Indiana Pacers vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction, 4/21/2024 Preview and Pick

Game: Indiana Pacers vs Milwaukee Bucks

Date: Sunday, April 21, 2024

Location: Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee, WI

TV: TNT

Odds/Point Spread: Indiana (-1)

The Milwaukee Bucks (49-33) host the Indiana Pacers (47-35) at Fiserv Forum on Sunday in Game 1 of their series. Milwaukee opens this matchup as 1-point underdogs. The total comes in at 233.

The Pacers faced the Hawks and took home the win by a score of 157-115 in their last game. With respect to fouls, the Pacers finished with 24 while the Hawks totaled 12 fouls. They also made 12 of 36 shots from beyond the perimeter. Atlanta walked away from this one shooting 92.6% from the charity stripe by knocking down 25 of their 27 tries. On top of that, Atlanta collected 32 rebounds (9 offensive, 23 defensive) and earned 6 blocks. Atlanta distributed 25 assists and had 6 steals in this game. With regard to defending, Indiana allowed their opponent to shoot 43.8% from the field on 39 out of 89 shooting. They also recorded 41 assists for the matchup while forcing 15 turnovers and getting 10 steals. In the matter of grabbing rebounds, they collected a total of 48 with 12 of them being offensive. From the free throw line, the Pacers converted 8 of their 10 tries for a rate of 80.0%. Indiana ended the game having earned a 65.0% FG percentage (65 of 100) and knocked down 19 of their 36 three-point attempts.

Myles Turner is a guy who was a major contributor in this matchup. Turner finished shooting 76.5% from the field but had no assists when the time ran out. He saw the court for 22 mins played and also collected 12 rebounds. He scored 31 points on 13 out of 17 shooting.

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Indiana will enter this matchup with a win-loss mark of 47-35 this season. They are averaging 123.3 pts per contest (1st in the league) while going 50.7% from the field. The Pacers are hitting 37.4% on three-point attempts (1,082 of 2,891) and 78.2% from the free throw line. As a unit, Indiana is collecting 41.5 boards per game and has accounted for 2,522 dimes for the year, which is 1st in the league in terms of passing. They lose possession via turnover 12.9 times per contest and as a squad they are committing 21.4 personal fouls every game.

On defense, the Pacers are forcing 13.9 turnovers per contest and they draw 18.3 fouls. They are ranked 4th in the NBA in giving up assists to their opponents with 2,020 relinquished for the campaign. The Pacers defensively are giving up a shooting percentage of 49.6% (3,653 of 7,361) and they surrender 43.4 rebounds per contest as a unit. They are conceding 36.5% on 3-point attempts and they are 27th in basketball in opponents PPG (120.2).

In their last game, the Bucks went home defeated by a final of 113-88 against the Magic. The Bucks were able to pull down 27 defensive rebounds and 7 offensive boards totaling 34 for the contest. They gave up possession 17 times, while recording 10 steals in this matchup. The Magic committed 18 personal fouls in this matchup which got the Bucks to the free throw line for a total of 23 attempts. They were able to make 21 of the free throws for a rate of 91.3%. When talking about three-point shots, Milwaukee converted 7 out of 27 attempts (25.9%). When the final whistle blew, the Bucks ended up shooting 30 out of 75 from the field which gave them a rate of 40.0%. The Bucks permitted the Magic to knock down 42 out of 85 tries from the floor which had them shooting 49.4% in the game. They finished 31.4% from distance by going 11 of 35 and ended up going 18 out of 19 from the charity stripe (94.7%). Concerning rebounds, Milwaukee allowed Orlando to grab 43 in all (7 offensive).

Khris Middleton was important for the Bucks for the contest. He buried 6 of 15 in the matchup for a field goal percentage of 40.0%, and had 3 rebounds. Middleton accumulated 17 points in his 32 mins of playing time and had 5 dimes in the matchup.

Milwaukee has a mark of 49-33 on the year. The Bucks commit 19.2 personal fouls per contest and they go 77.4% from the charity stripe. They are getting an assist 26.5 times per contest (17th in the league) and they turn it over 12.9 times per contest. Milwaukee has accumulated 9,756 pts on the season (119.0 per game) and they collect 44.2 boards per contest. When it comes to offense, the Bucks are shooting 48.7% from the field, which ranks them 7th in the NBA.

The Milwaukee defense concedes 35.6% on 3-point shots (1,032 of 2,897) and their opposition makes 80.7% of their foul shots. They have allowed 26.5 assists and 44.0 total boards per game, which is ranked 13th and 18th in the league. The Bucks on defense are ranked 21st in the league in points allowed per game with 116.4. They are forcing their opponents into 12.0 TO's per game and allow teams to shoot 47.0% from the floor (14th in the league).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Milwaukee (+1)

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