Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction, 5/12/2024 Preview and Pick

Game: Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Date: Sunday, May 12, 2024

Location: Target Center in Minneapolis, MN

TV: TNT

Odds/Point Spread: Denver (+3)

The Minnesota Timberwolves will try to beat the Denver Nuggets at Target Center on Sunday in Game 4 of the Western Conference Semifinals. The Wolves lead the series 2-1. Minnesota opens as 3-point favorites from Vegas oddsmakers. The betting total comes in at 203.5.

The Nuggets took home the win by a score of 117-90 in Game 3. In relation to fouls, the Nuggets ended up finishing with 25 and the Timberwolves accounted for 20 fouls. They knocked down 10 of 33 attempts from distance. Minnesota finished the game shooting 72.0% from the charity stripe by converting 18 of their 25 tries. In addition, Minnesota collected 32 rebounds (5 offensive, 27 defensive) and earned 4 rejections. Minnesota doled out 23 dimes and had 5 steals in the game. When talking about defending, Denver allowed the other team to go 43.7% from the floor on 31 of 71 shooting. They also dished out 26 assists in this contest as well as forcing 14 turnovers and getting 9 steals. With respect to hauling in rebounds, they earned 40 with 8 of them being offensive. From the charity stripe, the Nuggets converted 17 of their 20 shots for a percentage of 85.0%. Denver ended the contest with a 53.8% FG percentage (43 of 80) and made 14 of 29 shots from beyond the arc.

Nikola Jokic is a player who was a contributor in this game. He totaled 24 points on 10 of 18 shooting. He was on the court for 38 mins and also snagged 14 boards. Jokic finished the contest at 55.6% from the field and also recorded 9 dimes.

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Denver heads into this one with a mark of 57-25 this season. They turn the ball over 12.6 times per contest and as a squad they commit 18.2 fouls per contest. As a unit, Denver is snagging 44.4 rebounds per game and has accumulated 2,415 assists for the campaign, which has them ranked 3rd in the NBA in terms of passing the ball. The Nuggets are shooting 37.4% on shots from downtown (958 of 2,560) and 76.2% from the charity stripe. They average 114.9 points per contest (14th in the league) while hitting 49.6% from the field.

On the defensive end, the Nuggets are forcing 12.4 turnovers per game while drawing 17.9 fouls. They are currently ranked 9th in basketball in allowing assists to their opponents with 2,108 surrendered so far this year. The Nuggets defense is giving up an opponent shooting percentage of 46.2% (3,332 of 7,210) and they relinquish 42.3 rebounds per contest as a team. They concede 35.5% on shots from beyond the perimeter and they rank 6th in the league in PPG allowed (109.6).

In regards to rebounds in Game 3, Minnesota permitted Denver to pull down 40 in total (8 on the offensive glass). They finished 48.3% from three-point range by connecting on 14 of 29 and ended up shooting 17 of 20 at the free throw line (85.0%). The Timberwolves allowed the Nuggets to make 43 of 80 tries from the floor which gave them a percentage of 53.8% for the contest. When the final whistle was blown, the Timberwolves finished 31 out of 71 from the field which had them shooting 43.7%. In relation to shooting from 3-point land, Minnesota converted 10 out of their 33 attempts (30.3%). They were able to convert 18 of the free throw attempts for a percentage of 72.0%. The Nuggets had 25 personal fouls in this matchup which took the Timberwolves to the free throw line for 25 shots. They gave up possession of the ball 14 times, while recording 5 steals in this game. The Timberwolves recorded 27 defensive rebounds and 5 offensive boards totaling 32 for this contest.

Anthony Edwards pitched in for the Timberwolves for the game. Edwards recorded 19 points in his 37 mins on the court and had 5 dimes for this game. He converted 8 of 15 in the game giving him a field goal percentage of 53.3%, and totaled 6 rebounds.

Minnesota has a win-loss record of 56-26 this season. The Timberwolves commit 18.8 fouls every game and they go 77.7% from the free throw line. Their rate of dishing out assists is at 26.6 times per contest (15th in basketball) and they lose possession by turning the ball over 14.2 times per contest. Minnesota has scored 9,264 points on the season (113.0 per contest) and they average 43.6 boards per contest. When it comes to offensive execution, the Timberwolves are connecting on 48.5% from the floor, which has them ranked 10th in the league.

The Minnesota defense gives up 35.4% on shots from behind the 3-point line (937 of 2,645) and their opposition makes 78.1% of their shots from the free throw line. They give up 24.5 assists and 41.4 boards every game, which ranks them 3rd and 4th in the NBA. The Timberwolves on the defensive side of the court are 1st in basketball in points allowed per contest with 106.5. They are able to force 14.2 TO's per game and have let teams shoot 45.0% from the field (1st in the league).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Minnesota (-3)

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