Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction, 5/15/2024 Preview and Pick

Game: Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Date: Wednesday, May 15, 2024

Location: Paycom Center in Oklahoma City, OK

TV: TNT

Odds/Point Spread: Dallas (+5)

Paycom Center is where the Oklahoma City Thunder will try to beat the Dallas Mavericks on Wednesday in Game 5 of the Western Conference Semifinals. The series is tied 2-2. Oklahoma City opens as 5-point favorites. The total has been set at 215.

The Mavericks went home with a loss by a final score of 100-96 in Game 4. In reference to fouls, the Mavericks ended up finishing with 18 and the Thunder recorded 20 fouls. They knocked down 7 of 27 attempts from 3-point range. Oklahoma City ended up going 95.8% from the charity stripe by making 23 of their 24 attempts. Moreover, Oklahoma City snagged 45 rebounds (12 offensive, 33 defensive) and had 13 blocked shots. Oklahoma City earned 18 dimes and had 8 steals in the game. Concerning the defense, Dallas let their opponent shoot 38.0% from the field on 35 of 92 shooting. They also distributed 26 assists in this contest while forcing the opposition into 7 turnovers and having 4 steals. In the matter of rebounding, they compiled 47 with 12 of them being on the offensive end. At the charity stripe, the Mavericks converted 12 of their 23 attempts for a percentage of 52.2%. Dallas ended the contest with a 40.9% field goal percentage (36 of 88) and converted 12 of their 35 shots from beyond the arc.

P.J. Washington is one player who was a contributor for the matchup. Washington went 36.8% from the floor but wasn't able to get a dime. He played 41 minutes and also collected 12 boards. He finished with 21 points on 7 out of 19 shooting.

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Dallas will enter this matchup with a win-loss record of 50-32 so far this year. They average 117.9 points per game (7th in the NBA) while going 48.1% from the field. The Mavericks are hitting 36.9% on shots from distance (1,197 of 3,242) and 75.8% from the charity stripe. As a unit, Dallas is collecting 42.9 rebounds per game and has 2,106 assists on the season, which is 19th in basketball in terms of passing. They turn it over 12.5 times per game and as a unit they are committing 18.3 fouls every game.

On the defensive end, the Mavericks are able to force 13.7 turnovers on a nightly basis while drawing 20.3 fouls. They are giving up 36.8% from beyond the arc and they are ranked 20th in the NBA in PPG allowed (115.6). The Mavericks defense is giving up a FG percentage of 47.5% (3,522 of 7,413) and they concede 45.1 rebounds per game as a team. They are ranked 22nd in the league in allowing assists with 2,258 conceded on the campaign.

Concerning how they cleaned up the glass in Game 4, Oklahoma City permitted Dallas to collect 47 in total (12 on the offensive glass). They finished shooting 34.3% from beyond the arc by hitting 12 out of 35 and ended up shooting 12 out of 23 from the free throw line (52.2%). The Thunder allowed the Mavericks to knock down 36 out of their 88 attempts from the field which left them with a shooting percentage of 40.9% for this game. Overall, the Thunder finished shooting 35 out of 92 from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 38.0%. In the matter of shots from downtown, Oklahoma City buried 7 out of their 27 attempts (25.9%). They were able to make 23 of the free throw attempts for a rate of 95.8%. The Mavericks committed 18 personal fouls in the game which got the Thunder to the free throw line for a total of 24 shots. They turned it over 7 times, while getting 8 steals in this game. The Thunder were able to snag 33 defensive boards and 12 offensive boards for a total of 45 for the game.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander ended up being a major contributor for the Thunder for this contest. Gilgeous-Alexander recorded 34 points in his 42 mins on the hardwood and accumulated 5 assists for the game. He made 14 out of 27 in this game for a field goal percentage of 51.9%, and earned 8 rebounds.

Oklahoma City has a mark of 57-25 this year. On the offensive side of the court, the Thunder are connecting on 49.9% from the field, which is 3rd in basketball. Oklahoma City has totaled 9,847 pts for the season (120.1 per contest) and they average 42.0 rebounds per game. Their rate of dishing out assists is at 27.1 times per contest (11th in basketball) and they are losing possession via turnover 12.7 times per game. The Thunder have committed 18.8 fouls every game while shooting 82.5% from the free throw line.

The Thunder on the defensive side of the court are 11th in the league in PPG surrendered with 112.7. They are able to force 15.7 TO's every game and allow teams to shoot 45.5% from the floor (3rd in the NBA). The Oklahoma City defense allows 36.1% on shots from beyond the perimeter (1,101 of 3,052) and their opponents are connecting on 78.9% of their foul shots. They allow 26.9 dimes and 44.7 boards every game, which is 18th and 23rd in basketball.

So what is Tonights Parlay prediction?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Oklahoma City (-5) and under 215 points

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