Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat Prediction, 4/27/2024 Preview and Pick

Game: Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat

Date: Saturday, April 27, 2024

Location: Kaseya Center in Miami, FL

TV: TNT

Odds/Point Spread: Boston (-8)

The Miami Heat are welcoming the Boston Celtics at Kaseya Center on Saturday in Game 3 of their series. The series is tied 1-1. Miami opens this contest as 8-point underdogs. The total is 204.

The Celtics went home with a loss by a final score of 111-101 in Game 2. When talking about personal fouls, the Celtics ended up with 17 while the Heat accumulated 22 personal fouls. They also converted 23 out of their 43 tries from three-point range. Miami walked away from this one shooting 77.8% from the charity stripe by converting 14 of their 18 shots. On top of that, Miami snagged 40 rebounds (4 offensive, 36 defensive) and earned 8 rejections. Miami distributed 25 assists and had 9 steals for the contest. When discussing the defense, Boston allowed 49.3% from the floor on 37 out of 75 shooting. They also doled out 21 dimes in the matchup in addition to forcing the other team into 12 turnovers and earning 9 steals. With respect to rebounding, they compiled 39 with 6 of them being on the offensive end. At the charity stripe, the Celtics buried 15 of their 21 attempts for a rate of 71.4%. Boston finished the contest with a 46.3% field goal percentage (37 out of 80) and made 12 of their 32 shots from downtown.

Jaylen Brown is a guy who was a major contributor for the matchup. He accumulated 33 points on 13 of 23 shooting. He saw the court for 37 minutes and also grabbed 8 boards. Brown finished 56.5% from the field and also earned 1 assist.

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Boston comes into this matchup with a record of 64-18 for the campaign. They lose possession by turning the ball over 11.9 times per contest and as a basketball team are committing 16.2 fouls per game. As a team, Boston is pulling down 46.3 boards per contest and has accounted for 2,207 assists for the campaign, which ranks 14th in the league in terms of passing the ball. The Celtics are shooting 38.8% on three-point attempts (1,351 of 3,482) and 80.7% from the charity stripe. They are averaging 120.6 points per contest (2nd in the league) while shooting 48.7% from the field.

On the defensive end, the Celtics are forcing their opponents into 12.0 turnovers per contest while drawing 17.3 personal fouls. They currently rank 5th in the NBA in allowing assists to their opponents with 2,042 surrendered on the campaign. The Celtics defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 45.3% (3,403 of 7,515) and they concede 43.3 rebounds per contest as a unit. They are relinquishing 35.2% from beyond the arc while they are 5th in the league in PPG from their opponents (109.2).

When discussing cleaning up the glass in Game 2, Miami allowed Boston to get 39 in total (6 offensive). They wrapped up this game 37.5% from beyond the perimeter by shooting 12 out of 32 and finished the contest at 15 of 21 from the charity stripe (71.4%). The Heat permitted the Celtics to bury 37 out of 80 attempts from the floor which had them shooting 46.3% for the matchup. When the final whistle blew, the Heat ended up going 37 out of 75 from the field which gave them a rate of 49.3%. In regard to three-point shots, Miami made 23 of their 43 tries (53.5%). They were able to convert 14 of the free throw attempts for a clip of 77.8%. The Celtics earned 17 fouls for the matchup which got the Heat to the free throw line for a total of 18 tries. They turned it over 12 times, while getting 9 steals in this matchup. The Heat collected 36 defensive boards and 4 offensive rebounds totaling 40 in this game.

Tyler Herro was important for the Heat in the game. He made 7 of 13 for the game giving him a field goal percentage of 53.8%, and accounted for 5 rebounds. Herro scored 24 points in his 39 minutes on the court and had 14 dimes in this contest.

Miami has a record of 46-36 this season. The Heat are committing 17.3 fouls every game and they go 81.8% from the charity stripe. They are earning an assist 25.8 times per game (18th in the league) and they cough up possession 12.7 times per game. Miami has earned 9,032 pts this season (110.1 per contest) and they collect 42.3 boards per game. On the offensive side of the ball, the Heat are connecting on 46.5% from the floor, which ranks them 22nd in the NBA.

The Heat on the defensive side of the court are 3rd in the league in PPG surrendered with 108.4. They are forcing 13.7 TO's every game and have let teams shoot 46.7% from the field (10th in basketball). The Miami defense gives up 35.3% on shots from 3-point land (1,064 of 3,018) and opponents are making 78.0% of their shots from the free throw line. They give up 26.5 assists and 42.8 rebounds per game, which ranks them 14th and 11th in the league.

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Boston (-8)

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