Miami Heat vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction, 3/7/2024 Preview and Pick

Game: Miami Heat vs Dallas Mavericks

Date: Thursday, March 7, 2024

Location: American Airlines Center in Dallas, TX

TV: Bally Sports Southwest-Dallas

The Dallas Mavericks (34-28) are welcoming the Miami Heat (35-26) at American Airlines Center on Thursday.

The Heat took the court against the Pistons and took home the win by a score of 118-110 in their last contest. Miami ended with a 49.4% FG percentage (42 out of 85) and made 14 of their 31 3-point shots. At the charity stripe, the Heat made 20 of 23 shots for a rate of 87.0%. In relation to getting rebounds, they earned 42 with 8 of them being on the offensive end. They also distributed 27 assists for the matchup as well as creating 10 turnovers and earning 7 steals. In regard to defense, Miami allowed their opponent to shoot 43.8% from the floor on 39 out of 89 shooting. Detroit recorded 26 assists and had 5 steals for the game. Additionally, Detroit grabbed 42 rebounds (10 offensive, 32 defensive) and added 5 rejections. Detroit finished the contest at 90.9% at the free throw line by making 20 of 22 attempts. They converted 12 of their 42 attempts from distance. When it comes to fouls, the Heat walked away with 14 and the Pistons finished the game with 16 fouls.

Jimmy Butler is a player who had an impact for the contest. He notched 26 points on 7 of 13 shooting. He saw the court for 37 minutes and pulled down 6 rebounds. Butler finished the contest at 53.8% from the field and dished out 8 assists.

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Miami enters this matchup with a mark of 35-26 for the season. They have an average of 110.8 pts per contest (27th in the NBA) while going 46.5% from the floor. The Heat are hitting 37.5% on shots from distance (756 of 2,017) and 81.9% from the charity stripe. As a unit, Miami is pulling down 42.0 rebounds per contest and has accounted for 1,584 dimes for the campaign, which is 20th in basketball in terms of passing. They are turning it over 12.9 times per contest and as a basketball team are committing 17.9 personal fouls on a nightly basis.

On the defensive end, the Heat have forced 13.9 turnovers on a nightly basis and they draw 19.3 fouls. They give up 36.1% on shots from distance while they are 6th in the league in points per game from their opponents (109.9). The Heat are giving up a field goal percentage of 47.0% (2,477 of 5,265) and they surrender 42.9 boards per game as a group. They are 15th in the NBA in allowing assists to the opposition with 1,622 conceded on the campaign.

The last time they took the court, the Mavericks took a defeat with a final score of 137-120 against the Pacers. Concerning how they rebounded, Dallas allowed Indiana to snag 43 overall (9 on the offensive side). They finished 46.2% from three-point range by going 18 out of 39 and walked away from this one shooting 19 of 24 at the free throw line (79.2%). The Mavericks permitted the Pacers to make 50 of 93 attempts from the floor which had them at 53.8% for this contest. When the final whistle blew, the Mavericks finished the game shooting 45 for 93 from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 48.4%. In relation to 3-point attempts, Dallas converted 13 of 39 tries (33.3%). They were able to make 17 of the free throw tries for a percentage of 81.0%. The Pacers were called for 21 fouls in the game which took the Mavericks to the free throw line for a total of 21 attempts. They also turned the ball over 9 times, while getting 5 steals in this game. The Mavericks were able to snag 32 defensive boards and 9 offensive rebounds totaling 41 in the game.

Luka Doncic pitched in for the Mavericks in this game. Doncic recorded 39 points in his 43 mins of playing time and had 11 assists for this game. He made 15 out of 30 for the game for a rate of 50.0%, and had 10 rebounds.

Dallas has a win-loss record of 34-28 so far this season. The Mavericks commit 18.7 personal fouls every game and they connect on 75.8% from the charity stripe. They are earning an assist 25.2 times per contest (22nd in the league) and they turn it over 12.4 times per contest. Dallas has totaled 7,361 pts for the campaign (118.7 per contest) and they collect 42.2 rebounds per contest. In terms of offensive execution, the Mavericks are hitting on 48.0% from the field, which is 13th in the league.

The Dallas defense allows 37.1% on 3-point shots (829 of 2,236) and their opposition makes 76.4% of their free throw attempts. They have given up 28.0 dimes and 45.5 rebounds every game, which has them ranked 23rd and 27th in the league. The Mavericks defensively are ranked 24th in the NBA in points allowed per game with 118.3. They are able to force 13.6 TO's per game and have let teams shoot 48.4% from the field (21st in the league).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Miami

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