Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction, 3/17/2024 Preview and Pick

Game: Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks

Date: Sunday, March 17, 2024

Location: American Airlines Center in Dallas, TX

TV: Bally Sports Southwest-Dallas

American Airlines Center is the site where the Dallas Mavericks (38-29) will play the Denver Nuggets (46-20) on Sunday.

The Nuggets faced the Heat and walked away with a win by a score of 100-88 in their last contest. Denver wrapped up the contest with a 48.8% field goal percentage (40 out of 82) and buried 11 of 33 shots from beyond the perimeter. At the free throw line, the Nuggets made 9 of their 13 attempts for a rate of 69.2%. Regarding rebounding, they compiled 41 with 7 of them being of the offensive sort. They also doled out 24 assists in the matchup while creating 8 turnovers and getting 4 steals. When it comes to defense, Denver allowed their opponent to shoot 42.5% from the floor on 34 out of 80 shooting. Miami earned 18 assists and had 5 steals for the game. Furthermore, Miami snagged 42 rebounds (8 offensive, 34 defensive) and added 2 blocked shots. Miami finished the game at 83.3% from the charity stripe by converting 15 of their 18 shots. They knocked down 5 of their 21 shots from beyond the perimeter. When discussing fouls, the Nuggets left the arena with 13 and the Heat had 13 fouls.

Michael Porter Jr. is one player who played a role in this game. Porter walked away from this one shooting 56.3% from the field but wasn't able to get an assist. He played 34 mins and collected 7 rebounds. He racked up 25 points on 9 of 16 shooting.

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Denver will enter this contest with a win-loss record of 46-20 on the year. They are giving up possession 12.6 times per contest and as a group they commit 18.2 fouls per game. As a team, Denver is snagging 44.2 rebounds per contest and has accumulated 1,926 assists for the campaign, which has them ranked 4th in basketball in terms of passing. The Nuggets are connecting on 36.9% on three-point attempts (759 of 2,059) and 76.0% from the charity stripe. They currently have an average of 114.8 points per outing (15th in the league) while hitting 49.5% from the floor.

On the defensive end, the Nuggets are forcing 12.2 turnovers on a nightly basis while drawing 18.1 fouls. They concede 36.2% on 3-point attempts and they rank 7th in basketball in opponents points per game (110.3). The Nuggets are giving up a field goal percentage of 46.5% (2,698 of 5,796) and they surrender 42.1 boards per game as a team. They are 9th in basketball in allowing assists to the opposition with 1,695 conceded on the year.

The last time they took the hardwood, the Mavericks went home defeated by a final of 126-119 against the Thunder. Concerning team rebounding, Dallas permitted Oklahoma City to get 34 overall (8 on the offensive glass). They finished 41.0% from 3-point land by shooting 16 out of 39 and walked away from this one shooting 20 out of 23 at the free throw line (87.0%). The Mavericks permitted the Thunder to make 45 of 86 tries from the field which gave them a rate of 52.3% in the game. In all, the Mavericks ended up going 43 out of 84 from the field which had them shooting 51.2%. With regard to 3-point shots, Dallas converted 12 of their 29 attempts (41.4%). They were able to convert 21 of them for a percentage of 80.8%. The Thunder had 24 fouls for the contest which took the Mavericks to the charity stripe for a total of 26 attempts. They turned the ball over 19 times, while earning 6 steals in the matchup. The Mavericks were able to collect 30 defensive boards and 10 offensive boards totaling 40 for this game.

Kyrie Irving ended up being a major contributor for the Mavericks in the matchup. He buried 12 of 18 for the game for a field goal percentage of 66.7%, and tallied 4 rebounds. Irving had 36 points in his 38 minutes on the hardwood and had 12 dimes in this matchup.

Dallas has a record of 38-29 for the campaign. When it comes to offense, the Mavericks are shooting 48.3% from the field, which is ranked 12th in basketball. Dallas has scored 7,972 points for the season (119.0 per contest) and they grab 42.2 rebounds per contest. They are getting an assist 25.5 times per game (22nd in the league) and they are losing possession via turnover 12.4 times per contest. The Mavericks have committed 18.6 personal fouls every game while shooting 76.1% from the free throw line.

The Mavericks on the defensive side of the court are 23rd in basketball in PPG given up with 117.7. They have forced 13.7 turnovers per game and have allowed teams to shoot 48.1% from the field (20th in the league). The Dallas defense allows 36.9% from downtown (891 of 2,412) and their opposition makes 76.6% of their shots from the charity stripe. They concede 27.7 dimes and 45.2 rebounds per game, which ranks them 21st and 26th in basketball.

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Dallas

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