Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics Prediction, 5/1/2024 Preview and Pick

Game: Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics

Date: Wednesday, May 1, 2024

Location: TD Garden in Boston, MA

TV: TNT

Odds/Point Spread: Miami (+16)

The Miami Heat are on their way to TD Garden on Wednesday where they will go up against the Boston Celtics in Game 5 of their series. The Celtics lead the series 3-1. Miami opens as 16-point underdogs. The betting total comes in at 203.5.

The Heat walked away from Game 4 with a loss by a score of 102-88. Miami ended having earned a 40.7% field goal percentage (35 of 86) and made 9 of their 33 shots from downtown. From the free throw line, the Heat knocked down 9 of 12 tries for a rate of 75.0%. In regard to rebounding, they earned 42 with 8 of them being offensive. They also doled out 17 assists for the matchup while forcing the other team into 10 turnovers and having 4 steals. When discussing defense, Miami let their opponent shoot 41.9% from the floor on 36 out of 86 shooting. Boston recorded 21 dimes and had 5 steals for the game. In addition, Boston pulled down 46 rebounds (11 offensive, 35 defensive) and had 3 blocked shots. Boston finished the contest at 88.9% at the free throw line by making 16 of their 18 shots. They converted 14 out of their 37 attempts from distance. In relation to fouls, the Heat ended up walking away with 18 while the Celtics recorded 20 fouls.

Bam Adebayo is one player who was a factor in this matchup. He accumulated 25 points on 11 out of 22 shooting. He played 42 minutes and also collected 17 boards. Adebayo finished the game shooting 50.0% from the floor and also earned 5 dimes.

Get all of our NBA Parlay Picks

Miami heads into this contest with a mark of 46-36 for the season. They have an average of 110.1 pts per game (26th in the league) on 46.5% from the floor. The Heat are hitting 37.0% on 3-pointers (1,022 of 2,765) and 81.8% from the charity stripe. As a unit, Miami is collecting 42.3 boards per contest and has racked up 2,116 assists on the season, which is 18th in the league in terms of passing the ball. They turn it over 12.7 times per contest and as a unit are committing 17.3 fouls per contest.

Defensively, the Heat have forced 13.7 turnovers every game and they draw 18.9 personal fouls. They rank 14th in the league in allowing assists with 2,173 surrendered for the season. The Heat are allowing a field goal percentage of 46.7% (3,297 of 7,056) and they relinquish 42.8 rebounds per contest as a squad. They surrender 35.3% on shots from downtown while they are 3rd in basketball in opponents points per game (108.4).

In relation to attacking the glass in Game 4, Boston permitted Miami to pull down 42 overall (8 offensive). They shot 27.3% from behind the 3-point line by going 9 of 33 and finished the contest at 9 out of 12 from the charity stripe (75.0%). The Celtics permitted the Heat to make 35 of 86 attempts from the floor which left them shooting 40.7% in the matchup. When the final whistle was blown, the Celtics finished the game shooting 36 out of 86 from the floor which gave them a rate of 41.9%. In the matter of shooting from beyond the arc, Boston buried 14 of 37 tries (37.8%). They were able to bury 16 of the free throw tries for a rate of 88.9%. The Heat committed 18 personal fouls for the matchup which took the Celtics to the free throw line for 18 tries. They coughed it up 10 times, while recording 5 steals in this game. The Celtics snagged 35 defensive rebounds and 11 offensive boards totaling 46 in this matchup.

Derrick White was important for the Celtics for the contest. He converted 15 of 26 for this game for a field goal percentage of 57.7%, and had 4 rebounds. White earned 38 points in his 41 mins on the hardwood and had 3 dimes in this game.

Boston has a win-loss record of 64-18 this season. In terms of offensive execution, the Celtics are hitting on 48.7% from the floor, which ranks them 8th in the NBA. Boston has tallied 9,887 points so far this year (120.6 per contest) and they snag 46.3 rebounds per game. They are getting an assist 26.9 times per game (14th in basketball) and they are giving up possession 11.9 times per game. The Celtics are committing 16.2 personal fouls per contest and they shoot 80.7% from the charity stripe.

The Boston defense concedes 35.2% on 3-point shots (1,059 of 3,008) and opponents are connecting on 76.8% of their shots from the charity stripe. They concede 24.9 dimes and 43.3 rebounds per game, which is ranked 5th and 14th in the league. The Celtics on defense are ranked 5th in basketball in PPG allowed with 109.2. They have forced 12.0 TO's per game and have allowed teams to shoot 45.3% from the floor (2nd in the NBA).

So what is Tonights Parlay prediction?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Boston (-16) and under 203.5 points

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here