Detroit Pistons vs Miami Heat Prediction, 10/28/2024 Preview and Pick

Game: Detroit Pistons vs Miami Heat

Date: Monday, October 28, 2024

Location: Kaseya Center in Miami, FL

TV: FanDuel Sports Network

Odds/Point Spread: Detroit (+8.5)

The Detroit Pistons (0-3) are on their way to Kaseya Center on Monday where they will attempt to beat the Miami Heat (1-1). Detroit opens this matchup as 8.5-point underdogs from Vegas oddsmakers. The betting total is set at 221.

The Pistons played the Celtics and took a loss by a score of 124-118 in their last game. Detroit ended the game having earned a 48.9% field goal percentage (43 out of 88) and knocked down 14 out of their 39 shots from 3-point land. When they shot from the free throw line, the Pistons made 18 of 22 attempts for a rate of 81.8%. When talking about pulling down rebounds, they earned 37 with 13 of them being of the offensive variety. They also distributed 26 assists for the contest while forcing 9 turnovers and having 3 steals. In the matter of defending, Detroit allowed the other team to shoot 42.2% from the field on 38 of 90 shooting. Boston distributed 22 dimes and had 6 steals in this contest. Furthermore, Boston collected 44 boards (9 offensive, 35 defensive) and earned 4 blocks. Boston finished the game shooting 86.7% when shooting free throws by making 26 of 30 tries. They also buried 22 of their 48 attempts from long range. When discussing fouls, the Pistons ended up finishing with 17 while the Celtics accounted for 28 fouls.

Jaden Ivey is one guy who was a contributor in this game. He notched 26 points on 10 of 18 shooting. He played for 39 minutes and snagged 5 rebounds. Ivey finished shooting 55.6% from the floor and also totaled 6 dimes.

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Detroit enters this matchup with a mark of 0-3 so far this season. They average 109.3 points per contest (19th in the league) on 46.3% from the floor. The Pistons are hitting 34.6% on 3-pointers (36 of 104) and 80.6% from the charity stripe. As a team, Detroit is pulling down 41.3 boards per game and is sitting with 74 assists on the season, which has them ranked 8th in basketball in terms of passing. They turn it over 17.0 times per contest and as a unit are committing 21.7 personal fouls on a nightly basis.

On defense, the Pistons have forced 12.7 turnovers on a nightly basis and they draw 18.0 fouls. They are relinquishing 38.9% on shots from beyond the arc and they are ranked 19th in the NBA in PPG allowed (117.3). The Pistons are giving up an opponent shooting percentage of 47.8% (122 of 255) and they surrender 38.3 rebounds per game as a group. They are currently ranked 27th in the league in giving up assists to the opposition with 79 conceded on the season.

For their last game, the Heat took home the win by a final score of 114-106 when they played the Hornets. In regard to cleaning up the glass, Miami allowed Charlotte to pull down 47 in all (7 offensive). They shot 31.7% from three-point range by hitting 13 of 41 and finished the contest at 15 out of 21 at the free throw line (71.4%). The Heat permitted the Hornets to bury 39 out of their 89 tries from the floor which left them with a shooting percentage of 43.8% for this contest. When all was said and done, the Heat went 40 out of 86 from the floor which gave them a percentage of 46.5%. With regard to 3-point shots, Miami knocked down 14 of their 34 attempts (41.2%). They were able to knock down 20 of them for a clip of 71.4%. The Hornets committed 24 fouls in this game which took the Heat to the free throw line for a total of 28 attempts. They also turned it over 19 times, while earning 10 steals for the matchup. The Heat earned 34 defensive rebounds and 12 offensive boards for a total of 46 in the matchup.

Jimmy Butler ended up having an impact for the Heat for the matchup. He knocked down 7 out of 15 for this game for a field goal percentage of 46.7%, and tallied 8 rebounds. Butler totaled 26 points in his 37 minutes on the court and totaled 8 assists in this contest.

Miami has a win-loss record of 1-1 on the season. The Heat are responsible for committing 19.0 fouls per game and they connect on 73.7% from the charity stripe. Their rate of dishing out assists is at 28.5 times per contest (7th in the league) and they are turning it over 12.5 times per game. Miami has earned 211 pts for the year (105.5 per game) and they pull down 42.0 rebounds per game. When it comes to offensive execution, the Heat are connecting on 42.9% from the field, which ranks them 21st in the league.

The Heat are ranked 11th in the NBA in points allowed per contest with 111.0. They are forcing 17.0 turnovers per game and allow teams to shoot 43.2% from the field (6th in basketball). The Miami defense gives up 34.4% on 3-point attempts (31 of 90) and opponents are connecting on 72.1% of their shots from the charity stripe. They have conceded 24.0 dimes and 51.5 rebounds on a nightly basis, ranking them 7th and 29th in the NBA.

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Detroit (+8.5)

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