Miami Heat vs Houston Rockets Prediction, 4/5/2024 Preview and Pick

Game: Miami Heat vs Houston Rockets

Date: Friday, April 5, 2024

Location: Toyota Center in Houston, TX

TV: Space City Home Network

Toyota Center is the location where the Houston Rockets (38-37) will take on the Miami Heat (42-33) on Friday.

The Heat faced the Knicks and walked away with a win by a score of 109-99 in their last contest. In reference to fouls, the Heat ended up with 17 and the Knicks had 17 fouls. They buried 12 out of their 34 tries from distance. New York walked away from this one shooting 81.0% at the charity stripe by making 17 of their 21 attempts. Furthermore, New York collected 30 boards (7 offensive, 23 defensive) and added 4 rejections. New York recorded 25 dimes and had 11 steals for the matchup. When talking about defense, Miami allowed their opponent to shoot 46.1% from the field on 35 out of 76 shooting. They also doled out 24 assists in the matchup in addition to forcing 14 turnovers and having 5 steals. In reference to grabbing boards, they collected a total of 39 with 7 of them being offensive. At the free throw line, the Heat buried 20 of 21 attempts for a rate of 95.2%. Miami finished having earned a 48.6% FG percentage (36 of 74) and made 17 out of their 38 3-pointers.

Terry Rozier is one guy who had an impact in this contest. Rozier walked away from this one shooting 66.7% from the field and distributed 3 dimes. He played for 35 mins and totaled 5 boards. He totaled 34 points on 10 of 15 shooting.

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Miami enters this matchup with a win-loss mark of 42-33 so far this year. They turn it over 12.3 times per contest and as a unit they are committing 17.3 personal fouls per contest. As a unit, Miami is pulling in 41.5 boards per contest and is sitting with 1,927 dimes on the year, which ranks 21st in the league in terms of passing. The Heat are connecting on 37.1% on shots from 3-point land (931 of 2,507) and 81.5% from the charity stripe. They are averaging 109.9 points per contest (27th in basketball) on 46.4% from the field.

When they are on defense, the Heat are forcing 13.7 turnovers per game and they draw 18.9 fouls. They are relinquishing 35.8% from beyond the arc and they are ranked 4th in basketball in PPG allowed (108.4). The Heat defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 46.9% (3,013 of 6,421) and they surrender 42.3 rebounds per game as a team. They currently rank 13th in basketball in allowing assists with 1,992 surrendered this season.

When they last stepped on the court, the Rockets took a defeat with a final score of 113-106 against the Timberwolves. In relation to rebounding, Houston permitted Minnesota to grab 39 in all (6 on the offensive glass). They shot 42.3% from distance by shooting 11 of 26 and ended up going 20 of 22 from the free throw line (90.9%). The Rockets permitted the Timberwolves to make 41 out of 77 attempts from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 53.2% in the game. When the final whistle blew, the Rockets ended up going 41 for 92 from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 44.6%. In terms of shooting from downtown, Houston converted 14 of 48 tries (29.2%). They were able to make 10 of the free throws for a clip of 71.4%. The Timberwolves were called for 17 fouls for the contest which got the Rockets to the free throw line for 14 attempts. They also coughed it up 14 times, while earning 10 steals in this game. The Rockets snagged 25 defensive boards and 12 offensive boards for a total of 37 in the game.

Jalen Green ended up being a factor for the Rockets for the contest. Green totaled 26 points in his 38 mins on the court and accounted for 6 assists in the game. He converted 10 out of 22 in the matchup giving him a field goal percentage of 45.5%, and tallied 5 rebounds.

Houston has a record of 38-37 so far this year. On the offensive side of the ball, the Rockets are connecting on 45.9% from the floor, which is ranked 26th in the NBA. Houston has scored 8,554 pts so far this year (114.1 per game) and they collect 45.3 boards per game. Their rate of assisting teammates is at 24.7 times per contest (27th in the league) and they turn the ball over 12.7 times per game. The Rockets commit 20.9 fouls per contest and they go 77.2% from the charity stripe.

The Houston defense allows 34.8% on shots from 3-point land (926 of 2,659) and opponents are converting on 75.8% of their shots from the charity stripe. They have given up 24.4 assists and 44.2 rebounds per contest, which ranks 3rd and 23rd in the NBA. The Rockets on the defensive end are ranked 10th in basketball in PPG given up with 112.6. They are forcing 13.6 TO's every game and have let teams shoot 46.2% from the floor (6th in basketball).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Houston

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