Los Angeles Clippers vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction, 5/3/2024 Preview and Pick

Game: Los Angeles Clippers vs Dallas Mavericks

Date: Friday, May 3, 2024

Location: American Airlines Center in Dallas, TX

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Los Angeles (+8)

The Los Angeles Clippers are hitting the road to American Airlines Center on Friday where they will attempt to beat the Dallas Mavericks in Game 6 of their series. The Mavs lead the series 3-2. Dallas opens this matchup as 8-point favorites. The over/under is 206.5.

The Clippers went home with a loss by a final score of 123-93 in Game 5. Los Angeles ended with a 37.9% FG percentage (33 out of 87) and knocked down 9 out of their 35 3-point attempts. At the charity stripe, the Clippers knocked down 18 of their 21 shots for a rate of 85.7%. With regard to grabbing rebounds, they earned 45 with 14 of them being of the offensive variety. They also recorded 18 dimes in this game while forcing the other team into 8 turnovers and earning 4 steals. With respect to defense, Los Angeles let their opponent shoot 54.0% from the field on 47 out of 87 shooting. Dallas doled out 27 assists and had 5 steals in this matchup. On top of that, Dallas collected 40 boards (9 offensive, 31 defensive), but finished the game with no rejections. Dallas finished shooting 75.0% from the charity stripe by converting 15 of their 20 shots. They also converted 14 out of their 39 tries from 3-point land. Concerning fouls, the Clippers finished with 19 and the Mavericks accounted for 22 fouls.

Paul George is one player who was a major contributor for the matchup. George shot 30.8% from the field and also recorded 4 dimes. He was on the court for 33 mins played and also totaled 11 rebounds. He was able to score 15 points on 4 of 13 shooting.

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Los Angeles comes into this matchup with a mark of 51-31 on the campaign. They are losing possession via turnover 13.1 times per game and as a group they commit 18.5 personal fouls every game. As a team, Los Angeles is snagging 43.0 boards per game and has accounted for 2,097 assists so far this season, which is 21st in the league in terms of passing the ball. The Clippers are connecting on 38.1% on shots beyond the perimeter (1,036 of 2,719) and 82.5% from the free throw line. They are averaging 115.6 pts per contest (12th in the NBA) while going 48.9% from the field.

On defense, the Clippers have forced 13.0 turnovers every game and they draw 18.7 personal fouls. They surrender 36.3% on 3-point shots and they rank 10th in the league in PPG allowed (112.3). The Clippers defense is allowing an opponent FG percentage of 46.8% (3,413 of 7,288) and they surrender 42.2 boards per game as a squad. They currently rank 12th in basketball in giving up assists to the opposition with 2,165 surrendered so far this season.

In Game 5 the Mavericks were able to pull down 31 defensive rebounds and 9 offensive rebounds totaling 40 in this contest. They also coughed it up 8 times, while recording 5 steals in the matchup. The Clippers were called for 19 fouls for the contest which took the Mavericks to the charity stripe for 20 tries. They were able to make 15 of them for a rate of 75.0%. In reference to shooting from 3-point land, Dallas converted 14 of 39 tries (35.9%). When the game finished, the Mavericks ended up shooting 47 for 87 from the field which gave them a rate of 54.0%. The Mavericks permitted the Clippers to make 33 of 87 tries from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 37.9% in this matchup. They shot 25.7% from 3-point land by connecting on 9 of 35 and finished the game at 18 out of 21 at the free throw line (85.7%). In the matter of how they attacked the glass, Dallas permitted Los Angeles to snag 45 in total (14 offensive).

Luka Doncic was important for the Mavericks in the game. He made 14 of 26 for this game for a field goal rate of 53.8%, and accumulated 7 rebounds. Doncic accumulated 35 points in his 39 mins on the hardwood and tallied 10 assists for the matchup.

Dallas has a win-loss record of 50-32 on the campaign. As an offense, the Mavericks are connecting on 48.1% from the field, which is ranked 11th in the NBA. Dallas has earned 9,664 points on the year (117.9 per game) and they snag 42.9 rebounds per contest. They are getting an assist 25.7 times per contest (19th in the NBA) and they turn the ball over 12.5 times per contest. The Mavericks are responsible for committing 18.3 personal fouls every game and they hit 75.8% from the free throw line.

The Mavericks defensively are ranked 20th in basketball in points allowed per contest with 115.6. They are forcing 13.7 TO's per game and have let teams shoot 47.5% from the floor (20th in the league). The Dallas defense allows 36.8% on three-point shots (1,075 of 2,921) and opponents are making 77.0% of their free throw shots. They concede 27.5 assists and 45.1 rebounds every game, ranking them 22nd and 25th in basketball.

So what is Tonights Parlay prediction?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Dallas (-8) and under 206.5 points

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