Denver Nuggets vs Los Angeles Lakers Prediction, 4/27/2024 Preview and Pick

Game: Denver Nuggets vs Los Angeles Lakers

Date: Saturday, April 27, 2024

Location: crypto.com Arena in Los Angeles, CA

TV: ABC

Odds/Point Spread: Denver (-2)

Crypto.com Arena is the location where the Los Angeles Lakers will meet the Denver Nuggets on Saturday in Game 4 of their series. The Nuggets lead the series 3-0. Denver opens this game as 2-point favorites from Vegas oddsmakers. The over/under comes in at 216.5.

The Nuggets walked away with a win by a score of 112-105 in Game 3. Denver finished the game with a 48.9% FG percentage (44 out of 90) and knocked down 5 of their 28 shots from beyond the perimeter. At the free throw line, the Nuggets knocked down 19 of 22 tries for a percentage of 86.4%. When it comes to grabbing rebounds, they compiled 51 with 14 of them being on the offensive end. They also distributed 27 dimes for this game as well as forcing the opposition into 7 turnovers and earning 4 steals. When talking about the defense, Denver allowed their opponent to shoot 48.9% from the floor on 44 out of 90 shooting. Los Angeles doled out 23 dimes and had 8 steals in the matchup. Additionally, Los Angeles collected 38 rebounds (8 offensive, 30 defensive) and added 3 blocked shots. Los Angeles went 70.6% at the charity stripe by burying 12 of 17 attempts. They made 5 of 27 tries from beyond the perimeter. Concerning fouls, the Nuggets walked away with 14 while the Lakers totaled 16 fouls.

Aaron Gordon is a guy who was a contributor in the matchup. He had 29 points on 12 out of 18 shooting. He played for 41 mins played and also totaled 15 boards. Gordon ended up shooting 66.7% from the floor and also dished out 3 assists.

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Denver enters this one with a win-loss mark of 57-25 on the year. They lose possession by turning the ball over 12.6 times per game and as a team are committing 18.2 personal fouls on a nightly basis. As a team, Denver is pulling down 44.4 rebounds per contest and has racked up 2,415 assists so far this season, which has them ranked 3rd in the league in terms of passing the rock. The Nuggets are shooting 37.4% on 3-pointers (958 of 2,560) and 76.2% from the charity stripe. They currently have an average of 114.9 points per outing (14th in the NBA) while hitting 49.6% from the floor.

Defensively, the Nuggets are forcing 12.4 turnovers every game while drawing 17.9 fouls. They currently rank 9th in basketball in allowing assists to the opposition with 2,108 surrendered for the campaign. The Nuggets are giving up a shooting percentage of 46.2% (3,332 of 7,210) and they relinquish 42.3 boards per contest as a unit. They are relinquishing 35.5% on shots from downtown while they are 6th in the NBA in points per game from their opponents (109.6).

In Game 3 the Lakers snagged 30 defensive boards and 8 offensive boards totaling 38 in this matchup. They also coughed up the ball 7 times, while getting 8 steals in this matchup. The Nuggets were called for 14 personal fouls in this game which took the Lakers to the free throw line for a total of 17 tries. They were able to knock down 12 of them for a rate of 70.6%. With respect to 3-pointers, Los Angeles converted 5 of 27 tries (18.5%). At the conclusion of this game, the Lakers finished shooting 44 out of 90 from the floor which gave them a rate of 48.9%. The Lakers permitted the Nuggets to bury 44 of 90 attempts from the floor which gave them a rate of 48.9% in the game. They finished shooting 17.9% from 3-point land via 5 of 28 and ended up going 19 of 22 from the charity stripe (86.4%). In the matter of how they attacked the glass, Los Angeles permitted Denver to snag 51 overall (14 on the offensive side).

Anthony Davis was important for the Lakers for the contest. Davis recorded 33 points in his 43 minutes of playing time and totaled 3 dimes for the matchup. He knocked down 14 of 23 in the game for a rate of 60.9%, and had 15 rebounds.

Los Angeles has a win-loss record of 47-35 on the campaign. As an offensive team, the Lakers are connecting on 49.9% from the field, which is 2nd in the league. Los Angeles has accounted for 9,679 pts this year (118.0 per game) and they pull in 43.1 rebounds per contest. They are earning an assist 28.5 times per game (5th in the NBA) and they lose possession via turnover 14.0 times per game. The Lakers commit 15.6 fouls per contest and they hit 78.2% from the free throw line.

The Los Angeles defense concedes 37.6% on 3-point attempts (1,170 of 3,109) and their opposition makes 79.5% of their free throw shots. They give up 28.2 assists and 44.0 boards per contest, which ranks 26th and 19th in basketball. The Lakers on defense are ranked 23rd in the NBA in points per game surrendered with 117.4. They are forcing 13.4 TO's every game and have allowed teams to shoot 47.4% from the floor (17th in basketball).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Los Angeles (+2)

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