Miami Heat vs Detroit Pistons Prediction, 3/15/2024 Preview and Pick

Game: Miami Heat vs Detroit Pistons

Date: Friday, March 15, 2024

Location: Little Caesars Arena in Detroit, MI

TV: Bally Sports Detroit

Little Caesars Arena is where the Detroit Pistons (12-53) will try to defeat the Miami Heat (35-30) on Friday.

The Heat took the court against the Nuggets and went home with a loss by a final score of 100-88 in their last game. Miami finished the contest having earned a 42.5% field goal percentage (34 of 80) and buried 5 of 21 shots from beyond the perimeter. At the charity stripe, the Heat converted 15 of 18 attempts for a rate of 83.3%. With respect to hauling in boards, they compiled 42 with 8 of them being on the offensive end. They also dished out 18 assists in this contest in addition to forcing the other team into 9 turnovers and earning 5 steals. Regarding the defense, Miami allowed the other team to shoot 48.8% from the floor on 40 of 82 shooting. Denver dished out 24 dimes and had 4 steals in the game. On top of that, Denver totaled 41 rebounds (7 offensive, 34 defensive) and had 2 rejections. Denver went 69.2% from the charity stripe by knocking down 9 of 13 attempts. They also knocked down 11 out of their 33 shots from beyond the perimeter. Concerning fouls, the Heat walked away with 13 and the Nuggets had 13 fouls.

Bam Adebayo is one player who was important for the matchup. He notched 17 points on 7 out of 15 shooting. He played for 34 minutes played and also grabbed 13 boards. Adebayo went 46.7% from the floor and distributed 3 dimes.

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Miami comes into this game with a win-loss record of 35-30 so far this year. They average 110.2 points per game (27th in the NBA) on 46.5% from the floor. The Heat are hitting 37.4% on shots from 3-point land (799 of 2,138) and 81.5% from the charity stripe. As a team, Miami is snagging 42.1 boards per game and has tallied 1,676 dimes on the campaign, which has them ranked 21st in the league in terms of passing the ball. They turn it over 12.8 times per contest and as a unit they are committing 17.8 personal fouls on a nightly basis.

When they are on defense, the Heat are forcing their opponents into 13.7 turnovers per contest while drawing 19.1 personal fouls. They are relinquishing 36.1% on shots from beyond the perimeter and they are 6th in basketball in PPG allowed (109.8). The Heat defense is allowing an opponent shooting percentage of 47.1% (2,638 of 5,604) and they relinquish 42.8 boards per contest as a basketball team. They are currently ranked 14th in the NBA in giving up assists with 1,736 surrendered for the campaign.

For their last game, the Pistons took home the win by a final score of 113-104 when they played the Raptors. When discussing rebounding, Detroit allowed Toronto to get 37 overall (3 on the offensive glass). They finished 25.0% from 3-point land by connecting on 9 out of 36 and finished the game at 13 of 19 at the charity stripe (68.4%). The Pistons permitted the Raptors to knock down 41 out of their 93 tries from the floor which gave them a percentage of 44.1% in this contest. When this game wrapped up, the Pistons ended up going 39 out of 88 from the field which had them sitting at 44.3%. Concerning 3-pointers, Detroit made 11 out of 30 tries (36.7%). They were able to make 24 of them for a percentage of 77.4%. The Raptors committed 20 personal fouls in this matchup which took the Pistons to the free throw line for a total of 31 tries. They gave up possession of the ball 21 times, while getting 7 steals for this contest. The Pistons collected 47 defensive rebounds and 11 offensive boards for a total of 58 in this contest.

Jalen Duren ended up being important for the Pistons for the contest. Duren earned 24 points in his 28 minutes on the court and had 5 dimes in this game. He converted 8 of 9 for the matchup for a field goal rate of 88.9%, and had 23 rebounds.

Detroit has a record of 12-53 this year. In terms of offensive execution, the Pistons are connecting on 47.0% from the floor, which has them ranked 18th in basketball. Detroit has totaled 7,305 pts on the season (112.4 per contest) and they snag 43.9 boards per contest. Their rate of earning assists is at 26.3 times per game (17th in the NBA) and they lose possession via turnover 15.5 times per contest. The Pistons have committed 21.6 fouls per contest and they go 78.4% from the charity stripe.

The Detroit defense allows 37.5% on shots from beyond the perimeter (778 of 2,076) and their opponents are making 81.1% of their free throw shots. They give up 26.8 assists and 42.3 boards every game, which is ranked 17th and 9th in the NBA. The Pistons are ranked 26th in the league in points allowed per contest with 120.5. They are able to force 12.2 TO's every game and allow teams to shoot 49.0% from the field (24th in the NBA).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Detroit

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