Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat Prediction, 3/13/2024 Preview and Pick

Game: Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat

Date: Wednesday, March 13, 2024

Location: Kaseya Center in Miami, FL

TV: Bally Sports Sun

The Denver Nuggets (45-20) are hitting the road to Kaseya Center on Wednesday where they will try to defeat the Miami Heat (35-29).

The Nuggets stepped onto the hardwood against the Raptors and went home with a win by a final score of 125-119 in their last contest. Concerning personal fouls, the Nuggets ended up finishing with 14 while the Raptors finished the game with 16 personal fouls. They converted 11 of their 30 shots from 3-point land. Toronto went 82.4% when shooting free throws by converting 14 of 17 tries. Moreover, Toronto totaled 42 boards (11 offensive, 31 defensive) and earned 8 blocked shots. Toronto recorded 30 dimes and had 6 steals for the matchup. In regard to the defense, Denver allowed the other team to shoot 50.5% from the floor on 47 out of 93 shooting. They also distributed 36 assists for the game while forcing the opposition into 11 turnovers and getting 8 steals. With respect to getting rebounds, they collected 42 with 11 of them being of the offensive variety. From the free throw line, the Nuggets knocked down 11 of their 18 tries for a rate of 61.1%. Denver wrapped up the game with a 54.7% field goal percentage (52 out of 95) and converted 10 of 29 shots from 3-point land.

Nikola Jokic is a guy who was a major contributor in this matchup. Jokic ended up going 53.8% from the field and also distributed 12 assists. He played 38 mins played and also grabbed 17 rebounds. He racked up 35 points on 14 out of 26 shooting.

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Denver enters this contest with a win-loss record of 45-20 for the season. They have an average of 115.0 points per outing (15th in the NBA) while hitting 49.6% from the field. The Nuggets are connecting on 36.9% from downtown (748 of 2,026) and 76.1% from the free throw line. As a unit, Denver is pulling in 44.3 boards per contest and has accumulated 1,902 dimes on the year, which ranks 3rd in the league in terms of passing. They turn it over 12.6 times per game and as a group they commit 18.3 fouls per contest.

On the defensive end, the Nuggets are able to force 12.3 turnovers per game and they draw 18.2 fouls. They are ranked 11th in the league in giving up assists to their opponents with 1,677 surrendered on the season. The Nuggets defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 46.6% (2,664 of 5,716) and they surrender 42.1 rebounds per game as a group. They are giving up 36.3% on 3-pointers and they are 7th in the NBA in PPG from their opponents (110.7).

The last time they took the hardwood, the Heat walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 110-108 when they faced the Wizards. Concerning cleaning up the glass, Miami permitted Washington to grab 40 overall (6 on the offensive glass). They finished the game shooting 41.0% from distance by shooting 16 of 39 and finished the contest at 16 of 22 at the charity stripe (72.7%). The Heat permitted the Wizards to knock down 39 of their 81 attempts from the floor which gave them a rate of 48.1% for this contest. In all, the Heat went 43 out of 95 from the floor which gave them a percentage of 45.3%. In terms of shots from 3-point land, Miami made 10 out of their 33 tries (30.3%). They were able to make 12 of the free throw tries for a rate of 66.7%. The Wizards had 18 personal fouls for this game which took the Heat to the charity stripe for 18 tries. They turned it over 13 times, while getting 9 steals for this contest. The Heat earned 35 defensive rebounds and 16 offensive boards totaling 51 in this game.

Jimmy Butler ended up being a factor for the Heat for this contest. Butler had 23 points in his 36 mins on the court and tallied 4 assists for this game. He knocked down 9 of 20 for the contest giving him a field goal percentage of 45.0%, and tallied 3 rebounds.

Miami has a record of 35-29 so far this year. The Heat are committing 17.9 fouls per game and they shoot 81.4% from the free throw line. Their rate of dishing out assists is at 25.9 times per game (20th in the NBA) and they are giving up possession 12.9 times per contest. Miami has tallied 7,072 points for the season (110.5 per game) and they grab 42.1 rebounds per game. As an offense, the Heat are hitting on 46.5% from the floor, which is ranked 21st in the league.

The Miami defense surrenders 36.1% from downtown (852 of 2,357) and their opponents are knocking down 77.2% of their shots from the charity stripe. They have conceded 26.8 assists and 42.9 rebounds every game, which is ranked 16th and 12th in the league. The Heat on the defensive side of the court are 6th in the NBA in PPG given up with 109.9. They have forced 13.8 turnovers on a nightly basis and have let teams shoot 47.0% from the field (11th in the league).

So what is Tonights Parlay prediction?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Miami and under the total points

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