record of 31-25 so far this year. They are losing possession via turnover 13.0 times per contest and as a basketball team are committing 18.0 fouls on a nightly basis. As a team, Miami is collecting 42.3 boards per game and has 1,447 dimes for the year, which is 20th in the NBA in terms of passing. The Heat are connecting on 37.3% on shots from downtown (697 of 1,870) and 82.1% from the charity stripe. They are averaging 110.5 pts per contest (27th in the NBA) while shooting 46.3% from the floor.

Defensively, the Heat are forcing 13.9 turnovers every game while drawing 19.2 fouls. They surrender 36.2% on 3-pointers while they are 4th in the league in points per game from their opponents (110.1). The Heat are giving up a FG percentage of 47.2% (2,280 of 4,834) and they surrender 43.0 rebounds per game as a unit. They are 15th in the league in allowing assists to the opposition with 1,496 conceded this year.

The last time they took the hardwood, the Kings got the win with a final of 127-122 against the Spurs. The Kings were able to collect 35 defensive boards and 7 offensive boards for a total of 42 for the contest. They turned it over 10 times, while recording 5 steals in this contest. The Spurs had 12 fouls for this game which took the Kings to the charity stripe for 14 shots. They were able to bury 10 of those for a rate of 71.4%. Concerning shots from 3-point land, Sacramento knocked down 13 of 33 tries (39.4%). When the final whistle was blown, the Kings shot 52 out of 93 from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 55.9%. The Kings allowed the Spurs to bury 50 of 98 attempts from the field which had them at 51.0% for the contest. They finished 44.0% from three-point range by going 11 out of 25 and finished the game at 11 of 16 from the free throw line (68.8%). When it comes to cleaning up the glass, Sacramento allowed San Antonio to get 42 in all (11 offensive).

De'Aaron Fox was important for the Kings in this contest. He made 12 of 18 for this game giving him a field goal percentage of 66.7%, and added 5 rebounds. Fox earned 28 points in his 37 minutes on the court and accounted for 9 assists for the matchup.

Sacramento has a win-loss record of 32-23 on the season. As an offensive unit, the Kings are hitting on 48.4% from the field, which has them ranked 10th in the league. Sacramento has totaled 6,521 points on the year (118.6 per contest) and they pull in 43.2 boards per game. Their rate of dishing out assists is at 28.7 times per game (6th in the NBA) and they turn it over 13.4 times per game. The Kings are responsible for committing 20.0 personal fouls every game and they connect on 73.2% from the free throw line.

The Sacramento defense concedes 39.8% on 3-point shots (741 of 1,862) and opponents are connecting on 80.5% of their free throw shots. They concede 27.8 dimes and 42.7 boards every game, ranking them 22nd and 11th in the league. The Kings on defense are ranked 22nd in the league in points per game surrendered with 118.0. They are forcing their opponents into 13.8 turnovers per game and allow teams to shoot 48.7% from the floor (23rd in the NBA).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Miami

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