Miami Heat vs Orlando Magic Prediction, 1/21/2024 Preview and Pick

Game: Miami Heat vs Orlando Magic

Date: Sunday, January 21, 2024

Location: Kia Center in Orlando, FL

TV: Bally Sports Florida

The Orlando Magic (22-19) will try to defeat the Miami Heat (24-17) at Kia Center on Sunday.

The Heat stepped onto the hardwood against the Raptors and took a loss by a final of 121-97 in their last game. Miami wrapped up the contest having earned a 45.6% FG percentage (41 out of 90) and buried 6 out of their 28 shots from downtown. From the charity stripe, the Heat buried 9 of 12 attempts for a rate of 75.0%. Regarding getting rebounds, they earned 37 with 12 of them being of the offensive variety. They also recorded 24 dimes for this contest in addition to forcing the other team into 10 turnovers and getting 4 steals. In the matter of defense, Miami allowed their opponent to shoot 51.1% from the floor on 45 of 88 shooting. Toronto recorded 34 assists and had 9 steals for the game. On top of that, Toronto pulled down 45 rebounds (13 offensive, 32 defensive) and added 5 rejections. Toronto went 61.1% at the free throw line by converting 11 of 18 tries. They also made 20 out of their 38 tries from three-point range. In reference to personal fouls, the Heat ended up with 13 and the Raptors finished the game with 14 personal fouls.

Bam Adebayo is one guy who was a factor for this contest. He ended up finishing with 16 points on 7 of 13 shooting. He saw the court for 36 minutes played and also pulled down 5 rebounds. Adebayo finished 53.8% from the floor and totaled 4 dimes.

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Miami heads into this contest with a mark of 24-17 on the year. They are losing possession via turnover 13.3 times per game and as a group they are committing 18.4 personal fouls on a nightly basis. As a unit, Miami is collecting 41.7 boards per game and has accounted for 1,064 assists this year, which has them ranked 15th in the league in terms of passing the ball. The Heat are connecting on 37.9% on shots from 3-point land (510 of 1,346) and 82.1% from the charity stripe. They are averaging 111.5 points per contest (26th in the NBA) while connecting on 46.6% from the floor.

Defensively, the Heat are forcing 14.2 turnovers per game while drawing 20.1 personal fouls. They are currently ranked 17th in the NBA in giving up assists to the opposition with 1,099 conceded on the year. The Heat defensively are giving up an opponent shooting percentage of 47.4% (1,679 of 3,544) and they concede 42.7 boards per game as a team. They are giving up 36.0% on 3-pointers and they rank 4th in basketball in opponents PPG (110.9).

For their last game, the Magic took a loss by a score of 106-104 when they played the Hawks. The Magic were able to snag 24 defensive boards and 16 offensive boards totaling 40 in this contest. They also gave up possession of the ball 13 times, while getting 16 steals in this matchup. The Hawks earned 17 fouls in this matchup which took the Magic to the charity stripe for a total of 22 attempts. They were able to bury 16 of the free throw attempts for a rate of 72.7%. Pertaining to 3-pointers, Orlando made 10 of their 35 tries (28.6%). Overall, the Magic ended up going 39 out of 88 from the floor which had them sitting at 44.3%. The Magic permitted the Hawks to knock down 39 out of 76 tries from the floor which left them with a rate of 51.3% in this matchup. They shot 32.0% from three-point range via 8 out of 25 and walked away from this one shooting 20 out of 22 from the free throw line (90.9%). In the matter of rebounding, Orlando allowed Atlanta to get 41 in total (10 offensive).

Paolo Banchero ended up being important for the Magic in this game. Banchero earned 26 points in his 38 minutes on the hardwood and accumulated 4 assists in this matchup. He converted 8 out of 25 in the game for a field goal percentage of 32.0%, and earned 4 rebounds.

Orlando has a record of 22-19 on the season. As an offense, the Magic are connecting on 46.7% from the field, which is ranked 19th in the league. Orlando has earned 4,590 points for the season (112.0 per contest) and they average 43.8 rebounds per game. Their rate of dishing out assists is at 24.6 times per contest (26th in the league) and they lose possession by turning the ball over 14.8 times per game. The Magic commit 21.5 personal fouls per game and they hit 75.3% from the free throw line.

The Orlando defense concedes 35.3% on shots from behind the 3-point line (475 of 1,344) and their opponents are connecting on 75.2% of their shots from the charity stripe. They concede 23.7 dimes and 41.7 total rebounds per game, which is ranked 1st and 5th in the league. The Magic defensively are ranked 6th in the league in PPG surrendered with 111.1. They have forced 15.3 turnovers per game and have let teams shoot 47.3% from the floor (16th in the league).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Miami

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