Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction, 5/10/2024 Preview and Pick

Game: Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Date: Friday, May 10, 2024

Location: Target Center in Minneapolis, MN

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Denver (+4)

The Minnesota Timberwolves will compete against the Denver Nuggets at Target Center on Friday in Game 3 of the Western Conference Semifinals. The T-Wolves lead the series 2-0. Minnesota opens this matchup as 4-point favorites. The betting total is set at 204.5.

The Nuggets took a loss by a score of 106-80 in Game 2. When talking about personal fouls, the Nuggets finished with 14 while the Timberwolves finished the game with 20 personal fouls. They also knocked down 13 of their 33 attempts from three-point range. Minnesota ended up going 64.3% when shooting free throws by knocking down 9 of their 14 attempts. Moreover, Minnesota grabbed 42 rebounds (10 offensive, 32 defensive) and earned 6 rejections. Minnesota totaled 28 dimes and had 11 steals in the game. Concerning defense, Denver let their opponent shoot 50.0% from the floor on 42 out of 84 shooting. They also distributed 16 assists in this matchup in addition to forcing the other team into 12 turnovers and having 6 steals. With respect to hauling in boards, they earned 50 with 18 of them being on the offensive end. From the free throw line, the Nuggets made 13 of their 18 tries for a rate of 72.2%. Denver walked away from the game having earned a 34.9% field goal percentage (29 out of 83) and converted 9 of their 30 3-point attempts.

Aaron Gordon is one guy who played a role for this game. Gordon shot 57.1% from the floor and also earned 2 assists. He played 33 minutes played and grabbed 4 boards. He was able to score 20 points on 8 out of 14 shooting.

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Denver enters this game with a record of 57-25 on the campaign. They are averaging 114.9 points per contest (14th in the league) while connecting on 49.6% from the floor. The Nuggets are shooting 37.4% on three-point shots (958 of 2,560) and 76.2% from the charity stripe. As a unit, Denver is pulling down 44.4 boards per contest and has accumulated 2,415 assists for the year, which is 3rd in basketball in terms of passing. They lose possession via turnover 12.6 times per game and as a unit are committing 18.2 personal fouls every game.

On the defensive end of the court, the Nuggets are forcing their opponents into 12.4 turnovers per contest and they draw 17.9 fouls. They rank 9th in basketball in giving up assists to the opposition with 2,108 conceded this season. The Nuggets defense is allowing a shooting percentage of 46.2% (3,332 of 7,210) and they relinquish 42.3 rebounds per game as a team. They are giving up 35.5% on 3-point attempts and they are 6th in the NBA in PPG from their opponents (109.6).

In Game 2, the Timberwolves were able to corral 32 defensive rebounds and 10 offensive boards totaling 42 in this contest. They turned it over 12 times, while recording 11 steals in this contest. The Nuggets committed 14 personal fouls in this contest which got the Timberwolves to the free throw line for 14 attempts. They were able to convert 9 of those for a percentage of 64.3%. In regard to three-point attempts, Minnesota made 13 of their 33 tries (39.4%). At the conclusion of this game, the Timberwolves ended up going 42 out of 84 from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 50.0%. The Timberwolves permitted the Nuggets to make 29 out of 83 tries from the field which gave them a percentage of 34.9% for this contest. They shot 30.0% from 3-point land by going 9 of 30 and walked away from this one shooting 13 out of 18 from the free throw line (72.2%). When it comes to attacking the glass, Minnesota allowed Denver to pull down 50 in total (18 offensive).

Anthony Edwards was important for the Timberwolves for the matchup. Edwards earned 27 points in his 37 minutes on the court and totaled 7 assists in this contest. He made 11 of 17 for the matchup giving him a field goal percentage of 64.7%, and accumulated 2 rebounds.

Minnesota has a win-loss record of 56-26 on the year. The Timberwolves are committing 18.8 fouls per contest while shooting 77.7% from the free throw line. Their rate of dishing out assists is at 26.6 times per game (15th in the league) and they turn it over 14.2 times per game. Minnesota has accumulated 9,264 points so far this year (113.0 per game) and they pull in 43.6 rebounds per game. As an offensive unit, the Timberwolves are connecting on 48.5% from the floor, which is ranked 10th in the league.

The Timberwolves on the defensive side of the court are 1st in the league in points allowed per contest with 106.5. They are able to force 14.2 turnovers on a nightly basis and allow teams to shoot 45.0% from the field (1st in the league). The Minnesota defense allows 35.4% on 3-point shots (937 of 2,645) and opponents are connecting on 78.1% of their foul shots. They have relinquished 24.5 dimes and 41.4 rebounds on a nightly basis, which is ranked 3rd and 4th in the NBA.

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Minnesota (-4)

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