Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat Prediction, 4/29/2024 Preview and Pick

Game: Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat

Date: Monday, April 29, 2024

Location: Kaseya Center in Miami, FL

TV: TNT

Odds/Point Spread: Boston (-11)

Kaseya Center is the location where the Miami Heat will compete against the Boston Celtics on Monday in Game 4 of their series. The Celtics lead the series 2-1. Miami opens this game as 11-point dogs. The total comes in at 202.5.

The Celtics went home with a win by a final score of 104-84 in Game 3. Boston ended having earned a 47.6% FG percentage (39 of 82) and converted 11 of 37 shots from downtown. When they shot from the free throw line, the Celtics converted 15 of 21 shots for a rate of 71.4%. In reference to pulling down boards, they compiled 43 with 10 of them being offensive. They also distributed 22 assists for the game as well as forcing 12 turnovers and earning 4 steals. When talking about defending, Boston allowed 41.6% from the floor on 32 of 77 shooting. Miami dished out 21 assists and had 2 steals for the game. Furthermore, Miami grabbed 36 rebounds (9 offensive, 27 defensive) and earned 6 blocks. Miami walked away from this one shooting 78.6% from the free throw line by knocking down 11 of their 14 shots. They also made 9 out of their 28 shots from beyond the arc. With respect to personal fouls, the Celtics walked away with 16 and the Heat recorded 14 personal fouls.

Jaylen Brown is someone who was important in this matchup. He had 22 points on 11 out of 20 shooting. He saw the court for 33 mins and also grabbed 8 rebounds. Brown finished shooting 55.0% from the floor and distributed 3 dimes.

Get all of our NBA Picks Today

Boston enters this game with a mark of 64-18 so far this year. They have an average of 120.6 points per outing (2nd in the NBA) while going 48.7% from the field. The Celtics are hitting 38.8% on shots from 3-point land (1,351 of 3,482) and 80.7% from the charity stripe. As a team, Boston is pulling in 46.3 boards per game and has earned 2,207 dimes this year, which ranks 14th in basketball in terms of passing the rock. They are turning it over 11.9 times per game and as a basketball team they commit 16.2 fouls per contest.

Defensively, the Celtics are able to force 12.0 turnovers per game and they draw 17.3 personal fouls. They are currently ranked 5th in basketball in giving up assists to their opponents with 2,042 relinquished this season. The Celtics defensively are allowing an opponent shooting percentage of 45.3% (3,403 of 7,515) and they surrender 43.3 rebounds per game as a basketball team. They relinquish 35.2% on 3-pointers and they rank 5th in basketball in points per game allowed (109.2).

In Game 3 the Heat earned 27 defensive rebounds and 9 offensive rebounds for a total of 36 in the game. They turned the ball over 12 times, while recording 2 steals for this game. The Celtics were called for 16 personal fouls for the matchup which took the Heat to the free throw line for a total of 14 tries. They were able to knock down 11 of those for a clip of 78.6%. Pertaining to shooting from beyond the arc, Miami converted 9 out of their 28 attempts (32.1%). When all was said and done, the Heat ended up going 32 for 77 from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 41.6%. The Heat allowed the Celtics to knock down 39 of their 82 tries from the field which left them shooting 47.6% for the contest. They finished 29.7% from three-point range by connecting on 11 of 37 and finished the game at 15 out of 21 from the charity stripe (71.4%). In relation to rebounding, Miami allowed Boston to snag 43 in total (10 offensive).

Bam Adebayo ended up being a major contributor for the Heat for the game. Adebayo earned 20 points in his 39 mins on the hardwood and had 3 dimes in the matchup. He knocked down 8 out of 18 in this game giving him a rate of 44.4%, and accumulated 9 rebounds.

Miami has a record of 46-36 on the campaign. The Heat are responsible for committing 17.3 fouls per contest and they shoot 81.8% from the free throw line. They are assisting teammates 25.8 times per game (18th in the league) and they turn the ball over 12.7 times per contest. Miami has tallied 9,032 points so far this year (110.1 per game) and they snag 42.3 rebounds per game. As an offense, the Heat are hitting on 46.5% from the floor, which ranks them 22nd in basketball.

The Heat on the defensive end are ranked 3rd in the NBA in PPG given up with 108.4. They have forced 13.7 turnovers per game and allow teams to shoot 46.7% from the field (10th in the NBA). The Miami defense gives up 35.3% on shots from behind the 3-point line (1,064 of 3,018) and their opponents are making 78.0% of their free throw attempts. They have given up 26.5 dimes and 42.8 rebounds every game, which ranks 14th and 11th in the league.

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Boston (-11)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here